Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $68.8600 (0.34%) ($68.7100 - $69.0100) on Thu. Mar. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $68.8600(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(76%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.79(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.51(0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.88(1.44%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $69.41
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $66.36

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.8% away from the target price of 69.41.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2013	66.2	67.88	68.51	68.79			68.86(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	1	95	31.54	59%	0.06	32.8	0.88%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Mar_13_2013	66.16	67.83	68.35	68.76			68.63(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	1	100	34.3	59%	0.06	37.2	0.89%	0	1	71	0
3	Mar_12_2013	66.12	67.78	68.21	68.73			68.72(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	0	101	27.58	59%	0.05	39	0.89%	0	1.2	62	0
4	Mar_11_2013	66.09	67.73	68.01	68.72			68.97(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	8	92	23.19	61%	0.05	50	0.89%	0	1.6	53	0
5	Mar_8_2013	66.06	67.68	67.75	68.47			68.77(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	9	65	26.16	61%	0.03	46.2	0.9%	0	1.5	56	0

6	Mar_7_2013	66.04	67.6	67.57	68.19			68.69(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	10	44	21.78	61%	0	40.6	0.91%	0	1.6	53	0
7	Mar_6_2013	66.04	67.52	67.35	67.87			68.51(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	8	12	29.07	61%	0.02	31.2	0.91%	0	1.6	52	0
8	Mar_5_2013	66.03	67.46	67.2	67.62			68.68(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	10	-10000	14	-4	35.59	59%	0.02	24.1	0.91%	0	2.1	55	0
9	Mar_4_2013	66.02	67.46	67.2	67.19			67.68(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	9	-27	19.38	57%	0.02	-1.2	0.91%	0	0.6	46	0
10	Mar_1_2013	66.01	67.35	67.13	66.92			67.38(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	2	-48	31.62	57%	0.02	-9.6	0.9%	0	0.1	44	0

11	Feb_28_2013	66	67.35	67.17	66.87			67.1(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	4	-46	28.56	57%	0	-9.4	0.89%	0	-0.4	49	0
12	Feb_27_2013	66	67.35	67.25	66.74			67.24(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-12	-10000	0	-48	36.34	57%	0	-20	0.9%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	Feb_26_2013	66	67.32	67.3	66.73			66.56(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-11	-52	42.09	55%	-0.03	-21.2	0.89%	0	-1.3	43	0
14	Feb_25_2013	66.02	67.36	67.44	67.07			66.31(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-10000	-10	-20	40.93	55%	-0.05	-5	0.89%	0	-1.9	52	0
15	Feb_22_2013	66.05	67.4	67.62	67.36			67.14(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10000	-5	0	21.97	60%	-0.03	9.5	0.9%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Feb_21_2013	66.07	67.38	67.65	67.52			66.47(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-5	-10000	-10	12	45.86	59%	-0.05	15.6	0.89%	0	-1.7	50	0
17	Feb_20_2013	66.1	67.38	67.74	67.82			67.19(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-4	33	38.2	61%	-0.02	43.7	0.88%	0	-0.5	53	0
18	Feb_19_2013	66.11	67.44	67.78	67.93			68.24(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	2	47	23.43	69%	-0.05	52.1	0.86%	0	1.7	59	0
19	Feb_15_2013	66.14	67.38	67.61	67.88			67.75(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-2	36	25.33	69%	-0.03	53.8	0.89%	0	0.8	56	0
20	Feb_14_2013	66.16	67.35	67.6	67.93			67.95(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	4	47	24.48	66%	0	56.9	0.9%	0	1.4	59	0

21	Feb_13_2013	66.16	67.3	67.49	67.8			67.97(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	43	23.5	66%	-0.02	53.2	0.91%	0	1.6	63	0
22	Feb_12_2013	66.17	67.23	67.4	67.65			67.73(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	29	22.06	66%	-0.03	45.9	0.92%	0	1.2	50	0
23	Feb_11_2013	66.19	67.19	67.34	67.6			68.01(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	10	30	17.65	66%	-0.03	46.7	0.91%	0	2.1	56	0
24	Feb_8_2013	66.21	67.15	67.24	67.29			67.99(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	4	-10000	2	11	39.85	62%	-0.03	38.5	0.91%	0	2.4	57	0
25	Feb_7_2013	66.23	67.1	67.14	67.23			67.3(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	3	6	46.01	56%		46.5	0.93%	0	0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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