Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $67.3000 (0.09%) ($66.5600 - $67.3700) on Thu. Feb. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $67.3000(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(77%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.23(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.14(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.1(0.3%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.7
One Month Target Price   > $67.84
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $64.69

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.8% away from the target price of 67.84.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0.43% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2013	66.23	67.1	67.14	67.23			67.3(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	3	6	46.01	56%	-0.06	46.5	0.93%	0	0.7	50	0
2	Feb_6_2013	66.27	67.08	67.08	67.14			67.24(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	1	-1	43.6	56%	-0.05	28.9	0.98%	0	0.5	53	0
3	Feb_5_2013	66.3	67.04	67.1	67.1			67.46(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	2	5	35.13	56%	-0.05	43.8	0.98%	0	1.3	58	0
4	Feb_4_2013	66.33	67	67.07	67.04			66.48(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-3	-10000	-4	1	48.48	53%	-0.06	82.6	0.97%	0	-1.7	47	0
5	Feb_1_2013	66.37	67.01	67.14	67.17			67.66(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	4	10	53.12	57%	-0.03	131.1	0.95%	0	2.2	53	0

6	Jan_31_2013	66.39	66.97	67.14	67.04			66.87(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	1	-10000	1	2	34.87	55%	-0.03	179.5	0.95%	0	-0.4	46	0
7	Jan_30_2013	66.41	66.99	67.09	67			67.02(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-3	0	34.44	55%	-0.02	210	0.96%	0	0.1	54	0
8	Jan_29_2013	66.42	66.9	67.06	67.11			67.16(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	-0	8	35.55	55%	-0.03	211.9	0.96%	0	0.9	59	0
9	Jan_28_2013	66.44	66.75	67.04	67.12			67.15(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	1	12	32.93	55%	-0.03	101.4	0.97%	0	0.8	57	0
10	Jan_25_2013	66.46	66.62	67.05	67.1			67(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-1	15	39.25	55%	-0.05	49.2	0.97%	0	0.5	55	0

11	Jan_24_2013	66.49	66.5	67.06	67.14			66.66(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-1	21	42.6	55%	-0.02	34	0.97%	0	0.2	48	0
12	Jan_23_2013	66.5	66.43	67.08	67.19			67.59(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	23	31.98	56%	-0.02	30.7	0.95%	0	1.1	54	0
13	Jan_22_2013	66.51	66.31	66.98	67			67.18(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	1	23	32.12	56%	-0.02	28.2	0.96%	0	0.8	72	0
14	Jan_18_2013	66.52	66.26	66.92	66.96			67.07(-0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-1	43	31.99	49%	0	30.9	1%	0	0.7	78	0
15	Jan_17_2013	66.52	66.21	66.88	66.99			67.22(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	0	64	32.03	49%	-0.02	34.4	1.01%	0	0.9	72	0

16	Jan_16_2013	66.53	66.17	66.84	66.98			66.9(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	1	85	33.83	51%	-0.03	37.7	1.01%	0	0.7	69	0
17	Jan_15_2013	66.55	66.1	66.86	66.96			66.63(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	1	101	31.68	51%	-0.03	40.1	1.03%	0	0.5	62	0
18	Jan_14_2013	66.57	66.01	66.73	66.94			66.96(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	2	102	36.78	51%	-0.02	39.1	1.03%	0	0.9	63	0
19	Jan_11_2013	66.58	65.92	66.44	66.87			67.26(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	3	82	21.16	51%	-0.02	37.1	1.03%	0	1.3	55	0
20	Jan_10_2013	66.59	65.84	66.17	66.75			67.17(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	2	63	37.53	51%	-0.02	39.2	1.03%	0	1.3	54	0

21	Jan_9_2013	66.6	65.78	65.9	66.68			66.77(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-3	42	25.61	49%	-0.03	41.8	1.03%	0	1	50	0
22	Jan_8_2013	66.62	65.69	65.73	66.77			66.52(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	8	47	28.74	48%	-0.03	43	1.05%	0	0.9	56	0
23	Jan_7_2013	66.64	65.61	65.59	66.49			66.65(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	16	41	26.77	48%	-0.02	31.4	1.05%	0	1.1	62	0
24	Jan_4_2013	66.65	65.54	65.53	65.92			66.63(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	13	20	33.97	48%	-0.03	11.7	1.05%	0	1.2	57	0
25	Jan_3_2013	66.67	65.45	65.47	65.47			66.85(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	14	2	47.37	48%		-5.3	1.05%	0	1.6	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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