Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $62.6900 (-2.49%) ($62.6200 - $64.3100) on Thu. Jun. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $62.6900(-2.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(77%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.56(-1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.98(-0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.44(0.4%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2012	64.52		62.98	63.56			62.69(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	24	-10000	2	91	42.49	41%	0.02	44.7	1.14%	0	0.3	65	0
2	Jun_20_2012	64.51	62.44	62.95	63.49			64.29(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	12	99	51.39	44%	0.06	41.4	1.1%	0	1.9	61	0
3	Jun_19_2012	64.47	62.33	62.76	63.06			64.24(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	-10000	10	80	36.48	44%	0.06	27.4	1.1%	0	2.3	58	0
4	Jun_18_2012	64.43	62.23	62.45	62.72			63.58(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	10	51	32.19	44%	0.05	12.9	1.1%	0	1.9	52	0
5	Jun_15_2012	64.4	62.09	62.18	62.37			62.99(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	1	21	41.54	44%	0.05	-21.9	1.09%	0	1.3	54	0

6	Jun_14_2012	64.37	62.02	61.93	62.35			62.36(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	1	7	65.17	44%	0.03	-40.5	1.08%	0	0.5	51	0
7	Jun_13_2012	64.35	62.04	61.89	62.33			62.13(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-2	1	50.84	47%	0.05	-49.1	1.08%	0	0.1	47	0
8	Jun_12_2012	64.32	62.1	61.9	62.41			62.56(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	8	8	48.8	47%	0.03	-50	1.11%	0	0.6	50	0
9	Jun_11_2012	64.3	62.14	61.91	62.12			61.81(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	-10000	6	-5	51.01	45%	0.05	-61.9	1.1%	0	-0.4	46	0
10	Jun_8_2012	64.27	62.25	61.94	61.93			62.87(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	11	-10000	15	-1	39.74	49%	0.05	-64.4	1.08%	0	0.7	63	0

11	Jun_7_2012	64.24	62.3	61.85	61.44			62.27(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	1	-27	38.41	49%	0.03	-82.7	1.08%	0	-0	54	0
12	Jun_6_2012	64.22	62.39	61.87	61.4			62.52(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	1	-32	58.78	47%	0.06	-88.6	1.09%	0	0.1	47	0
13	Jun_5_2012	64.18	62.48	61.85	61.36			61.12(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-11	-48	47.92	43%	-0.05	-92.6	1.05%	0	-1.1	38	0
14	Jun_4_2012	64.21	62.66	61.99	61.71			60.87(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-7	-38	74.12	43%	0.05	-88.9	1.06%	0	-1.4	35	0
15	Jun_1_2012	64.18	62.85	62.01	61.95			60.41(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-10	-56	71.43	43%	0.03	-93.9	1.05%	0	-2	30	0

16	May_31_2012	64.16	63.15	62.16	62.29			62.06(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-3	-59	55.26	46%	0.06	-84.5	1.02%	0	-0.8	35	0
17	May_30_2012	64.12	63.38	62.24	62.39			62.33(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-1	-66	56.43	46%	0.06	-69.6	1.02%	0	-0.7	35	0
18	May_29_2012	64.08	63.6	62.33	62.42			62.86(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	2	-74	44.22	46%	0.19	-58.2	1.02%	0	-0.4	36	0
19	May_25_2012	63.96	63.78	62.38	62.35			62.07(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	8	-89	32.08	46%	0.08	-49.5	1%	0	-0.9	28	0
20	May_24_2012	63.91	64.03	62.58	62.09			62.15(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10000	3	-110	83.13	46%	0.08	-49.3	1%	0	-1	29	0

21	May_23_2012	63.86	64.27	62.77	61.99			62.56(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	-2	-138	56.95	46%	0.09	-49.2	1%	0	-0.9	23	0
22	May_22_2012	63.8	64.46	62.94	62.06			62.44(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	-6	-159	62.95	46%	-0.03	-50.2	1.01%	0	-1.1	20	0
23	May_21_2012	63.82	64.59	63.14	62.25			62.51(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-10000	-7	-172	61.47	46%	0.11	-54.5	1.01%	0	-1.2	22	0
24	May_18_2012	63.75	64.73	63.36	62.46			60.81(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-67	-10000	-23	-199	79.5	41%	0.08	-54.6	0.94%	0	-2.3	6	0
25	May_17_2012	63.7	64.99	63.76	63.14			61.61(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-59	-10000	-17	-186	62.25	43%		-53.7	0.94%	0	-2.3	6	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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