Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $110.0100 (0.06%) ($109.4300 - $110.6700) on Wed. May. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $110.0100(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    VT(83%)    XLY(82%)    IVE(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.83(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.98(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.93(0.99%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1
One Month Target Price   > $113.75
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $109.14

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 3.4% away from the target price of 113.75.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2015	106.1	108.93	108.98	109.83			110.01(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	70	21.13	48%	0.06	53.1	0.81%	0	1	62	0
2	May_19_2015	106.04	108.85	108.66	109.43			109.94(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	10	40	14.21	48%	0.05	46.4	0.82%	0	1	51	0
3	May_18_2015	105.99	108.76	108.4	109			110.06(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	8	17.63	48%	0.05	39.2	0.82%	0	1.2	48	0
4	May_15_2015	105.94	108.63	108.29	108.64			109.58(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	4	-14	23.94	48%	0.04	28	0.81%	0	0.8	45	0
5	May_14_2015	105.9	108.46	108.22	108.46			109.58(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	10	-28	23.9	48%	0.06	17.9	0.82%	0	1	44	0

6	May_13_2015	105.84	108.37	108.01	108.02			108(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	-10000	6	-57	20.74	44%	0.04	8.7	0.8%	0	-0.3	46	0
7	May_12_2015	105.8	108.36	108.13	107.76			107.78(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-10000	2	-65	33.67	47%	0.03	6.6	0.81%	0	-0.5	47	0
8	May_11_2015	105.77	108.34	108.34	107.69			108.27(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-5	-59	19.68	47%	0.04	10.3	0.82%	0	-0.1	52	0
9	May_8_2015	105.73	108.31	108.52	107.89			108.69(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-9	-10000	-1	-34	33.02	51%	0.05	21.5	0.83%	0	0.3	56	0
10	May_7_2015	105.68	108.26	108.69	107.96			107.35(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-1	-6	29.34	48%	0.05	33	0.82%	0	-0.8	59	0

11	May_6_2015	105.63	108.27	108.87	108.01			106.71(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-9	-10000	-12	0	42.69	48%	0.07	42	0.82%	0	-1.3	48	0
12	May_5_2015	105.56	108.28	109.1	108.54			107.45(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-12	26	47.84	48%	0.06	55.9	0.82%	0	-0.6	50	0
13	May_4_2015	105.5	108.22	109.19	109.06			109.23(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-5	56	23.51	52%	0.07	60.8	0.8%	0	0.7	60	0
14	May_1_2015	105.43	108.06	109.04	109.27			109.05(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-7	65	32.87	54%	0.06	67.5	0.8%	0	0.7	57	0
15	Apr_30_2015	105.37	107.87	108.77	109.56			107.63(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	12	-10000	-7	69	44.08	51%	0.04	69.1	0.79%	0	-0.2	51	0

16	Apr_29_2015	105.33	107.76	108.8	109.85			109.35(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	3	90	34.04	58%	0.05	68.2	0.77%	0	1	61	0
17	Apr_28_2015	105.28	107.57	108.65	109.71			110.04(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	10	98	36.85	58%	0.05	59.1	0.77%	0	1.5	68	0
18	Apr_27_2015	105.23	107.4	108.36	109.31			110.26(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	13	92	31.12	51%	0.06	51.8	0.78%	0	1.9	73	0
19	Apr_24_2015	105.17	107.15	108.06	108.78			110.54(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	-10000	20	79	32.51	51%	0.05	36.4	0.84%	0	2.5	73	0
20	Apr_23_2015	105.12	106.87	107.76	107.88			109.06(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	6	58	29.47	48%	0.04	9.8	0.83%	0	1.8	72	0

21	Apr_22_2015	105.08	106.69	107.57	107.6			108.65(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	4	62	21.43	52%	0.03	-6.7	0.83%	0	1.8	72	0
22	Apr_21_2015	105.05	106.69	107.36	107.44			108.06(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	4	62	22.76	52%	0.04	-7.1	0.86%	0	1.4	65	0
23	Apr_20_2015	105.01	106.63	107.14	107.26			107.6(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	0	50	28.95	52%	0.01	-5	0.86%	0	0.9	54	0
24	Apr_17_2015	105	106.66	106.99	107.24			106.01(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	7	-10000	-8	50	46.51	49%	0.01	7.5	0.85%	0	-0.6	54	0
25	Apr_16_2015	104.99	106.76	106.93	107.59			107.69(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	2	70	16.2	55%		24.5	0.83%	0	0.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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