Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2011

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $56.3600 (-0.44%) ($56.2300 - $57.3500) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $56.3600(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(77%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.22(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.24(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.44(3.53%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2011	55.99	54.44	55.24	56.22			56.36(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	6	62	66.57	52%	-0.05	83.5	2.01%	0	1.4	57	0
2	Sep_19_2011	56.02	54.14	54.93	55.86			56.61(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	10	47	73.04	52%	-0.04	55.5	2.01%	0	1.6	60	0
3	Sep_16_2011	56.04	53.82	54.6	55.31			56.59(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	12	32	91.9	52%	-0.05	33.5	2.01%	0	1.6	67	0
4	Sep_15_2011	56.07	53.54	54.37	54.63			56.18(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	23	83.54	50%	-0.05	17	2.01%	0	1.6	71	0
5	Sep_14_2011	56.1	53.39	54.23	54.27			55.36(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	3	23	90.76	51%	-0.07	20	2.02%	0	1.3	63	0

6	Sep_13_2011	56.14	53.3	54.17	54.13			54.58(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	5	33	59.02	51%	-0.07	20.9	2.02%	0	0.9	62	0
7	Sep_12_2011	56.18	53.28	54.16	53.87			53.86(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	2	47	65.97	51%	-0.04	27.9	2.01%	0	0.4	68	0
8	Sep_9_2011	56.2	53.28	54.1	53.76			53.18(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-5	58	63.66	50%	-0.09	25.4	2.01%	0	-0.1	67	0
9	Sep_8_2011	56.25	53.26	54	54.03			54.39(-0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-3	74	61.42	52%	-0.07	27.5	1.99%	0	0.8	66	0
10	Sep_7_2011	56.29	53.09	53.84	54.17			54.64(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	19	-10000	-1	77	48.95	52%	-0.04	11.5	1.99%	0	1	53	0

11	Sep_6_2011	56.31	53	53.61	54.23			53.29(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-5	72	52.99	50%	-0.05	3.6	1.97%	0	0.2	47	0
12	Sep_2_2011	56.34	52.87	53.33	54.5			53.28(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	17	-10000	1	63	58.19	49%	-0.07	-12.6	1.96%	0	0.3	46	0
13	Sep_1_2011	56.38	52.89	53.04	54.47			54.56(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	11	49	57.16	49%	-0.04	-24.9	1.94%	0	1.1	53	0
14	Aug_31_2011	56.4	52.85	52.68	53.92			55.06(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	9	19	60.9	50%	-0.04	-41.3	1.96%	0	1.3	57	0
15	Aug_30_2011	56.42	52.91	52.49	53.45			54.97(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	10	18	61.62	50%	-0.02	-50	1.97%	0	1.1	64	0

16	Aug_29_2011	56.43	52.94	52.34	52.91			54.61(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	17	8	45.99	50%	-0.05	-59.5	1.98%	0	0.8	54	0
17	Aug_26_2011	56.46	53.07	52.27	52.03			53.13(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-10000	12	-3	91.57	48%	-0.07	-67.5	1.95%	0	0	58	0
18	Aug_25_2011	56.5	53.28	52.29	51.41			51.83(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	4	-28	93.62	46%	-0.09	-71.5	1.93%	0	-0.6	46	0
19	Aug_24_2011	56.55	53.59	52.41	51.23			52.69(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-4	-43	80.2	46%	-0.09	-71.5	1.92%	0	-0.3	46	0
20	Aug_23_2011	56.6	53.84	52.24	51.41			52.28(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-6	-70	75.69	45%	-0.09	-65.2	1.91%	0	-0.5	39	0

21	Aug_22_2011	56.65	54.19	52.31	51.73			50.21(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-17	-85	77.11	42%	-0.12	-58.4	1.85%	0	-1.3	36	0
22	Aug_19_2011	56.72	54.65	52.39	52.56			50.03(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-14	-96	96.67	42%	-0.14	-49.1	1.85%	0	-1.5	32	0
23	Aug_18_2011	56.8	55.13	52.79	53.27			50.95(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-9	-94	130.02	42%	-0.12	-42.6	1.84%	0	-1.4	33	0
24	Aug_17_2011	56.87	55.54	53.12	53.7			53.58(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	-10000	12	-100	84.42	45%	-0.05	-37.6	1.74%	0	-0.7	37	0
25	Aug_16_2011	56.9	55.78	53.4	53.16			53.9(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-30	-10000	4	-130	89.22	44%		-41.6	1.74%	0	-0.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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