Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ QQQ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 9, 2013

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $72.6100 (-0.14%) ($72.4700 - $73.1000) on Thu. May. 9, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $72.6100(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(76%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.44(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.5(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.25(3.36%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.5
One Month Target Price   > $72.61
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $69.63

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.3% away from the target price of 72.61.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2013	68.05	70.25	71.5	72.44			72.61(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	-10000	9	179	29.34	56%	0.09	59.6	0.82%	0	1.5	88	0
2	May_8_2013	67.99	70.1	71.22	72.17			72.71(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	15	194	24.26	58%	0.1	63.8	0.83%	0	1.8	91	0
3	May_7_2013	67.92	69.95	70.89	71.71			72.36(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	-10000	11	182	25.84	58%	0.1	64.8	0.83%	0	1.8	77	0
4	May_6_2013	67.85	69.76	70.6	71.38			72.4(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	-10000	15	169	19.24	58%	0.12	61.1	0.83%	0	2	64	0
5	May_3_2013	67.77	69.54	70.23	70.94			72.12(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	-10000	17	143	34.06	56%	0.1	55.9	0.87%	0	2.2	67	0

6	May_2_2013	67.7	69.32	69.82	70.43			71.28(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	9	97	31.74	55%	0.09	45.6	0.87%	0	1.9	55	0
7	May_1_2013	67.64	69.18	69.42	70.14			70.39(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	57	28.54	55%	0.06	40.4	0.86%	0	1.3	51	0
8	Apr_30_2013	67.6	69.07	69.19	69.94			70.72(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	8	30	30.15	55%	0.09	34.9	0.86%	0	1.9	52	0
9	Apr_29_2013	67.54	68.98	69.05	69.69			70.21(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	10	24	31.66	55%	0.09	33.6	0.86%	0	1.5	58	0
10	Apr_26_2013	67.48	68.89	68.87	69.4			69.57(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	10	11	24.08	53%	0.06	24.8	0.85%	0	0.9	58	0

11	Apr_25_2013	67.44	68.85	68.87	69.11			69.79(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	18	17	26.44	53%	0.07	20.5	0.85%	0	1.2	61	0
12	Apr_24_2013	67.39	68.8	68.89	68.58			69.42(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	9	-2	44.5	51%	0.06	2.8	0.85%	0	0.8	55	0
13	Apr_23_2013	67.35	68.76	68.93	68.32			69.45(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.6	-2	-10000	-0	-6	53.08	51%	0.06	-3.8	0.87%	0	1	56	0
14	Apr_22_2013	67.31	68.7	68.85	68.33			68.79(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	2	-8	34.41	49%	0.04	-3.9	0.87%	0	0.1	49	0
15	Apr_19_2013	67.28	68.7	68.8	68.28			68.09(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-13	-20	43.07	47%	0.04	-5.8	0.86%	0	-0.8	49	0

16	Apr_18_2013	67.25	68.69	68.79	68.65			67.17(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-17	-10000	-19	-11	56.8	45%	0.01	2.9	0.85%	0	-2.1	41	0
17	Apr_17_2013	67.24	68.78	68.94	69.21			68.11(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-5	-10000	-13	21	60.2	47%	0.06	29.3	0.83%	0	-1.1	47	0
18	Apr_16_2013	67.2	68.79	68.99	69.6			69.47(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	6	51	27.68	51%	0.06	43.3	0.79%	0	1.1	55	0
19	Apr_15_2013	67.16	68.79	68.99	69.44			68.56(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.4	15	-10000	3	49	48.8	48%	0.06	32.6	0.77%	0	-0.3	53	0
20	Apr_12_2013	67.12	68.73	68.94	69.37			69.94(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	17	53	32.79	53%	0.04	28.1	0.73%	0	2	62	0

21	Apr_11_2013	67.09	68.67	68.83	68.95			69.99(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.9	18	-10000	12	35	37.24	53%	0.09	12.7	0.74%	0	2.4	67	0
22	Apr_10_2013	67.03	68.6	68.7	68.64			70.02(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	14	-10000	13	16	55.27	53%	0.1	-3	0.74%	0	3.2	58	0
23	Apr_9_2013	66.96	68.52	68.55	68.32			68.68(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-4	-10000	-3	-7	30.93	48%	0.07	-34.1	0.7%	0	0.5	54	0
24	Apr_8_2013	66.91	68.53	68.52	68.39			68.22(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-2	17.9	48%	0.09	-8.5	0.7%	0	-1	50	0
25	Apr_5_2013	66.85	68.56	68.56	68.45			67.86(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-7	-10000	-9	1	55.61	48%		15.6	0.69%	0	-2.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.