Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $114.1500 (0.09%) ($113.9100 - $114.3600) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $114.1500(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    SPY(92%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(90%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.11(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.97(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.5(0.57%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.5
One Month Target Price   > $114.15
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $106.44

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.8% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.9% away from the target price of 114.15.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2015	108.72	113.5	112.97	114.11			114.15(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	1	10	14.16	70%	0.06	30.4	1.35%	0	0.5	46	0
2	Nov_24_2015	108.66	113.48	112.86	114			114.05(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	7	4	26.37	63%	0.06	51.3	1.35%	0	0.4	44	0
3	Nov_23_2015	108.6	113.43	112.76	113.49			114.15(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	7	-13	20.7	63%	0.06	58.3	1.44%	0	0.6	44	0
4	Nov_20_2015	108.54	113.37	112.67	112.95			114.48(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	11	-24	22.73	54%	0.06	61.4	1.55%	0	0.9	48	0
5	Nov_19_2015	108.47	113.28	112.66	112.02			113.71(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	4	-40	26.19	54%	0.05	51.1	1.58%	0	0.3	52	0

6	Nov_18_2015	108.42	113.1	112.73	111.68			113.63(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	-10000	1	-45	32.97	54%	0.06	40.5	1.59%	0	0.3	49	0
7	Nov_17_2015	108.35	112.82	112.84	111.59			111.49(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-4	-48	30.58	52%	0.05	38.6	1.57%	0	-0.6	38	0
8	Nov_16_2015	108.3	112.68	113.19	111.94			111.42(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-5	-36	33.98	52%	0.02	45.3	1.57%	0	-0.6	44	0
9	Nov_13_2015	108.28	112.58	113.51	112.37			109.84(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-11	-26	52.84	52%	0	50.9	1.56%	0	-1.1	37	0
10	Nov_12_2015	108.28	112.53	113.91	113.36			112.04(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-6	-4	31.2	54%	0.02	62.6	1.54%	0	-0.2	48	0

11	Nov_11_2015	108.26	112.34	114.12	113.9			113.14(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-4	19	22.75	53%	0.02	64.1	1.54%	0	0.3	73	0
12	Nov_10_2015	108.24	112	114.12	114.27			113.28(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-4	47	35.45	54%	0.03	64.1	1.55%	0	0.4	80	0
13	Nov_9_2015	108.21	111.67	114.22	114.62			113.57(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-2	72	33.48	54%	0.03	66.7	1.55%	0	0.6	77	0
14	Nov_6_2015	108.18	111.34	114.17	114.83			114.79(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	26	-10000	3	93	29.92	52%	0.05	69.1	1.55%	0	1	79	0
15	Nov_5_2015	108.13	110.93	113.97	114.54			114.71(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	2	103	25	52%	0.05	70.1	1.56%	0	1.1	80	0

16	Nov_4_2015	108.08	110.5	113.51	114.36			115.02(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	2	108	28.63	52%	0.06	74.5	1.56%	0	1.3	83	0
17	Nov_3_2015	108.01	110.03	112.79	114.16			115.01(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	4	114	20.42	52%	0.06	79	1.56%	0	1.5	85	0
18	Nov_2_2015	107.95	109.52	112.13	113.78			114.61(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	-10000	4	116	22.18	52%	0.06	87.7	1.56%	0	1.5	84	0
19	Oct_30_2015	107.89	109.06	111.54	113.42			113.33(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	1	117	27.2	52%	0.04	95.3	1.56%	0	1.3	77	0
20	Oct_29_2015	107.85	108.59	111.03	113.31			113.84(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	9	127	24.91	52%	0.04	93.8	1.56%	0	1.6	80	0

21	Oct_28_2015	107.81	108.01	110.41	112.49			114.02(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	15	121	42.22	52%	0.06	85.7	1.56%	0	1.8	82	0
22	Oct_27_2015	107.75	107.39	109.6	111.19			113.08(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	11	97	31.39	52%	0.05	69.5	1.56%	0	1.7	81	0
23	Oct_26_2015	107.7	106.72	108.89	110.21			112.85(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	28	-10000	10	82	25.92	52%	0.04	55.6	1.56%	0	1.8	82	0
24	Oct_23_2015	107.66	106.07	108.25	109.39			112.78(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	26	-10000	11	72	53.17	51%	0.03	45.3	1.57%	0	2.1	78	0
25	Oct_22_2015	107.63	105.55	107.59	108.45			109.71(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	-10000	5	62	42.78	47%		38.8	1.53%	0	1.5	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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