Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $45.6000 (-0.59%) ($45.2000 - $45.9900) on Fri. May. 28, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $45.6000(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(73%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.43(-15.72%)
Resistance Level   $46.48
5 Day Moving Average   $45.01(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.35(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.48(-1.89%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.55% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2010	46.63	46.48	45.35	45.01			45.6(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	-10000	5	-121	128.54	44%	0	-68.7	1.4%	0	-0.5	37	0
2	May_27_2010	46.63	46.65	45.47	44.85			45.87(3.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	-10000	10	-116	110.74	44%	-0.02	-69.3	1.41%	0	-0.4	54	0
3	May_26_2010	46.64	46.86	45.64	44.55			44.2(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-12	-138	140.2	39%	-0.04	-72.4	1.34%	0	-1.4	41	0
4	May_25_2010	46.66	47.12	46.07	44.92			44.7(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-118	155.64	39%	-0.04	-71.6	1.33%	0	-1.4	36	0
5	May_24_2010	46.68	47.36	46.37	45.27			44.66(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-16	-109	113.39	39%	-0.04	-67.9	1.33%	0	-1.5	35	0

6	May_21_2010	46.7	47.65	46.69	45.75			44.84(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-14	-103	190.63	37%	-0.02	-59.9	1.32%	0	-1.6	31	0
7	May_20_2010	46.71	47.93	46.79	46.17			44.35(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-10000	-22	-118	189.29	37%	-0.04	-53.8	1.33%	0	-2.1	33	0
8	May_19_2010	46.73	48.24	47.04	46.87			46.06(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10000	-17	-118	159	41%	0	-48	1.25%	0	-1.4	34	0
9	May_18_2010	46.73	48.44	47.25	47.38			46.43(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-9	-100	153.07	41%	0.02	-41.3	1.25%	0	-1.4	40	0
10	May_17_2010	46.72	48.61	47.45	47.64			47.08(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-5	-95	120.97	43%	0	-37.2	1.23%	0	-1.1	41	0

11	May_14_2010	46.72	48.74	47.72	47.78			46.93(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-14	-10000	11	-87	147.39	45%	0.02	-34.4	1.23%	0	-1.3	37	0
12	May_13_2010	46.71	48.88	47.94	47.47			47.85(-1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	9	-118	102.84	48%	0.04	-40.7	1.22%	0	-0.8	39	0
13	May_12_2010	46.69	48.99	48.16	47.22			48.62(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-33	-10000	3	-139	85.46	50%	0.09	-41.9	1.21%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	May_11_2010	46.65	49.05	48.22	47.13			47.72(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-43	-10000	-5	-158	113.2	50%	0.06	-40.4	1.19%	0	-1	40	0
15	May_10_2010	46.62	49.14	48.38	47.27			47.77(5.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-51	-10000	-15	-159	136.04	50%	0.06	-36.8	1.2%	0	-1.1	42	0

16	May_7_2010	46.59	49.21	48.63	47.7			45.41(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-65	-10000	-32	-162	288.2	40%	0.04	-26.8	1%	0	-3.1	30	0
17	May_6_2010	46.57	49.42	49.16	48.47			46.57(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-50	-10000	-31	-106	274.36	44%	0.04	-9.4	0.96%	0	-3.2	34	0
18	May_5_2010	46.55	49.55	49.56	49.2			48.18(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-10000	-12	-51	128.56	51%	0.09	22.9	0.85%	0	-2.1	37	0
19	May_4_2010	46.51	49.58	49.75	49.44			48.43(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-14	-10000	-8	-31	141.14	45%	0.09	37.4	0.85%	0	-1.9	41	0
20	May_3_2010	46.47	49.61	49.9	49.62			49.93(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-6	-10000	-5	-10	74.17	52%	0.13	51.3	0.85%	0	0.5	56	0

21	Apr_30_2010	46.41	49.55	49.86	49.72			49.24(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-10000	-12	0	110.9	51%	0.11	60.3	0.83%	0	-0.5	54	0
22	Apr_29_2010	46.36	49.5	49.9	49.97			50.23(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	-1	34	84.18	51%	0.15	67.4	0.79%	0	1.1	64	0
23	Apr_28_2010	46.29	49.4	49.89	49.99			49.37(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-6	52	130.08	40%	0.13	66.2	0.81%	0	-0	60	0
24	Apr_27_2010	46.23	49.36	49.95	50.12			49.34(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	16	-10000	-4	76	112.61	40%	0.11	70.3	0.88%	0	-0	62	0
25	Apr_26_2010	46.18	49.31	49.96	50.2			50.41(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	9	103	67.36	45%		72.4	0.83%	0	1.4	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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