Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 29, 2013

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $75.2300 (-0.19%) ($75.0300 - $75.5400) on Mon. Jul. 29, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $75.2300(-0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(82%)    IWM(76%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.87(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.22(1.36%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.8
One Month Target Price   > $75.23
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $72.37

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.3% away from the target price of 75.23.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2013	71.55	74.22	75	74.87			75.23(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	19	20.97	50%	0.1	76.5	0.76%	0	0.8	71	0
2	Jul_26_2013	71.48	74.03	75.01	74.78			75.37(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	5	41	20.89	50%	0.08	72.3	0.77%	0	0.9	75	0
3	Jul_25_2013	71.42	73.83	75.01	74.63			74.97(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-3	56	23.17	50%	0.1	66.7	0.77%	0	0.7	74	0
4	Jul_24_2013	71.35	73.63	75	74.71			74.5(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-7	88	24.43	50%	0.08	59.5	0.77%	0	0.5	75	0
5	Jul_23_2013	71.29	73.43	74.92	74.92			74.26(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10000	-8	120	24.75	52%	0.1	50.4	0.77%	0	0.5	76	0

6	Jul_22_2013	71.22	73.22	74.83	75.14			74.81(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	35	-10000	-4	152	21.14	54%	0.1	42.1	0.77%	0	0.8	82	0
7	Jul_19_2013	71.15	73	74.64	75.27			74.59(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	40	-10000	-5	176	37.73	57%	0.11	39.7	0.77%	0	0.8	84	0
8	Jul_18_2013	71.07	72.82	74.46	75.41			75.37(-0.25%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	54	-10000	3	207	36.28	56%	0.11	38.1	0.77%	0	1.3	95	0
9	Jul_17_2013	70.99	72.68	74.13	75.33			75.56(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	65	-10000	14	216	24.63	52%	0.13	41.2	0.8%	0	1.6	98	0
10	Jul_16_2013	70.9	72.56	73.76	74.92			75.37(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	-10000	14	201	31.75	54%	0.14	40	0.84%	0	1.6	99	0

11	Jul_15_2013	70.8	72.42	73.39	74.47			75.47(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	-10000	18	198	19.79	51%	0.11	34.7	0.85%	0	1.9	0	0
12	Jul_12_2013	70.72	72.24	72.96	73.9			75.3(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	-10000	17	171	31.42	51%	0.13	24.1	0.89%	0	2.1	87	0
13	Jul_11_2013	70.63	72.09	72.54	73.36			74.97(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	50	-10000	18	147	47.78	51%	0.11	17.1	0.89%	0	2.3	77	0
14	Jul_10_2013	70.55	71.92	72.11	72.77			73.51(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	11	104	25.6	51%	0.09	4	0.86%	0	1.5	52	0
15	Jul_9_2013	70.49	71.92	71.79	72.42			73.09(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	9	54	26.12	51%	0.03	-7	0.89%	0	1.2	43	0

16	Jul_8_2013	70.47	71.87	71.45	72.14			72.65(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	9	13	20.56	51%	0.07	-13.7	0.89%	0	0.7	45	0
17	Jul_5_2013	70.42	71.89	71.23	71.87			72.58(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	9	-17	28.8	49%	0.1	-19.7	0.89%	0	0.6	50	0
18	Jul_3_2013	70.35	71.89	71.06	71.58			72.03(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	7	-48	18.85	48%	0.07	-34.7	0.89%	0	0.1	44	0
19	Jul_2_2013	70.3	71.88	71.1	71.35			71.74(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	9	-53	23.07	49%	0.06	-46.7	0.9%	0	-0.1	49	0
20	Jul_1_2013	70.26	71.93	71.25	71.05			71.71(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	12	-61	24.95	49%	0.04	-55.8	0.9%	0	-0.2	44	0

21	Jun_28_2013	70.23	72.01	71.36	70.66			71.27(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	5	-89	28.3	49%	0.06	-64.4	0.9%	0	-0.6	38	0
22	Jun_27_2013	70.19	72.11	71.45	70.49			71.17(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-27	-10000	1	-110	23.55	49%	0.07	-67.9	0.9%	0	-0.8	38	0
23	Jun_26_2013	70.14	72.24	71.6	70.46			70.87(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-10000	-12	-115	23.75	49%	0.04	-67.5	0.9%	0	-1.1	44	0
24	Jun_25_2013	70.11	72.38	71.71	70.84			70.24(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10000	-21	-104	28.9	48%	0.06	-62.8	0.9%	0	-1.8	43	0
25	Jun_24_2013	70.07	72.57	71.96	71.51			69.73(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-34	-10000	-20	-75	41.49	48%		-52.6	0.89%	0	-2.6	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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