Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $48.2500 (0.69%) ($47.7700 - $48.3000) on Tue. Mar. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $48.2500(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(73%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.83(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.6(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.66(3.41%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $48.25
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $45.79

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3% away from the target price of 48.25.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2010	44.85	46.66	47.6	47.83			48.25(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	6	101	59.18	42%	0.16	66.3	1.02%	0	1.3	88	0
2	Mar_22_2010	44.78	46.46	47.45	47.69			47.92(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	6	108	71.9	42%	0.16	63.9	1.02%	0	1.2	88	0
3	Mar_19_2010	44.71	46.3	47.32	47.55			47.49(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	1	112	86.34	45%	0.13	66	1.02%	0	1	87	0
4	Mar_18_2010	44.65	46.17	47.22	47.53			47.83(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	4	133	77.83	47%	0.16	70.8	1.02%	0	1.4	97	0
5	Mar_17_2010	44.58	46.02	47.02	47.43			47.67(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	4	141	75.64	45%	0.11	79	1.04%	0	1.4	97	0

6	Mar_16_2010	44.53	45.86	46.82	47.33			47.54(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	6	148	74.95	45%	0.11	84.3	1.05%	0	1.5	97	0
7	Mar_15_2010	44.48	45.7	46.62	47.18			47.24(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	6	157	60.15	45%	0.09	92.5	1.05%	0	1.4	97	0
8	Mar_12_2010	44.44	45.52	46.44	47.04			47.36(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	7	159	64.07	45%	0.09	92.1	1.05%	0	1.7	82	0
9	Mar_11_2010	44.4	45.34	46.18	46.86			47.35(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	-10000	13	151	67.51	45%	0.11	95.8	1.06%	0	1.9	80	0
10	Mar_10_2010	44.35	45.12	45.91	46.54			47.17(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	13	129	102.58	45%	0.09	84.4	1.06%	0	1.9	79	0

11	Mar_9_2010	44.31	44.92	45.65	46.22			46.79(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	10	110	98	45%	0.09	77.3	1.05%	0	1.8	79	0
12	Mar_8_2010	44.27	44.71	45.39	45.97			46.53(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	9	91	58.71	45%	0.09	68.7	1.06%	0	1.8	79	0
13	Mar_5_2010	44.23	44.53	45.2	45.75			46.44(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	-10000	14	91	68.14	45%	0.07	65.3	1.06%	0	1.9	82	0
14	Mar_4_2010	44.2	44.34	45.03	45.41			45.75(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	10	81	54.47	43%	0.07	53.9	1.05%	0	1.5	80	0
15	Mar_3_2010	44.17	44.24	44.93	45.18			45.6(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	8	87	65.74	43%	0.07	47.1	1.05%	0	1.5	83	0

16	Mar_2_2010	44.14	44.13	44.82	44.99			45.55(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	12	93	76.37	43%	0.07	40	1.05%	0	1.7	81	0
17	Mar_1_2010	44.11	44.02	44.69	44.71			45.41(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	28	-10000	6	93	77.29	43%	0.07	27.2	1.05%	0	1.7	83	0
18	Feb_26_2010	44.08	43.88	44.53	44.57			44.76(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-1	92	66.22	37%	0.07	16	1.05%	0	1.1	73	0
19	Feb_25_2010	44.05	43.82	44.43	44.59			44.6(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-10000	-2	107	97.96	37%	0.05	5.8	1.05%	0	1	75	0
20	Feb_24_2010	44.03	43.81	44.28	44.64			44.61(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	0	103	86.59	37%	0.07	0	1.06%	0	1.1	55	0

21	Feb_23_2010	44	43.79	44.14	44.63			44.16(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-1	99	95.81	41%	0.07	-13.6	1.05%	0	0.5	55	0
22	Feb_22_2010	43.97	43.8	44	44.66			44.74(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	8	100	72.05	43%	0.09	-21.6	1.05%	0	1.3	63	0
23	Feb_19_2010	43.93	43.76	43.83	44.47			44.83(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	10	91	80.42	40%	0.09	-44.2	1.06%	0	1.5	68	0
24	Feb_18_2010	43.89	43.78	43.6	44.23			44.85(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	15	65	65.75	40%	0.07	-54.5	1.08%	0	1.4	59	0
25	Feb_17_2010	43.86	43.81	43.49	43.87			44.57(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	12	29	82.69	40%		-59.2	1.08%	0	0.9	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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