Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $56.6200 (-0.28%) ($56.5700 - $57.3400) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $56.6200(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(77%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.78(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.98(2.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.15(0.84%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2011	55.55	56.15	54.98	55.78			56.62(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	16	-31	36.94	44%	-0.02	-26.8	1.73%	0	0.3	43	0
2	Dec_1_2011	55.56	56.15	54.87	55.03			56.78(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	15	-62	45.36	44%	-0.02	-40.2	1.76%	0	0.3	49	0
3	Nov_30_2011	55.57	56.15	54.86	54.33			56.39(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-16	-10000	8	-88	66.92	44%	-0.02	-52.3	1.75%	0	0.1	47	0
4	Nov_29_2011	55.58	56.21	54.99	53.96			54.38(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	0	-114	52.06	43%	-0.05	-60.7	1.69%	0	-1.1	31	0
5	Nov_28_2011	55.61	56.39	55.28	53.95			54.72(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-10000	-3	-119	46.71	43%	-0.09	-64.1	1.72%	0	-1	36	0

6	Nov_25_2011	55.66	56.6	55.58	54.09			52.88(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-10000	-13	-122	25.45	42%	-0.16	-57.2	1.69%	0	-2.2	29	0
7	Nov_23_2011	55.75	56.91	55.99	54.68			53.29(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-16	-112	48.47	47%	-0.09	-49.1	1.69%	0	-2.4	29	0
8	Nov_22_2011	55.8	57.13	56.37	55.45			54.52(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-15	-85	51.94	49%	-0.02	-41.4	1.74%	0	-2.1	41	0
9	Nov_21_2011	55.81	57.28	56.81	56.17			54.34(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-10000	-13	-49	52.29	49%	-0.05	-31.3	1.74%	0	-2.6	43	0
10	Nov_18_2011	55.84	57.5	57.21	56.8			55.4(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-14	-10000	-10	-26	60.42	46%	-0.04	-14.2	1.74%	0	-2.3	40	0

11	Nov_17_2011	55.86	57.61	57.47	57.29			55.83(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-6	-10000	-4	-13	101.71	46%	-0.02	-4.9	1.84%	0	-2.1	38	0
12	Nov_16_2011	55.87	57.61	57.71	57.48			57.17(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	1	-9	68.34	49%	0.02	-1.5	1.82%	0	-0.7	42	0
13	Nov_15_2011	55.86	57.66	57.7	57.41			58.13(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-6	-10000	-3	-15	52.2	49%	0.05	-2.3	1.81%	0	0.6	54	0
14	Nov_14_2011	55.83	57.66	57.54	57.56			57.49(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-3	-15	44.62	49%	0.07	13.1	1.82%	0	-0.2	52	0
15	Nov_11_2011	55.79	57.64	57.58	57.71			57.85(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-13	54.47	53%	0.04	26.5	1.82%	0	0.3	47	0

16	Nov_10_2011	55.77	57.65	57.67	57.7			56.78(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-5	-10000	-5	-6	66.05	47%	0.04	50.8	1.88%	0	-1.1	49	0
17	Nov_9_2011	55.75	57.65	57.87	57.96			56.81(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	4	-10000	-0	14	69.54	52%	0.04	76.1	1.95%	0	-1.1	53	0
18	Nov_8_2011	55.73	57.67	57.94	57.98			58.88(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	9	21	62.91	49%	0.09	92.8	1.98%	0	1.5	60	0
19	Nov_7_2011	55.68	57.55	57.78	57.49			58.21(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	1	0	65.54	49%	0.07	97.9	2.12%	0	0.8	51	0
20	Nov_4_2011	55.64	57.44	57.8	57.44			57.8(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-3	-10000	-4	2	61.53	46%	0.07	94.1	2.12%	0	0.3	53	0

21	Nov_3_2011	55.6	57.27	57.75	57.67			58.1(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	-10000	-2	5	78.99	46%	0.07	95.8	2.2%	0	0.7	49	0
22	Nov_2_2011	55.56	57.09	57.61	57.82			56.92(0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-1	8	65.18	44%	0.02	88	2.19%	0	-0.1	50	0
23	Nov_1_2011	55.55	56.94	57.62	57.89			56.44(-2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-3	10	99.93	44%	0.04	71.7	2.21%	0	-0.3	51	0
24	Oct_31_2011	55.53	56.76	57.78	58.07			57.95(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-2	22	60.52	46%	0.05	55.4	2.19%	0	0.6	59	0
25	Oct_28_2011	55.5	56.44	57.72	58.17			58.92(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	35	42.95	46%		46.6	2.18%	0	1.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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