Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $44.2000 (0.55%) ($43.6800 - $44.3800) on Thu. Jul. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $44.2000(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(73%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.82(-16.7%)
Resistance Level   $44.94
5 Day Moving Average   $43.16(2.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.72(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.94(-1.65%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2010	46.78	44.94	43.72	43.16			44.2(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	8	-125	78.26	45%	-0.02	-30.1	1.72%	0	-0.5	25	0
2	Jul_7_2010	46.79	44.93	43.88	42.87			43.96(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-35	-10000	3	-148	72.45	45%	0	-42.4	1.71%	0	-0.6	25	0
3	Jul_6_2010	46.79	44.95	44.09	42.75			42.6(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-14	-170	88.59	42%	-0.02	-47.6	1.66%	0	-1.5	10	0
4	Jul_2_2010	46.8	45.05	44.48	43.25			42.47(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10000	-16	-145	78.57	42%	-0.02	-47	1.65%	0	-1.8	29	0
5	Jul_1_2010	46.81	45.2	44.94	43.81			42.59(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-10000	-15	-111	158.69	42%	-0.02	-41.5	1.67%	0	-1.9	30	0

6	Jun_30_2010	46.82	45.41	45.39	44.36			42.71(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-10000	-18	-77	101.31	42%	0	-24.9	1.66%	0	-2.2	36	0
7	Jun_29_2010	46.82	45.6	45.83	45.03			43.37(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-18	-10000	-15	-26	136.38	42%	0	-5.2	1.65%	0	-2.1	53	0
8	Jun_28_2010	46.82	45.71	46.19	45.6			45.11(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-8	21	71.38	45%	0.06	13.5	1.58%	0	-0.6	62	0
9	Jun_25_2010	46.79	45.74	46.25	45.9			45.27(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-10	44	89.04	45%	0.04	26.2	1.58%	0	-0.5	62	0
10	Jun_24_2010	46.77	45.77	46.29	46.25			45.35(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-9	65	114.71	45%	0.04	44.9	1.58%	0	-0.4	54	0

11	Jun_23_2010	46.75	45.72	46.28	46.59			46.05(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-5	73	92.4	45%	0.04	43.8	1.57%	0	0.3	45	0
12	Jun_22_2010	46.73	45.66	46.09	46.76			46.24(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-2	65	94.49	45%	0.06	40.7	1.57%	0	0.6	49	0
13	Jun_21_2010	46.7	45.58	45.9	46.85			46.6(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	6	66	95.49	45%	0.09	32.6	1.58%	0	1	59	0
14	Jun_18_2010	46.66	45.49	45.67	46.63			47(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	8	48	75.92	45%	0.09	17.7	1.57%	0	1.5	57	0
15	Jun_17_2010	46.62	45.35	45.47	46.33			47.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	11	30	77.11	45%	0.04	-6.6	1.57%	0	1.8	55	0

16	Jun_16_2010	46.6	45.29	45.4	45.93			46.9(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	17	33	78.4	45%	0.06	-32.2	1.57%	0	1.8	64	0
17	Jun_15_2010	46.57	45.29	45.31	45.32			46.71(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	14	15	76.33	45%	0.04	-60	1.58%	0	1.7	59	0
18	Jun_14_2010	46.55	45.25	45.31	44.81			45.49(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	7	-8	68.08	42%	0.04	-77.7	1.54%	0	0.3	55	0
19	Jun_11_2010	46.53	45.31	45.14	44.57			45.5(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	2	-16	74.35	42%	0	-72	1.54%	0	0.2	54	0
20	Jun_10_2010	46.53	45.42	45.17	44.49			45.07(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-9	-13	76.89	42%	-0.02	-60.7	1.54%	0	-0.3	55	0

21	Jun_9_2010	46.54	45.58	45.09	44.81			43.82(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-14	-14	102.08	39%	-0.06	-44.2	1.5%	0	-1.4	39	0
22	Jun_8_2010	46.57	45.77	45.2	45.3			44.19(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-6	-0	133.99	39%	-0.06	-36.4	1.49%	0	-1.2	39	0
23	Jun_7_2010	46.6	45.95	45.26	45.5			44.27(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-8	-11	88.44	39%	-0.02	-39.7	1.49%	0	-1.3	36	0
24	Jun_4_2010	46.61	46.02	45.34	45.76			45.09(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-5	-13	112.85	42%	-0.04	-49.6	1.49%	0	-0.7	40	0
25	Jun_3_2010	46.63	46.1	45.28	45.92			46.69(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	15	-27	98.93	46%		-59.8	1.43%	0	0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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