Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ RARE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $95.2700 (1.22%) ($90.3200 - $95.9000) on Wed. Oct. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.22% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $95.2700(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE declines -8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(67%)    XBI(64%)    ARKG(57%)    IWO(54%)    IWM(48%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -2.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    GDXJ(-6%)    UUP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.61% (StdDev 5.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $107.3
5 Day Moving Average   $98.61(-3.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.03(-0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.3(-11.21%)
To recent high   -27.5%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $5.756b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 12.94% (three month std-dev: 5.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2015	110.07	107.3	96.03	98.61	98.54	95.1	95.27(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-63	-250	-46	-112	0.38	51%	-0.33	-37.3	5.22%	0	-0.9	27	0
2	Oct_6_2015	110.43	108.6	97.05	98.82	99.01	99.58	94.12(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	50	-11	-113	0.56	51%	-0.36	-34.2	5.28%	0	-1	32	0
3	Oct_5_2015	110.83	110.14	98.33	97.32	97.99	101.98	100(-4.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	22	310	64	-105	0.41	54%	-0.25	-33.8	5.27%	0	-0.7	36	0
4	Oct_2_2015	111.11	110.99	99.36	94.9	94.29	98.44	104.69(5.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	290	65	-126	0.66	54%	-0.15	-38.2	5.29%	0	-0.5	38	0
5	Oct_1_2015	111.28	111.58	101.52	92.78	91.73	93.99	98.98(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	140	31	-144	0.54	51%	-0.3	-40.4	5.27%	0	-0.9	35	0

6	Sep_30_2015	111.61	112.74	104.52	93.32	92.32	90.14	96.31(11.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-200	-17	-151	0.65	51%	-0.38	-36	5.32%	0	-1.2	33	0
7	Sep_29_2015	112.04	113.59	107.28	95.34	95.02	89.47	86.61(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-117	-420	-96	-178	0.55	46%	-0.64	-30	5.02%	0	-2.1	20	0
8	Sep_28_2015	112.76	115.02	111.1	99.54	99.82	94.51	87.89(-6.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-117	-360	-103	-158	0.83	46%	-0.65	-17.8	5.09%	0	-2.4	19	0
9	Sep_25_2015	113.5	116.46	114.78	104.33	104.13	100.56	94.11(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-110	-250	-104	-129	0.61	49%	-0.51	-2.5	5.06%	0	-2.4	35	0
10	Sep_24_2015	114.08	117.34	117.73	111.49	109.7	105.14	101.68(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-86	-340	-87	-82	0.49	53%	-0.34	22.6	4.98%	0	-2	40	0

11	Sep_23_2015	114.47	117.77	119.8	117.44	116.44	107.7	106.41(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-97	-550	-109	-60	0.37	53%	-0.23	41.6	5%	0	-1.5	39	0
12	Sep_22_2015	114.73	117.57	121.42	121.1	121.62	114.27	107.63(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-118	-410	-142	-45	0.74	53%	-0.21	44.8	5.08%	0	-1.2	52	0
13	Sep_21_2015	114.97	117.05	123.27	124.33	125.76	125.19	111.8(-13.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-30	0	-48	23	0.81	53%	-0.1	38.4	5.12%	0	-0.6	55	0
14	Sep_18_2015	115.08	116.7	123.93	126.53	126.47	128.97	129.91(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	140	48	86	0.84	63%	0.46	40.2	4.46%	0	1.3	69	0
15	Sep_17_2015	114.55	115.57	122.56	124.89	124.58	126.33	131.47(5.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	90	46	84	0.35	63%	0.55	35	4.53%	0	1.7	75	0

16	Sep_16_2015	113.92	114.74	121.48	122.72	122.68	123.98	124.71(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	70	21	77	0.4	60%	0.36	32.2	4.52%	0	1.1	72	0
17	Sep_15_2015	113.51	114.04	120.18	121.98	121.79	122.84	123.75(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	60	15	84	0.29	60%	0.36	31.1	4.61%	0	1.2	78	0
18	Sep_14_2015	113.1	113.52	119	122.2	121.82	121.39	122.83(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	-30	13	106	0.26	60%	0.36	33.8	4.7%	0	1.2	81	0
19	Sep_11_2015	112.69	112.87	118.07	120.89	121.64	120.74	121.71(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	-30	-5	103	0.3	60%	0.35	0	4.8%	0	1.1	66	0
20	Sep_10_2015	112.3	112.34	116.76	119.8	120.47	122.25	120.58(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	120	3	100	0.4	60%	0.34	0	4.91%	0	1.1	60	0

21	Sep_9_2015	111.92	112	115.48	120.02	119.33	122.53	121.03(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	70	170	56	113	0.28	60%	0.39	0	5.02%	0	1.2	52	0
22	Sep_8_2015	111.49	111.49	113.39	118.03	117.56	118.69	124.83(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	60	50	87	0.37	60%	0.6	0	5.08%	0	1.9	58	0
23	Sep_4_2015	110.82	110.85	110.31	115.39	114.9	116.14	116.29(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	60	4	33	0.34	55%	0.26	0	4.97%	0	0.9	51	0
24	Sep_3_2015	110.53	110.85	108.96	114.81	114.02	116.43	116.25(-4.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	130	41	16	0.52	55%	0.28	0	5.1%	0	18.4	54	0
25	Sep_2_2015	110.22	110.85	108.05	113.18	112.54	113.67	121.69(9.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	50	41	16	0.49	55%		0	5.12%	0	19.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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