Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ QQQ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $46.4300 (0.39%) ($46.3200 - $46.7000) on Thu. Sep. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $46.4300(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(73%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.93(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.97(3.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.84(3.55%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2010	45.84	44.84	44.97	45.93			46.43(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	11	90	61.48	58%	-0.09	-8.7	1.34%	0	1.8	59	0
2	Sep_8_2010	45.88	44.84	44.73	45.6			46.25(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	19	63	66.88	58%	-0.09	-29.8	1.34%	0	1.8	52	0
3	Sep_7_2010	45.92	44.78	44.46	45.04			45.7(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	14	15	51.2	55%	-0.15	-45.8	1.33%	0	1.1	50	0
4	Sep_3_2010	45.99	44.83	44.32	44.62			46.01(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	-10000	12	-12	64.04	50%	-0.09	-47.4	1.41%	0	1.1	56	0
5	Sep_2_2010	46.03	44.85	44.19	44.23			45.26(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	11	-32	41.82	51%	-0.11	-51.9	1.4%	0	0.4	53	0

6	Sep_1_2010	46.08	44.92	44.13	43.89			44.76(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	5	-55	83.52	51%	-0.11	-52.7	1.42%	0	-0.1	47	0
7	Aug_31_2010	46.13	45.02	44.18	43.75			43.46(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-1	-67	72.07	46%	-0.11	-51.9	1.37%	0	-1.3	33	0
8	Aug_30_2010	46.18	45.17	44.37	43.79			43.61(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-6	-78	49.37	46%	-0.13	-52.1	1.38%	0	-1.3	27	0
9	Aug_27_2010	46.24	45.33	44.5	43.96			44.07(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-6	-90	109.6	52%	-0.11	-50.2	1.38%	0	-1.1	26	0
10	Aug_26_2010	46.29	45.42	44.57	44.13			43.54(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-8	-96	91.22	52%	-0.11	-49.2	1.45%	0	-1.8	25	0

11	Aug_25_2010	46.34	45.54	44.72	44.4			44.07(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-9	-99	87.35	52%	-0.09	-47	1.45%	0	-1.5	27	0
12	Aug_24_2010	46.38	45.65	44.86	44.69			43.65(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-33	-10000	-11	-99	79.1	52%	-0.11	-35	1.45%	0	-2.1	22	0
13	Aug_23_2010	46.43	45.79	45.16	45.04			44.48(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-2	-80	69.61	54%	-0.04	-22.3	1.43%	0	-1.6	32	0
14	Aug_20_2010	46.45	45.89	45.41	45.1			44.92(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-18	-10000	1	-73	66.81	49%	-0.09	-12	1.43%	0	-1.3	33	0
15	Aug_19_2010	46.49	45.96	45.59	45.06			44.86(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-1	-66	82.97	49%	-0.06	-3.8	1.5%	0	-1.5	44	0

16	Aug_18_2010	46.52	46.01	45.78	45.1			45.55(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	1	-57	61.84	49%	-0.06	-1.2	1.49%	0	-0.6	50	0
17	Aug_17_2010	46.55	45.97	45.91	45.07			45.37(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-8	-56	56.93	49%	-0.06	-7.3	1.5%	0	-0.8	45	0
18	Aug_16_2010	46.58	45.98	46.02	45.33			44.8(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-13	-46	55.47	49%	-0.06	1.7	1.49%	0	-1.5	36	0
19	Aug_13_2010	46.61	45.99	46.22	45.78			44.72(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-12	-22	46.39	45%	-0.06	16.7	1.51%	0	-1.5	35	0
20	Aug_12_2010	46.64	45.98	46.35	46.19			45.04(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-9	-10000	-10	-4	66	48%	-0.09	30.8	1.52%	0	-1.2	43	0

21	Aug_11_2010	46.68	46.02	46.44	46.55			45.4(-2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-10000	-9	13	92.22	48%	-0.04	53.3	1.54%	0	-0.8	49	0
22	Aug_10_2010	46.7	46.03	46.52	46.86			46.67(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	1	44	86.69	56%	-0.04	74.9	1.5%	0	0.8	72	0
23	Aug_9_2010	46.72	45.96	46.5	46.82			47.08(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	2	48	26.94	56%	0	87.4	1.63%	0	1.4	67	0
24	Aug_6_2010	46.72	45.85	46.42	46.73			46.76(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	5	58	71.34	50%	-0.02	100	1.66%	0	1.2	69	0
25	Aug_5_2010	46.73	45.74	46.35	46.54			46.83(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	5	62	39.15	50%		102.2	1.71%	0	1.3	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.