Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $101.3700 (0.01%) ($101.0200 - $102.0300) on Wed. Nov. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $101.3700(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    VT(83%)    XLY(82%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.17(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.17(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $97.34(4.14%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $101.37
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $96.66

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.1% away from the target price of 101.37.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.36% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2014	96.99	97.34	100.17	101.17			101.37(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	60	-10000	7	220	25.82	57%	0.09	31.5	0.93%	0	1.2	91	0
2	Nov_4_2014	96.9	97.16	99.7	100.86			101.36(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	-10000	5	237	22.77	58%	0.09	32.2	0.93%	0	1.3	86	0
3	Nov_3_2014	96.81	96.9	99.25	100.62			101.7(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	-10000	13	263	33.48	58%	0.09	28.5	0.93%	0	1.6	83	0
4	Oct_31_2014	96.72	96.68	98.54	100.02			101.4(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	-10000	12	256	54.25	55%	0.1	23.4	0.93%	0	1.7	83	0
5	Oct_30_2014	96.62	96.48	97.71	99.46			100.02(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	-10000	9	224	35.94	53%	0.07	18.5	0.96%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Oct_29_2014	96.55	96.31	96.92	99.02			99.81(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	-10000	14	184	40.55	53%	0.07	13.5	0.96%	0	1.4	57	0
7	Oct_28_2014	96.48	96.16	96.18	98.34			100.18(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	14	126	34.5	53%	0.07	1.2	0.96%	0	1.7	52	0
8	Oct_27_2014	96.41	96.05	95.44	97.67			98.69(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	19	86	29.55	51%	0.06	-6.6	0.94%	0	1.1	54	0
9	Oct_24_2014	96.35	96.02	94.85	96.81			98.62(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	25	27	43.16	51%	0.07	-17.6	0.94%	0	1.1	49	0
10	Oct_23_2014	96.28	96	94.39	95.69			97.82(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	-10000	27	-38	48.12	52%	0.06	-34.2	0.94%	0	0.8	47	0

11	Oct_22_2014	96.22	95.98	94.22	94.48			96.37(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	18	-91	39.18	50%	0.05	-51.4	0.92%	0	0.2	46	0
12	Oct_21_2014	96.17	96.13	94.36	93.68			96.87(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-16	-10000	18	-116	53.61	50%	0.06	-58.8	0.92%	0	0.3	47	0
13	Oct_20_2014	96.11	96.21	94.28	92.9			94.39(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-39	-10000	7	-177	41.48	46%	0.03	-67.3	0.86%	0	-0.7	35	0
14	Oct_17_2014	96.08	96.44	94.6	92.62			93(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-56	-10000	-7	-202	69.55	44%	0.02	-68.4	0.86%	0	-1.3	30	0
15	Oct_16_2014	96.06	96.79	95.11	92.91			91.79(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-70	-10000	-25	-205	93.17	42%	0.01	-66.5	0.86%	0	-2	24	0

16	Oct_15_2014	96.05	97.22	95.67	93.92			92.37(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-66	-10000	-30	-173	108.85	42%	0.01	-61.8	0.86%	0	-2.1	32	0
17	Oct_14_2014	96.04	97.6	96.18	95.14			92.97(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-48	-10000	-17	-140	71.81	42%	-0.03	-55.5	0.86%	0	-2.3	28	0
18	Oct_13_2014	96.07	97.94	96.78	95.86			92.96(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-47	-10000	-24	-116	80.84	42%	0.03	-53.9	0.86%	0	-2.9	33	0
19	Oct_10_2014	96.04	98.24	97.38	96.86			94.44(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-34	-10000	-18	-81	77.58	45%	0.06	-56.3	0.84%	0	-2.9	36	0
20	Oct_9_2014	95.98	98.51	97.84	97.6			96.86(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-2	-56	62.5	49%	0.08	-54.2	0.79%	0	-1.6	38	0

21	Oct_8_2014	95.9	98.67	97.94	97.67			98.45(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	7	-71	64.93	50%	0.1	-52.9	0.76%	0	-0.2	41	0
22	Oct_7_2014	95.8	98.75	98.05	97.42			96.57(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-12	-92	45.15	46%	0.09	-56.3	0.74%	0	-2.1	37	0
23	Oct_6_2014	95.71	98.89	98.28	97.87			97.96(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-4	-77	36.04	49%	0.1	-54.3	0.72%	0	-1	43	0
24	Oct_3_2014	95.61	99	98.39	98.01			98.17(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-3	-66	41.63	49%	0.13	-49.5	0.73%	0	-0.9	49	0
25	Oct_2_2014	95.49	99.08	98.56	98.13			97.21(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-17	-10000	-3	-59	54.5	46%		-44.9	0.72%	0	-2.1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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