Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $65.6000 (0.66%) ($65.0400 - $65.7300) on Mon. Nov. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $65.6000(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(82%)    IWM(77%)    EEM(70%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $62.52(-4.7%)
Resistance Level   $66.43
5 Day Moving Average   $65.39(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.43(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.43(-1.25%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2012	66.42	66.43	65.43	65.39			65.6(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	4	-110	28.1	46%	0.03	-77.4	0.8%	0	-0.8	43	0
2	Nov_2_2012	66.4	66.61	65.58	65.39			65.17(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	0	-110	44.08	50%	0.05	-71	0.83%	0	-1.2	40	0
3	Nov_1_2012	66.37	66.8	65.85	65.3			65.87(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	4	-100	26.94	53%	0.06	-63.1	0.82%	0	-0.7	42	0
4	Oct_31_2012	66.33	66.94	66.05	65.2			64.95(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-9	-107	38.52	49%	0.17	-62.7	0.8%	0	-1.4	33	0
5	Oct_26_2012	66.22	67.12	66.28	65.42			65.35(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-2	-100	54.22	58%	0.05	-64.2	0.84%	0	-1.3	28	0

6	Oct_25_2012	66.19	67.28	66.42	65.48			65.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-42	-10000	-15	-123	52.69	58%	0.03	-69.7	0.85%	0	-1.6	24	0
7	Oct_24_2012	66.17	67.49	66.59	65.91			65.16(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-47	-10000	-20	-126	39.87	58%	0.06	-70.6	0.86%	0	-1.8	23	0
8	Oct_23_2012	66.13	67.65	66.78	66.49			65.39(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-10000	-19	-114	52.6	58%	0.08	-71.9	0.86%	0	-1.9	26	0
9	Oct_22_2012	66.08	67.83	66.98	67.04			66.02(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-10000	-8	-93	38.62	60%	0.09	-68.3	0.87%	0	-1.6	33	0
10	Oct_19_2012	66.02	68.01	67.21	67.27			65.68(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-10000	-7	-82	75.36	57%	0.05	-65.6	0.88%	0	-2.1	32	0

11	Oct_18_2012	65.99	68.24	67.54	67.47			67.29(-1.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	-10000	4	-67	61.71	65%	0.08	-64.5	0.84%	0	-0.9	39	0
12	Oct_17_2012	65.94	68.39	67.73	67.35			68.08(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	8	-72	33.44	69%	0.09	-62.3	0.84%	0	-0.3	39	0
13	Oct_16_2012	65.88	68.49	67.82	67.12			68.12(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-15	-10000	6	-79	33.96	69%	0.03	-58.6	0.84%	0	-0.3	50	0
14	Oct_15_2012	65.86	68.59	67.86	66.95			67.17(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-8	-98	22.22	67%	0.08	-54.3	0.83%	0	-1.2	38	0
15	Oct_12_2012	65.81	68.75	68	67.18			66.68(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-16	-100	24.89	69%	0.08	-43.9	0.84%	0	-1.7	28	0

16	Oct_11_2012	65.76	68.93	68.2	67.64			66.71(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-18	-90	30.48	69%	0.06	-33.5	0.85%	0	-2	27	0
17	Oct_10_2012	65.72	69.08	68.45	68.17			66.92(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-29	-10000	-15	-71	45.13	69%	0.08	-23	0.85%	0	-2.3	26	0
18	Oct_9_2012	65.67	69.18	68.6	68.61			67.26(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-24	-10000	-10	-65	67.97	69%	0.06	-8.9	0.86%	0	-2.3	27	0
19	Oct_8_2012	65.63	69.26	68.77	68.89			68.35(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-1	-61	30.91	75%	0.12	1.9	0.84%	0	-1.2	33	0
20	Oct_5_2012	65.55	69.27	68.9	68.92			68.98(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	3	-64	25.21	74%	0.12	5.8	0.84%	0	-0.4	38	0

21	Oct_4_2012	65.47	69.3	69	68.83			69.35(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	1	-71	26.13	74%	0.09	13.5	0.84%	0	0.1	40	0
22	Oct_3_2012	65.41	69.31	69.08	68.79			69.11(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	6	-65	38.24	74%	0.09	18	0.85%	0	-0.3	46	0
23	Oct_2_2012	65.35	69.26	69.2	68.61			68.67(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-1	-64	33.25	74%	0.08	8.5	0.85%	0	-0.7	53	0
24	Oct_1_2012	65.3	69.24	69.36	68.63			68.47(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-8	-50	37.72	74%	0.08	7.6	0.85%	0	-0.9	54	0
25	Sep_28_2012	65.25	69.23	69.53	68.88			68.57(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-10	-21	30.12	77%		15.7	0.93%	0	-0.8	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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