Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $91.3100 (0.01%) ($90.8300 - $91.4500) on Fri. May. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $91.3100(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    VT(83%)    XLY(82%)    IWM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.84(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.71(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.58(3.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.8
One Month Target Price   > $92.31
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $87.83

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.1% away from the target price of 92.31.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2014	88.11	88.58	89.71	90.84			91.31(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	9	119	29.92	43%	0.05	66.7	0.97%	0	1.8	78	0
2	May_29_2014	88.07	88.39	89.3	90.43			91.3(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	-10000	11	109	33.04	43%	0.05	65	0.98%	0	2.1	79	0
3	May_28_2014	88.03	88.18	88.94	89.93			90.72(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	12	101	30.48	43%	0.05	66	0.98%	0	2	76	0
4	May_27_2014	87.99	87.99	88.68	89.39			91(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	32	-10000	12	91	29.73	43%	0.07	59.5	0.98%	0	2.7	76	0
5	May_23_2014	87.93	87.75	88.38	88.85			89.88(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	10	75	22.69	40%	0.03	53.3	0.95%	0	2.3	60	0

6	May_22_2014	87.9	87.56	88.07	88.42			89.23(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	10	55	30.62	40%	0.01	47.8	0.95%	0	2.1	60	0
7	May_21_2014	87.89	87.47	87.79	88			88.84(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	5	29	36.84	40%	0.01	46.9	0.96%	0	1.9	57	0
8	May_20_2014	87.88	87.36	87.57	87.8			88(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-1	13	33.72	40%	0.01	56.9	0.95%	0	1	54	0
9	May_19_2014	87.87	87.33	87.45	87.86			88.32(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	0	15	32.02	40%	0.01	79.2	0.95%	0	1.6	58	0
10	May_16_2014	87.86	87.26	87.39	87.84			87.71(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	4	26	66.81	40%	0	104.3	0.94%	0	0.7	60	0

11	May_15_2014	87.86	87.18	87.37	87.66			87.14(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	9	-10000	3	26	59.68	40%	-0.01	100	0.95%	0	-0.1	59	0
12	May_14_2014	87.87	87.14	87.42	87.53			87.83(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	6	23	26.48	40%	0	78.9	0.95%	0	1	51	0
13	May_13_2014	87.87	87.01	87.37	87.27			88.29(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	7	18	30.31	40%	0.01	51.1	0.95%	0	1.6	59	0
14	May_12_2014	87.86	86.84	87.25	86.98			88.23(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	1	-10000	1	2	38.95	40%	0.02	33.3	0.95%	0	1.6	53	0
15	May_9_2014	87.84	86.64	87.07	86.92			86.8(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-5	35.08	39%	0.01	17.7	0.93%	0	0.2	50	0

16	May_8_2014	87.83	86.56	87.02	87.06			86.48(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-6	-0	46.56	39%	0	5	0.94%	0	-0.1	53	0
17	May_7_2014	87.83	86.62	87.13	87.29			86.56(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-4	19	67.49	43%	0.02	4	0.94%	0	-0.1	54	0
18	May_6_2014	87.81	86.61	87.16	87.46			86.81(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-2	38	33.7	45%	0.01	-3.2	0.97%	0	0.2	62	0
19	May_5_2014	87.8	86.55	87.23	87.53			87.95(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	7	63	27.92	48%	0.03	-10.3	0.97%	0	1.3	71	0
20	May_2_2014	87.77	86.46	87.12	87.23			87.49(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	6	68	40.07	44%	0.03	-21.7	1%	0	1	73	0

21	May_1_2014	87.74	86.51	86.99	86.97			87.65(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	0	63	37.13	44%	0.03	-19.8	1.01%	0	1	64	0
22	Apr_30_2014	87.71	86.58	86.84	86.96			87.39(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	3	55	38.69	47%	0.01	-10.8	1.01%	0	0.6	47	0
23	Apr_29_2014	87.7	86.65	86.62	86.83			87.16(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-2	41	36.74	46%	0.01	-9.9	1.03%	0	0.4	53	0
24	Apr_28_2014	87.69	86.67	86.39	86.91			86.47(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-2	39	58.62	46%	0	-10.4	1.04%	0	-0.1	54	0
25	Apr_25_2014	87.69	86.69	86.18	86.98			86.19(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	0	30	44.34	44%		-15.3	1.04%	0	-0.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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