Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $73.8900 (0.65%) ($73.6600 - $74.5400) on Tue. May. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $73.8900(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(76%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.73(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.79(0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73(1.22%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.8
One Month Target Price   > $73.89
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $71.05

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.6% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.4% away from the target price of 73.89.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2013	69.02	73	73.79	73.73			73.89(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-2	46	27.07	61%	0.13	88.7	0.77%	0	0.8	72	0
2	May_24_2013	68.93	72.82	73.72	73.79			73.41(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-6	56	26.44	60%	0.1	78.7	0.77%	0	0.4	67	0
3	May_23_2013	68.86	72.64	73.69	73.97			73.45(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-1	78	48.23	60%	0.09	81.4	0.78%	0	0.5	71	0
4	May_22_2013	68.8	72.47	73.62	73.99			73.62(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	-0	95	59.84	61%	0.07	84.9	0.78%	0	0.7	80	0
5	May_21_2013	68.75	72.27	73.54	74			74.27(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	5	122	25.9	61%	0.15	85.7	0.78%	0	1.2	93	0

6	May_20_2013	68.65	72.03	73.35	73.85			74.19(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	7	130	25.14	57%	0.16	81.6	0.8%	0	1.3	86	0
7	May_17_2013	68.54	71.76	73.17	73.64			74.3(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	8	139	31.12	57%	0.15	76.1	0.82%	0	1.4	89	0
8	May_16_2013	68.44	71.45	72.95	73.39			73.59(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	6	150	27.25	56%	0.13	64.4	0.82%	0	1.1	89	0
9	May_15_2013	68.35	71.14	72.73	73.2			73.67(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	6	155	27.21	56%	0.09	54.6	0.83%	0	1.3	86	0
10	May_14_2013	68.29	70.86	72.41	73.01			73.52(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	8	158	36.02	56%	0.13	49.8	0.83%	0	1.4	87	0

11	May_13_2013	68.2	70.65	72.13	72.77			73.14(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	5	159	29.73	56%	0.12	50.2	0.83%	0	1.4	85	0
12	May_10_2013	68.12	70.42	71.84	72.63			73.05(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	-10000	6	171	20.66	56%	0.1	52.1	0.82%	0	1.6	87	0
13	May_9_2013	68.05	70.25	71.5	72.44			72.61(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	9	179	29.34	56%	0.09	59.6	0.82%	0	1.5	88	0
14	May_8_2013	67.99	70.1	71.22	72.17			72.71(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	15	194	24.26	58%	0.1	63.8	0.83%	0	1.8	91	0
15	May_7_2013	67.92	69.95	70.89	71.71			72.36(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	-10000	11	182	25.84	58%	0.1	64.8	0.83%	0	1.8	77	0

16	May_6_2013	67.85	69.76	70.6	71.38			72.4(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	-10000	15	169	19.24	58%	0.12	61.1	0.83%	0	2	64	0
17	May_3_2013	67.77	69.54	70.23	70.94			72.12(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	-10000	17	143	34.06	56%	0.1	55.9	0.87%	0	2.2	67	0
18	May_2_2013	67.7	69.32	69.82	70.43			71.28(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	9	97	31.74	55%	0.09	45.6	0.87%	0	1.9	55	0
19	May_1_2013	67.64	69.18	69.42	70.14			70.39(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	57	28.54	55%	0.06	40.4	0.86%	0	1.3	51	0
20	Apr_30_2013	67.6	69.07	69.19	69.94			70.72(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	8	30	30.15	55%	0.09	34.9	0.86%	0	1.9	52	0

21	Apr_29_2013	67.54	68.98	69.05	69.69			70.21(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	10	24	31.66	55%	0.09	33.6	0.86%	0	1.5	58	0
22	Apr_26_2013	67.48	68.89	68.87	69.4			69.57(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	10	11	24.08	53%	0.06	24.8	0.85%	0	0.9	58	0
23	Apr_25_2013	67.44	68.85	68.87	69.11			69.79(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	18	17	26.44	53%	0.07	20.5	0.85%	0	1.2	61	0
24	Apr_24_2013	67.39	68.8	68.89	68.58			69.42(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	9	-2	44.5	51%	0.06	2.8	0.85%	0	0.8	55	0
25	Apr_23_2013	67.35	68.76	68.93	68.32			69.45(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.6	-2	-10000	-0	-6	53.08	51%		-3.8	0.87%	0	1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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