Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $45.6000 (0.09%) ($44.9900 - $45.7400) on Thu. Jul. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $45.6000(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(73%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.17(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.24(3.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.78(1.83%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2010	46.81	44.78	44.24	45.17			45.6(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	7	44	95.99	44%	0.02	-10.9	1.72%	0	0.6	49	0
2	Jul_14_2010	46.8	44.83	43.95	44.89			45.56(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	8	8	87.69	45%	0.02	-6.6	1.72%	0	0.5	43	0
3	Jul_13_2010	46.79	44.83	43.71	44.57			45.33(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-10000	14	-24	93.31	45%	0.02	-4.9	1.73%	0	0.3	40	0
4	Jul_12_2010	46.78	44.88	43.66	44.03			44.75(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	12	-60	60.93	45%	0	-11.3	1.72%	0	-0.1	33	0
5	Jul_9_2010	46.78	44.91	43.68	43.57			44.62(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	11	-93	47.86	45%	0	-18.2	1.72%	0	-0.2	30	0

6	Jul_8_2010	46.78	44.94	43.72	43.16			44.2(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	8	-125	78.26	45%	-0.02	-30.1	1.72%	0	-0.5	25	0
7	Jul_7_2010	46.79	44.93	43.88	42.87			43.96(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-35	-10000	3	-148	72.45	45%	0	-42.4	1.71%	0	-0.6	25	0
8	Jul_6_2010	46.79	44.95	44.09	42.75			42.6(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-14	-170	88.59	42%	-0.02	-47.6	1.66%	0	-1.5	10	0
9	Jul_2_2010	46.8	45.05	44.48	43.25			42.47(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10000	-16	-145	78.57	42%	-0.02	-47	1.65%	0	-1.8	29	0
10	Jul_1_2010	46.81	45.2	44.94	43.81			42.59(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-10000	-15	-111	158.69	42%	-0.02	-41.5	1.67%	0	-1.9	30	0

11	Jun_30_2010	46.82	45.41	45.39	44.36			42.71(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-10000	-18	-77	101.31	42%	0	-24.9	1.66%	0	-2.2	36	0
12	Jun_29_2010	46.82	45.6	45.83	45.03			43.37(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-18	-10000	-15	-26	136.38	42%	0	-5.2	1.65%	0	-2.1	53	0
13	Jun_28_2010	46.82	45.71	46.19	45.6			45.11(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-8	21	71.38	45%	0.06	13.5	1.58%	0	-0.6	62	0
14	Jun_25_2010	46.79	45.74	46.25	45.9			45.27(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-10	44	89.04	45%	0.04	26.2	1.58%	0	-0.5	62	0
15	Jun_24_2010	46.77	45.77	46.29	46.25			45.35(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-9	65	114.71	45%	0.04	44.9	1.58%	0	-0.4	54	0

16	Jun_23_2010	46.75	45.72	46.28	46.59			46.05(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-5	73	92.4	45%	0.04	43.8	1.57%	0	0.3	45	0
17	Jun_22_2010	46.73	45.66	46.09	46.76			46.24(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-2	65	94.49	45%	0.06	40.7	1.57%	0	0.6	49	0
18	Jun_21_2010	46.7	45.58	45.9	46.85			46.6(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	6	66	95.49	45%	0.09	32.6	1.58%	0	1	59	0
19	Jun_18_2010	46.66	45.49	45.67	46.63			47(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	8	48	75.92	45%	0.09	17.7	1.57%	0	1.5	57	0
20	Jun_17_2010	46.62	45.35	45.47	46.33			47.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	11	30	77.11	45%	0.04	-6.6	1.57%	0	1.8	55	0

21	Jun_16_2010	46.6	45.29	45.4	45.93			46.9(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	17	33	78.4	45%	0.06	-32.2	1.57%	0	1.8	64	0
22	Jun_15_2010	46.57	45.29	45.31	45.32			46.71(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	14	15	76.33	45%	0.04	-60	1.58%	0	1.7	59	0
23	Jun_14_2010	46.55	45.25	45.31	44.81			45.49(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	7	-8	68.08	42%	0.04	-77.7	1.54%	0	0.3	55	0
24	Jun_11_2010	46.53	45.31	45.14	44.57			45.5(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	2	-16	74.35	42%	0	-72	1.54%	0	0.2	54	0
25	Jun_10_2010	46.53	45.42	45.17	44.49			45.07(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-9	-13	76.89	42%		-60.7	1.54%	0	-0.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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