Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2012

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $63.6100 (0.28%) ($63.2100 - $63.8900) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $63.6100(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(77%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.33(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.96(2.66%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $63.61
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $60.14

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -9.4% away from the target price of 63.61.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2012	57.77	61.96	63	63.33			63.61(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	-10000	3	87	38.14	78%	0.31	77.2	1.09%	0	1.3	80	0
2	Feb_17_2012	57.59	61.77	62.84	63.22			63.43(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	93	76.11	69%	0.17	78.6	1.13%	0	1.3	80	0
3	Feb_16_2012	57.49	61.59	62.7	63.03			63.63(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	4	95	83.64	69%	0.16	81.3	1.17%	0	1.6	83	0
4	Feb_15_2012	57.4	61.4	62.46	62.88			62.77(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	2	97	105.71	67%	0.14	86.8	1.18%	0	1.1	81	0
5	Feb_14_2012	57.32	61.23	62.29	62.82			63.21(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	6	103	51.69	67%	0.16	87.9	1.18%	0	1.5	83	0

6	Feb_13_2012	57.23	61.01	62.03	62.61			63.05(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	6	101	36.81	67%	0.16	93.1	1.19%	0	1.6	86	0
7	Feb_10_2012	57.14	60.77	61.77	62.4			62.48(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	2	96	58.09	70%	0.16	87.7	1.2%	0	1.3	82	0
8	Feb_9_2012	57.05	60.56	61.57	62.31			62.91(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	-10000	9	102	46.86	60%	0.14	87.9	1.2%	0	1.8	90	0
9	Feb_8_2012	56.97	60.33	61.3	61.97			62.46(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	7	85	41.17	60%	0.11	87.2	1.28%	0	1.7	86	0
10	Feb_7_2012	56.91	60.1	61.09	61.68			62.13(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	8	81	37.94	60%	0.11	87	1.29%	0	1.6	86	0

11	Feb_6_2012	56.85	59.88	60.84	61.36			62(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	8	76	28.54	60%	0.09	86.7	1.29%	0	1.7	89	0
12	Feb_3_2012	56.8	59.67	60.62	61.05			62.05(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	25	-10000	8	75	36.45	60%	0.12	90.2	1.29%	0	2	91	0
13	Feb_2_2012	56.73	59.44	60.38	60.72			61.21(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	-10000	5	70	46.37	58%	0.11	95.9	1.31%	0	1.5	84	0
14	Feb_1_2012	56.67	59.24	60.24	60.52			61.02(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	-10000	3	74	46.15	52%	0.11	94.4	1.31%	0	1.5	85	0
15	Jan_31_2012	56.61	59.03	60.08	60.41			60.53(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	23	-10000	4	79	51.45	52%	0.12	94.1	1.35%	0	1.3	84	0

16	Jan_30_2012	56.54	58.81	59.91	60.24			60.45(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	80	42.8	52%	0.14	94	1.37%	0	1.4	85	0
17	Jan_27_2012	56.46	58.59	59.69	60.1			60.4(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	79	45.54	57%	0.11	86.4	1.37%	0	1.4	81	0
18	Jan_26_2012	56.4	58.35	59.49	59.98			60.22(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	2	78	37.85	57%	0.11	80	1.41%	0	1.4	81	0
19	Jan_25_2012	56.34	58.15	59.29	59.91			60.43(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	-10000	5	85	61.59	57%	0.12	81.8	1.41%	0	1.6	87	0
20	Jan_24_2012	56.27	57.93	59.05	59.72			59.68(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	5	86	38.44	57%	0.05	85.6	1.43%	0	1.3	86	0

21	Jan_23_2012	56.24	57.73	58.85	59.52			59.79(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	7	92	40.96	57%	0.12	87.1	1.45%	0	1.5	91	0
22	Jan_20_2012	56.17	57.49	58.65	59.2			59.77(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	6	92	41.05	57%	0.11	83.8	1.46%	0	1.7	87	0
23	Jan_19_2012	56.11	57.3	58.43	58.93			59.86(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	-10000	8	97	47.77	57%	0.09	81.2	1.46%	0	2	89	0
24	Jan_18_2012	56.06	57.02	58.15	58.59			59.49(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	-10000	7	90	48.69	57%	0.07	69.4	1.48%	0	2	77	0
25	Jan_17_2012	56.02	56.78	57.89	58.3			58.71(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	5	85	41.79	57%		60.9	1.48%	0	1.7	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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