Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $148.8600 (-0.12%) ($148.6400 - $149.2100) on Wed. Oct. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $148.8600(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(98%)    IVW(97%)    SPY(92%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(89%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $148.57(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $148.15(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $146.5(1.61%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $150.05
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $145.25

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.8% away from the target price of 150.05.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2017	143.21	146.5	148.15	148.57			148.86(-0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	27	-10000	3	98	17.22	56%	0.06	41.9	0.64%	0	1.2	90	0
2	Oct_17_2017	143.13	146.32	147.87	148.41			149.04(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	6	105	13.14	56%	0.04	39	0.64%	0	1.5	92	0
3	Oct_16_2017	143.07	146.14	147.56	148.12			148.85(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	6	113	21.81	56%	0.06	36.2	0.64%	0	1.6	93	0
4	Oct_13_2017	142.99	145.96	147.24	147.85			148.34(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	-10000	3	118	18.41	56%	0.05	33.3	0.65%	0	1.5	93	0
5	Oct_12_2017	142.92	145.83	146.95	147.71			147.77(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	1	122	14.51	59%	0.06	39.6	0.65%	0	1.3	72	0

6	Oct_11_2017	142.84	145.71	146.63	147.65			148.04(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	8	124	12.44	59%	0.06	40.2	0.66%	0	1.7	72	0
7	Oct_10_2017	142.75	145.61	146.28	147.25			147.6(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	7	107	19.22	59%	0.06	39.6	0.66%	0	1.5	62	0
8	Oct_9_2017	142.66	145.53	145.85	146.91			147.49(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	8	83	13.7	59%	0.07	40	0.66%	0	1.6	58	0
9	Oct_6_2017	142.56	145.43	145.39	146.52			147.66(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	9	56	23.56	58%	0.07	32.9	0.67%	0	1.9	60	0
10	Oct_5_2017	142.46	145.25	145.03	146.08			147.46(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	12	32	31.56	60%	0.08	17.6	0.68%	0	2.1	55	0

11	Oct_4_2017	142.34	145.14	144.71	145.47			146.03(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	6	3	26.38	58%	0.05	6.2	0.68%	0	0.9	51	0
12	Oct_3_2017	142.27	145.09	144.62	145.16			145.89(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	11	-11	19.72	55%	0.05	6.2	0.69%	0	0.9	44	0
13	Oct_2_2017	142.2	145.03	144.58	144.61			145.58(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	11	-32	27.35	55%	0.05	1.5	0.7%	0	0.6	44	0
14	Sep_29_2017	142.13	145.04	144.55	144.06			145.45(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-10	-10000	5	-55	43.1	51%	0.05	4.5	0.7%	0	0.4	46	0
15	Sep_28_2017	142.06	145.07	144.59	143.83			144.41(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-0	-54	24.15	52%	0.04	14.7	0.74%	0	-0.7	53	0

16	Sep_27_2017	142	145.09	144.7	143.84			144.46(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	-10000	-3	-53	33.25	49%	0.04	25	0.76%	0	-0.6	45	0
17	Sep_26_2017	141.94	145.03	144.88	144.02			143.17(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-44	29.63	47%	0.04	27	0.78%	0	-1.7	41	0
18	Sep_25_2017	141.88	145.02	145.2	144.55			142.8(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-10000	-10	-22	54.95	47%	0.04	43.8	0.79%	0	-1.9	43	0
19	Sep_22_2017	141.83	145	145.53	145.1			144.32(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-6	-6	21.7	49%	0.06	55.8	0.77%	0	-0.5	42	0
20	Sep_21_2017	141.75	144.92	145.54	145.44			144.46(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-4	-4	28.84	51%	0.05	61.1	0.77%	0	-0.3	41	0

21	Sep_20_2017	141.68	144.84	145.66	145.66			145.35(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	7	34.24	49%	0.06	58	0.78%	0	0.4	54	0
22	Sep_19_2017	141.6	144.74	145.65	145.88			145.8(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	25	20.87	53%	0.06	59.8	0.78%	0	0.7	64	0
23	Sep_18_2017	141.51	144.52	145.54	145.96			145.55(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	37	24.86	53%	0.07	47.4	0.81%	0	0.6	65	0
24	Sep_15_2017	141.41	144.31	145.54	146.03			146.06(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	6	62	46.42	51%	0.07	43.1	0.81%	0	1	69	0
25	Sep_14_2017	141.31	144.08	145.58	145.66			145.56(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	0	67	35.3	51%		38.1	0.82%	0	0.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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