Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ QQQ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $106.0100 (0.46%) ($105.7300 - $106.2500) on Fri. Nov. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $106.0100(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    VT(83%)    XLY(82%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.98(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.22(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.1(2.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2.1
One Month Target Price   > $106.01
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $101.08

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -6.2% away from the target price of 106.01.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2014	98.52	103.1	104.22	104.98			106.01(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	-10000	9	91	17.36	55%	0.15	100	0.93%	0	2.1	87	0
2	Nov_26_2014	98.37	102.8	103.9	104.52			105.52(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	-10000	10	85	18.97	55%	0.11	94.4	0.92%	0	1.9	84	0
3	Nov_25_2014	98.26	102.51	103.59	104.05			104.84(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	22	-10000	5	74	17.53	55%	0.1	101.5	0.92%	0	1.7	83	0
4	Nov_24_2014	98.16	102.28	103.33	103.82			104.68(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	-10000	7	74	17.93	55%	0.06	103.5	0.92%	0	1.6	83	0
5	Nov_21_2014	98.1	101.98	103.05	103.47			103.87(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	3	63	34.05	55%	0.09	107.4	0.91%	0	1.2	73	0

6	Nov_20_2014	98.01	101.73	102.83	103.34			103.67(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	4	62	22.87	55%	0.08	112.9	0.91%	0	1.2	74	0
7	Nov_19_2014	97.93	101.44	102.63	103.18			103.21(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	3	67	23.76	55%	0.09	112.3	0.91%	0	0.9	80	0
8	Nov_18_2014	97.84	101.12	102.45	103.03			103.68(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	6	74	26.34	56%	0.09	112.9	0.91%	0	1.3	87	0
9	Nov_17_2014	97.75	100.78	102.21	102.75			102.91(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	4	71	23.36	56%	0.1	103.4	0.91%	0	0.9	78	0
10	Nov_14_2014	97.65	100.38	102.09	102.56			103.22(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	7	85	19.25	56%	0.1	89.5	0.91%	0	1	87	0

11	Nov_13_2014	97.55	99.88	101.9	102.24			102.9(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	5	90	28.03	58%	0.09	74.3	0.91%	0	1	86	0
12	Nov_12_2014	97.46	99.35	101.62	102			102.46(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	5	96	22.05	58%	0.1	61.1	0.92%	0	0.9	88	0
13	Nov_11_2014	97.36	98.86	101.36	101.78			102.28(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	4	111	15.45	58%	0.1	49.6	0.92%	0	1	90	0
14	Nov_10_2014	97.26	98.41	101.15	101.6			101.96(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	1	125	20.36	58%	0.09	43.1	0.92%	0	1	83	0
15	Nov_7_2014	97.17	97.96	100.84	101.54			101.6(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	1	152	20.93	58%	0.09	37	0.92%	0	1	87	0

16	Nov_6_2014	97.08	97.6	100.55	101.5			101.69(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	-10000	7	190	24.67	58%	0.09	33.3	0.93%	0	1.2	90	0
17	Nov_5_2014	96.99	97.34	100.17	101.17			101.37(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	-10000	7	220	25.82	57%	0.09	31.5	0.93%	0	1.2	91	0
18	Nov_4_2014	96.9	97.16	99.7	100.86			101.36(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	-10000	5	237	22.77	58%	0.09	32.2	0.93%	0	1.3	86	0
19	Nov_3_2014	96.81	96.9	99.25	100.62			101.7(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	-10000	13	263	33.48	58%	0.09	28.5	0.93%	0	1.6	83	0
20	Oct_31_2014	96.72	96.68	98.54	100.02			101.4(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	-10000	12	256	54.25	55%	0.1	23.4	0.93%	0	1.7	83	0

21	Oct_30_2014	96.62	96.48	97.71	99.46			100.02(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	-10000	9	224	35.94	53%	0.07	18.5	0.96%	0	1.4	70	0
22	Oct_29_2014	96.55	96.31	96.92	99.02			99.81(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	-10000	14	184	40.55	53%	0.07	13.5	0.96%	0	1.4	57	0
23	Oct_28_2014	96.48	96.16	96.18	98.34			100.18(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	14	126	34.5	53%	0.07	1.2	0.96%	0	1.7	52	0
24	Oct_27_2014	96.41	96.05	95.44	97.67			98.69(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	19	86	29.55	51%	0.06	-6.6	0.94%	0	1.1	54	0
25	Oct_24_2014	96.35	96.02	94.85	96.81			98.62(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	25	27	43.16	51%		-17.6	0.94%	0	1.1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.