Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ QQQ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $67.1200 (0.01%) ($67.0300 - $67.4900) on Wed. Mar. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $67.1200(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(77%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.88(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.25(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.29(2.8%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.5
One Month Target Price   > $67.12
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $64.94

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -15.2% away from the target price of 67.12.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2012	59.63	65.29	66.25	66.88			67.12(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	6	186	39.65	81%	0.2	74.5	0.65%	0	1.5	69	0
2	Mar_20_2012	59.51	65.1	65.95	66.76			67.11(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	8	168	47.29	85%	0.15	74.9	0.69%	0	1.7	72	0
3	Mar_19_2012	59.42	64.92	65.61	66.59			66.99(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	16	135	60.97	85%	0.13	78.6	0.76%	0	1.8	67	0
4	Mar_16_2012	59.34	64.74	65.33	66.2			66.52(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	12	109	53.02	85%	0.13	78.9	0.78%	0	1.7	69	0
5	Mar_15_2012	59.26	64.59	65.15	65.9			66.68(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	15	101	65.53	85%	0.17	79.6	0.78%	0	2.1	71	0

6	Mar_14_2012	59.16	64.39	64.96	65.51			66.49(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	19	92	59.93	85%	0.17	74.8	0.78%	0	2.3	72	0
7	Mar_13_2012	59.06	64.22	64.73	65.03			66.26(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	-10000	20	70	61.56	85%	0.14	75.4	0.82%	0	2.5	73	0
8	Mar_12_2012	58.98	64.05	64.56	64.49			65.05(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	6	43	32.69	83%	0.14	75.5	0.81%	0	1.5	64	0
9	Mar_9_2012	58.9	63.93	64.46	64.32			65.02(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	1	37	43.12	83%	0.15	67.3	0.83%	0	1.5	65	0
10	Mar_8_2012	58.81	63.82	64.35	64.29			64.75(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	9	-10000	-1	38	43.71	83%	0.14	80	0.85%	0	1.3	61	0

11	Mar_7_2012	58.73	63.71	64.25	64.32			64.06(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-3	48	42.74	81%	0.1	89.4	0.87%	0	0.5	64	0
12	Mar_6_2012	58.67	63.61	64.19	64.39			63.57(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-8	53	54.64	81%	0.12	94.4	0.87%	0	-0.1	55	0
13	Mar_5_2012	58.6	63.54	64.2	64.62			64.2(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	1	78	45.79	89%	0.1	103.7	0.86%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Mar_2_2012	58.54	63.44	64.13	64.59			64.87(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	7	91	33.36	100%	0.14	107.7	0.85%	0	1.6	74	0
15	Mar_1_2012	58.46	63.26	64.01	64.41			64.92(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	9	90	67.56	100%	0.15	102.7	0.85%	0	1.7	68	0

16	Feb_29_2012	58.37	63.07	63.79	64.17			64.41(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	7	71	59.78	100%	0.14	96.8	0.95%	0	1.4	68	0
17	Feb_28_2012	58.29	62.88	63.67	63.95			64.7(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	70	43.73	100%	0.15	87.6	0.96%	0	1.7	74	0
18	Feb_27_2012	58.2	62.67	63.5	63.74			64.05(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	4	63	42.68	100%	0.19	84.3	1.03%	0	1.3	72	0
19	Feb_24_2012	58.09	62.49	63.34	63.61			63.96(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	60	41.37	100%	0.17	80.7	1.04%	0	1.3	70	0
20	Feb_23_2012	57.99	62.3	63.23	63.55			63.74(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	6	73	54.25	87%	0.17	78.7	1.05%	0	1.2	75	0

21	Feb_22_2012	57.89	62.14	63.11	63.35			63.32(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	1	72	43.17	87%	0.21	77.9	1.1%	0	1	74	0
22	Feb_21_2012	57.77	61.96	63	63.33			63.61(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	-10000	3	87	38.14	78%	0.31	77.2	1.09%	0	1.3	80	0
23	Feb_17_2012	57.59	61.77	62.84	63.22			63.43(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	93	76.11	69%	0.17	78.6	1.13%	0	1.3	80	0
24	Feb_16_2012	57.49	61.59	62.7	63.03			63.63(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	4	95	83.64	69%	0.16	81.3	1.17%	0	1.6	83	0
25	Feb_15_2012	57.4	61.4	62.46	62.88			62.77(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	2	97	105.71	67%		86.8	1.18%	0	1.1	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.