Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $110.0400 (-0.2%) ($109.1100 - $110.5500) on Tue. Apr. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $110.0400(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    VT(83%)    XLY(82%)    IVE(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.71(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.65(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.57(2.3%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.5
One Month Target Price   > $110.04
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $105.8

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.3% away from the target price of 110.04.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2015	105.28	107.57	108.65	109.71			110.04(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	10	98	36.85	58%	0.05	59.1	0.77%	0	1.5	68	0
2	Apr_27_2015	105.23	107.4	108.36	109.31			110.26(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	13	92	31.12	51%	0.06	51.8	0.78%	0	1.9	73	0
3	Apr_24_2015	105.17	107.15	108.06	108.78			110.54(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	-10000	20	79	32.51	51%	0.05	36.4	0.84%	0	2.5	73	0
4	Apr_23_2015	105.12	106.87	107.76	107.88			109.06(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	6	58	29.47	48%	0.04	9.8	0.83%	0	1.8	72	0
5	Apr_22_2015	105.08	106.69	107.57	107.6			108.65(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	4	62	21.43	52%	0.03	-6.7	0.83%	0	1.8	72	0

6	Apr_21_2015	105.05	106.69	107.36	107.44			108.06(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	4	62	22.76	52%	0.04	-7.1	0.86%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Apr_20_2015	105.01	106.63	107.14	107.26			107.6(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	0	50	28.95	52%	0.01	-5	0.86%	0	0.9	54	0
8	Apr_17_2015	105	106.66	106.99	107.24			106.01(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	7	-10000	-8	50	46.51	49%	0.01	7.5	0.85%	0	-0.6	54	0
9	Apr_16_2015	104.99	106.66	106.93	107.59			107.69(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	2	70	16.2	55%	0.03	24.5	0.83%	0	0.8	67	0
10	Apr_15_2015	104.96	106.76	106.67	107.51			107.84(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	67	21.13	52%	0.03	33.3	0.84%	0	0.9	64	0

11	Apr_14_2015	104.93	106.7	106.44	107.27			107.17(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	6	45	23.76	52%	0.02	33.3	0.85%	0	0.4	44	0
12	Apr_13_2015	104.91	106.68	106.39	107			107.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	7	26	17.78	52%	0.04	23.1	0.86%	0	0.7	44	0
13	Apr_10_2015	104.87	106.57	106.19	106.7			107.75(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	-10000	12	-1	17.16	50%	0.05	8.2	0.86%	0	1	43	0
14	Apr_9_2015	104.82	106.47	105.91	106.17			107.31(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	10	-38	23.11	50%	0.04	-15.7	0.87%	0	0.7	44	0
15	Apr_8_2015	104.78	106.36	105.71	105.72			106.64(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	5	-72	25.87	54%	0.03	-39.1	0.87%	0	0.2	42	0

16	Apr_7_2015	104.75	106.32	105.81	105.51			105.8(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-4	-76	19.38	56%	0.03	-55.9	0.89%	0	-0.4	45	0
17	Apr_6_2015	104.72	106.41	106.04	105.7			105.98(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	2	-59	24.45	53%	0.05	-57	0.91%	0	-0.4	47	0
18	Apr_2_2015	104.67	106.48	106.27	105.7			105.12(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	0	-45	19.16	50%	0.03	-60.5	0.93%	0	-1.1	52	0
19	Apr_1_2015	104.64	106.65	106.56	105.6			105.05(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-2	-35	32.97	50%	0.02	-61.2	0.93%	0	-1.2	49	0
20	Mar_31_2015	104.62	106.82	106.86	105.68			105.6(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-20	30.49	49%	0.04	-59	0.94%	0	-0.9	55	0

21	Mar_30_2015	104.58	106.98	106.86	106.15			106.73(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-4	-10000	-6	3	30.57	50%	0.06	-46.5	0.94%	0	-0.2	56	0
22	Mar_27_2015	104.52	107.11	107	106.47			105.52(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-10000	-12	6	33.88	48%	0.04	-36.9	0.92%	0	-1.1	40	0
23	Mar_26_2015	104.48	107.25	107.02	107.07			105.1(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	-10000	-12	15	47.85	48%	0.03	-25.6	0.93%	0	-1.6	40	0
24	Mar_25_2015	104.45	107.45	107.02	107.66			105.46(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-2	-10000	-10	21	41.58	48%	0.05	-10.8	0.93%	0	-1.5	37	0
25	Mar_24_2015	104.4	107.6	107.13	108.16			107.93(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	4	27	22.45	53%		3.5	0.89%	0	0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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