Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $108.6400 (0.18%) ($108.1900 - $108.9700) on Thu. Mar. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $108.6400(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    VT(83%)    XLY(82%)    IVE(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.75(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.65(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.12(1.42%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.7
One Month Target Price   > $109.4
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $104.09

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.7% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.7% away from the target price of 109.4.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2015	103.14	107.12	108.65	108.75			108.64(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	48	15.38	52%	0.17	79.6	0.97%	0	0.7	74	0
2	Mar_4_2015	102.97	106.85	108.57	108.8			108.45(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	1	67	21.01	52%	0.16	79.6	0.97%	0	0.7	79	0
3	Mar_3_2015	102.81	106.58	108.45	108.77			108.87(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	1	83	20.79	52%	0.16	79.3	0.97%	0	1	84	0
4	Mar_2_2015	102.65	106.25	108.28	108.72			109.38(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	3	106	22.99	52%	0.16	71.6	0.97%	0	1.3	92	0
5	Feb_27_2015	102.49	105.84	108.03	108.72			108.4(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	0	123	27.76	50%	0.12	61.7	0.96%	0	1	87	0

6	Feb_26_2015	102.37	105.52	107.8	108.55			108.88(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	-10000	5	141	22.26	50%	0.11	57.6	0.96%	0	1.3	83	0
7	Feb_25_2015	102.26	105.12	107.41	108.31			108.33(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	4	146	19.47	50%	0.12	52.4	0.96%	0	1.2	84	0
8	Feb_24_2015	102.14	104.78	107.03	108.08			108.6(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	6	151	19.75	50%	0.11	50	0.96%	0	1.5	85	0
9	Feb_23_2015	102.03	104.54	106.48	107.76			108.52(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	6	147	17.87	50%	0.11	56.8	0.97%	0	1.6	87	0
10	Feb_20_2015	101.92	104.3	105.94	107.44			108.41(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	9	152	28.34	50%	0.11	67.3	0.97%	0	1.8	88	0

11	Feb_19_2015	101.81	104.06	105.47	106.95			107.69(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	-10000	11	151	19.83	50%	0.11	75.5	0.97%	0	1.8	79	0
12	Feb_18_2015	101.7	103.77	104.98	106.37			107.16(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	11	145	15.15	50%	0.09	75.3	0.97%	0	1.8	80	0
13	Feb_17_2015	101.61	103.48	104.55	105.82			107.01(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	47	-10000	16	141	17.68	50%	0.12	72.9	0.97%	0	2	76	0
14	Feb_13_2015	101.49	103.16	104.04	104.98			106.91(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	15	102	29.03	50%	0.09	59.1	0.97%	0	2.3	58	0
15	Feb_12_2015	101.4	102.8	103.46	104.22			106(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	9	60	22.52	50%	0.06	38.8	0.96%	0	2.1	54	0

16	Feb_11_2015	101.34	102.54	103.03	103.77			104.78(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	8	34	20.3	48%	0.07	33.3	0.95%	0	1.6	51	0
17	Feb_10_2015	101.27	102.36	102.64	103.39			104.4(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	6	14	23.69	48%	0.05	32.6	0.95%	0	1.5	58	0
18	Feb_9_2015	101.22	102.21	102.33	103.1			102.8(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	3	2	22.6	45%	0.03	28.9	0.93%	0	0.5	56	0
19	Feb_6_2015	101.19	102.21	102.44	102.94			103.13(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	9	17	34.17	45%	0.03	24.8	0.93%	0	0.7	61	0
20	Feb_5_2015	101.16	102.2	102.44	102.53			103.76(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	8	29	23.61	45%	0.04	15.7	0.93%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Feb_4_2015	101.12	102.07	102.53	102.16			102.87(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	35	34.07	45%	0.04	-3.4	0.92%	0	0.7	58	0
22	Feb_3_2015	101.08	101.94	102.45	101.77			102.96(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	24	30.75	45%	0.05	-29	0.92%	0	0.8	55	0
23	Feb_2_2015	101.03	101.86	102.32	101.47			101.98(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-5	-10000	-9	8	43.62	43%	0.02	-50	0.92%	0	0.1	52	0
24	Jan_30_2015	101.01	101.9	102.23	101.9			101.1(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10000	-13	12	42.93	46%	0.01	-45.2	0.93%	0	-0.6	44	0
25	Jan_29_2015	101	102	102.12	102.53			101.89(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-9	15	46.54	46%		-34.4	0.92%	0	-0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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