Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $117.2600 (-0.03%) ($116.7600 - $117.5200) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $117.2600(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    SPY(91%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(89%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.31(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.12(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.17(0.94%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.8
One Month Target Price   > $117.26
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $111.98

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5.7% away from the target price of 117.26.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2016	110.13	116.17	117.12	117.31			117.26(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	0	44	18.74	58%	0.07	82.9	0.9%	0	0.8	63	0
2	Aug_18_2016	110.05	115.99	117.07	117.3			117.29(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	1	52	10.04	58%	0.07	83.3	0.91%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Aug_17_2016	109.97	115.79	116.92	117.27			117.26(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	2	57	15.98	55%	0.08	85.4	0.91%	0	1	69	0
4	Aug_16_2016	109.88	115.61	116.74	117.14			117.05(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	57	14.16	58%	0.09	83	0.92%	0	0.9	70	0
5	Aug_15_2016	109.78	115.37	116.55	117.11			117.7(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	4	64	11.78	58%	0.07	82.9	0.93%	0	1.4	80	0

6	Aug_12_2016	109.7	115.11	116.35	116.9			117.2(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10000	2	69	19.38	58%	0.09	81.9	0.93%	0	1.3	79	0
7	Aug_11_2016	109.6	114.84	116.15	116.82			117.12(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	-10000	5	77	12.97	58%	0.09	84.9	0.93%	0	1.4	79	0
8	Aug_10_2016	109.5	114.59	115.94	116.53			116.62(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	5	79	14.69	60%	0.08	87.4	0.94%	0	1.2	80	0
9	Aug_9_2016	109.41	114.32	115.74	116.27			116.92(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	-10000	7	78	13.28	60%	0.08	90.8	0.95%	0	1.5	79	0
10	Aug_8_2016	109.32	114.05	115.43	115.88			116.65(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	3	74	12.36	60%	0.09	95.5	0.95%	0	1.5	83	0

11	Aug_5_2016	109.22	113.76	115.13	115.72			116.78(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	-10000	6	78	23.2	60%	0.08	100	0.95%	0	1.7	79	0
12	Aug_4_2016	109.13	113.44	114.81	115.41			115.67(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-10000	3	78	12.84	58%	0.08	96.4	0.95%	0	1.2	78	0
13	Aug_3_2016	109.04	113.1	114.57	115.27			115.34(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	3	82	15.01	58%	0.07	92.9	0.95%	0	1.1	75	0
14	Aug_2_2016	108.96	112.76	114.38	115.12			114.96(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	4	90	21.28	58%	0.08	91.1	0.96%	0	1	77	0
15	Aug_1_2016	108.87	112.39	114.11	114.88			115.84(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	8	89	13.99	58%	0.08	100.5	0.96%	0	1.5	82	0

16	Jul_29_2016	108.78	112.01	113.77	114.45			115.23(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	6	84	22.39	58%	0.1	103.4	0.97%	0	1.4	82	0
17	Jul_28_2016	108.67	111.63	113.43	114.13			114.98(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	7	84	16.94	56%	0.1	96.2	0.97%	0	1.4	84	0
18	Jul_27_2016	108.56	111.2	113.13	113.77			114.58(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	4	89	27.65	56%	0.09	86.8	0.99%	0	1.4	87	0
19	Jul_26_2016	108.46	110.71	112.79	113.54			113.79(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	-10000	6	99	21.22	56%	0.08	71.7	0.99%	0	1.1	86	0
20	Jul_25_2016	108.37	110.15	112.56	113.21			113.66(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	4	111	12.97	56%	0.07	51.9	0.99%	0	1.1	88	0

21	Jul_22_2016	108.29	109.69	112.29	112.99			113.65(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	7	123	20	53%	0.07	45.6	0.99%	0	1.2	81	0
22	Jul_21_2016	108.21	109.43	111.96	112.62			113.18(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	125	18.89	53%	0.07	46.1	1.01%	0	1.2	81	0
23	Jul_20_2016	108.13	109.12	111.52	112.38			113.44(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	8	133	25	53%	0.07	45.1	1.01%	0	1.4	85	0
24	Jul_19_2016	108.05	108.8	111.01	111.93			112.13(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	2	141	18.94	51%	0.09	42.9	1%	0	1.2	87	0
25	Jul_18_2016	107.95	108.54	110.56	111.81			112.54(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	6	170	20.71	51%		42.1	1%	0	1.5	92	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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