Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $111.2200 (-0.24%) ($111.2100 - $111.8200) on Wed. Jul. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $111.2200(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    SPY(91%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(89%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.51(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.13(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.78(3.19%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.5
One Month Target Price   > $112.55
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $106.92

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.2% away from the target price of 112.55.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2016	107.68	107.78	109.13	110.51			111.22(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	11	152	21.11	51%	0.09	21.3	1%	0	1.5	59	0
2	Jul_12_2016	107.58	107.6	108.47	109.93			111.49(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	15	122	21.91	51%	0.07	10.7	1.01%	0	1.8	59	0
3	Jul_11_2016	107.5	107.4	107.56	109.11			110.93(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	10	72	20.22	51%	0.09	-5.6	1.01%	0	1.8	59	0
4	Jul_8_2016	107.4	107.27	106.89	108.54			110.3(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	10	44	29.46	51%	0.08	-18.1	1.01%	0	1.7	59	0
5	Jul_7_2016	107.31	107.24	106.67	107.99			108.62(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	9	31	19.16	45%	0.06	-27.7	0.99%	0	0.8	51	0

6	Jul_6_2016	107.25	107.3	106.5	107.53			108.3(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	14	17	24.58	48%	0.07	-33.1	1.01%	0	0.5	51	0
7	Jul_5_2016	107.17	107.37	106.39	106.76			107.42(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	12	-10000	19	-8	21.17	48%	0.09	-43.2	1.02%	0	0	48	0
8	Jul_1_2016	107.07	107.51	106.34	105.72			108.08(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	14	-46	19.9	48%	0.11	-54.1	1.02%	0	0.3	49	0
9	Jun_30_2016	106.95	107.59	106.16	104.96			107.54(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-26	-10000	-5	-90	36.3	48%	0.1	-60.6	1.02%	0	-0	45	0
10	Jun_29_2016	106.84	107.73	106.18	105.21			106.31(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-27	-10000	-4	-95	31.36	49%	0.09	-54.3	1.01%	0	-0.6	38	0

11	Jun_28_2016	106.74	107.93	106.3	105.4			104.46(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-11	-107	28.26	46%	0.08	-48.8	1.01%	0	-1.5	31	0
12	Jun_27_2016	106.66	108.23	106.67	106			102.22(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-41	-10000	-19	-108	50.04	41%	0.04	-35.5	0.97%	0	-2.8	22	0
13	Jun_24_2016	106.62	108.65	107.29	106.99			104.29(-4.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-29	-10000	-9	-89	68.01	45%	0.03	-20.1	0.95%	0	-2.6	25	0
14	Jun_23_2016	106.59	108.94	107.78	107.43			108.77(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-21	-10000	3	-94	18.71	54%	0.07	-2.5	0.79%	0	-0.1	40	0
15	Jun_22_2016	106.52	108.96	107.88	107.29			107.24(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-2	-107	22.72	50%	0.05	6.6	0.78%	0	-1.3	26	0

16	Jun_21_2016	106.47	109.04	108.18	107.38			107.5(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-3	-106	22.8	50%	0.03	19.8	0.78%	0	-1.2	30	0
17	Jun_20_2016	106.44	109	108.44	107.49			107.16(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-4	-105	20.56	50%	0.03	19.2	0.78%	0	-1.4	27	0
18	Jun_17_2016	106.41	108.99	108.77	107.66			106.49(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-34	-10000	-12	-101	29.21	50%	0.05	25.4	0.78%	0	-1.8	23	0
19	Jun_16_2016	106.36	108.97	109.14	108.15			108.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-11	-83	32.08	55%	0.08	30.5	0.76%	0	-0.6	38	0
20	Jun_15_2016	106.28	108.88	109.39	108.58			107.72(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-13	-59	24.61	55%	0.04	34.6	0.76%	0	-0.7	39	0

21	Jun_14_2016	106.24	108.79	109.67	109.11			108.03(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-14	-10000	-10	-25	24.59	55%	0.06	36.1	0.76%	0	-0.4	51	0
22	Jun_13_2016	106.18	108.74	109.91	109.54			108.03(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-12	17	25.41	55%	0.05	44.7	0.76%	0	-0.4	66	0
23	Jun_10_2016	106.13	108.64	110.15	110.03			108.94(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-5	61	32.97	62%	0.08	49.2	0.79%	0	0.2	72	0
24	Jun_9_2016	106.05	108.5	110.23	110.25			110.19(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	-2	103	17.57	66%	0.08	52.4	0.77%	0	0.8	86	0
25	Jun_8_2016	105.96	108.31	110.14	110.33			110.37(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	33	-10000	0	131	14.57	66%		57.1	0.77%	0	1	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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