Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $53.8600 (1.28%) ($52.5700 - $53.9000) on Mon. Sep. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $53.8600(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(77%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.87(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.16(-0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.28(1.09%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111012

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_12_2011	56.18	53.28	54.16	53.87			53.86(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	2	47	65.97	51%	-0.04	27.9	2.01%	0	0.4	68	0
2	Sep_9_2011	56.2	53.28	54.1	53.76			53.18(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-5	58	63.66	50%	-0.09	25.4	2.01%	0	-0.1	67	0
3	Sep_8_2011	56.25	53.26	54	54.03			54.39(-0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-3	74	61.42	52%	-0.07	27.5	1.99%	0	0.8	66	0
4	Sep_7_2011	56.29	53.09	53.84	54.17			54.64(2.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	19	-10000	-1	77	48.95	52%	-0.04	11.5	1.99%	0	1	53	0
5	Sep_6_2011	56.31	53	53.61	54.23			53.29(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-5	72	52.99	50%	-0.05	3.6	1.97%	0	0.2	47	0

6	Sep_2_2011	56.34	52.87	53.33	54.5			53.28(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	17	-10000	1	63	58.19	49%	-0.07	-12.6	1.96%	0	0.3	46	0
7	Sep_1_2011	56.38	52.89	53.04	54.47			54.56(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	11	49	57.16	49%	-0.04	-24.9	1.94%	0	1.1	53	0
8	Aug_31_2011	56.4	52.85	52.68	53.92			55.06(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	9	19	60.9	50%	-0.04	-41.3	1.96%	0	1.3	57	0
9	Aug_30_2011	56.42	52.91	52.49	53.45			54.97(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	10	18	61.62	50%	-0.02	-50	1.97%	0	1.1	64	0
10	Aug_29_2011	56.43	52.94	52.34	52.91			54.61(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	17	8	45.99	50%	-0.05	-59.5	1.98%	0	0.8	54	0

11	Aug_26_2011	56.46	53.07	52.27	52.03			53.13(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-10000	12	-3	91.57	48%	-0.07	-67.5	1.95%	0	0	58	0
12	Aug_25_2011	56.5	53.28	52.29	51.41			51.83(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	4	-28	93.62	46%	-0.09	-71.5	1.93%	0	-0.6	46	0
13	Aug_24_2011	56.55	53.59	52.41	51.23			52.69(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-4	-43	80.2	46%	-0.09	-71.5	1.92%	0	-0.3	46	0
14	Aug_23_2011	56.6	53.84	52.24	51.41			52.28(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-6	-70	75.69	45%	-0.09	-65.2	1.91%	0	-0.5	39	0
15	Aug_22_2011	56.65	54.19	52.31	51.73			50.21(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-17	-85	77.11	42%	-0.12	-58.4	1.85%	0	-1.3	36	0

16	Aug_19_2011	56.72	54.65	52.39	52.56			50.03(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-14	-96	96.67	42%	-0.14	-49.1	1.85%	0	-1.5	32	0
17	Aug_18_2011	56.8	55.13	52.79	53.27			50.95(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-9	-94	130.02	42%	-0.12	-42.6	1.84%	0	-1.4	33	0
18	Aug_17_2011	56.87	55.54	53.12	53.7			53.58(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	-10000	12	-100	84.42	45%	-0.05	-37.6	1.74%	0	-0.7	37	0
19	Aug_16_2011	56.9	55.78	53.4	53.16			53.9(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-30	-10000	4	-130	89.22	44%	-0.05	-41.6	1.74%	0	-0.7	38	0
20	Aug_15_2011	56.93	56.03	53.6	52.98			54.36(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	-10000	16	-151	73.55	44%	-0.04	-42	1.75%	0	-0.6	35	0

21	Aug_12_2011	56.95	56.19	53.89	52.23			53.57(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-50	-10000	-1	-195	90.48	43%	-0.07	-50.4	1.74%	0	-0.9	33	0
22	Aug_11_2011	56.99	56.41	54.3	52.28			53.1(4.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-55	-10000	-5	-205	143.82	43%	-0.04	-53.6	1.74%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Aug_10_2011	57.01	56.63	54.79	52.5			50.86(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-77	-10000	-27	-225	205.92	39%	-0.09	-57.5	1.65%	0	-2.2	25	0
24	Aug_9_2011	57.06	57	55.53	53.69			53.03(4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-10000	-15	-193	193.71	42%	-0.04	-54.2	1.58%	0	-1.7	31	0
25	Aug_8_2011	57.08	57.25	56.18	54.33			50.59(-6.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-74	-10000	-35	-191	204.8	36%		-52.8	1.45%	0	-3.2	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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