Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $42.6000 (0.59%) ($42.0800 - $42.6500) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $42.6000(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(73%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.73(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.84(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.4(0.47%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2009	39.95	42.4	41.84	41.73			42.6(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	14	-83	96.31	54%	0.18	-12.3	1.11%	0	0.3	43	0
2	Nov_5_2009	39.88	42.4	41.87	41.41			42.35(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-25	-10000	3	-107	135.2	54%	0.15	-15.1	1.12%	0	-0.1	46	0
3	Nov_4_2009	39.82	42.39	41.95	41.35			41.33(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10000	-1	-115	107.97	50%	0.15	-10.1	1.09%	0	-1.4	34	0
4	Nov_3_2009	39.76	42.43	42.12	41.37			41.26(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-9	-119	95.11	53%	0.15	-11	1.09%	0	-1.6	32	0
5	Nov_2_2009	39.7	42.48	42.32	41.58			41.13(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-16	-101	142.52	53%	0.1	-4.6	1.1%	0	-1.8	39	0

6	Oct_30_2009	39.66	42.49	42.53	41.95			40.96(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-32	-10000	-19	-70	162.8	53%	0.1	2.2	1.1%	0	-2	38	0
7	Oct_29_2009	39.62	42.51	42.73	42.39			42.09(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-11	-35	85.21	58%	0.15	13.6	1.05%	0	-0.6	48	0
8	Oct_28_2009	39.56	42.46	42.84	42.63			41.39(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-16	-10	143.55	55%	0.1	16.4	1.03%	0	-1.4	43	0
9	Oct_27_2009	39.52	42.46	43.03	42.98			42.34(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-8	35	121.44	61%	0.15	29.6	0.99%	0	-0.2	58	0
10	Oct_26_2009	39.46	42.51	43.06	43.16			42.99(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-2	61	107.07	65%	0.15	34.3	0.98%	0	0.7	73	0

11	Oct_23_2009	39.4	42.48	43.03	43.2			43.13(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	86	117.03	68%	0.18	34.9	0.98%	0	0.9	82	0
12	Oct_22_2009	39.33	42.41	42.97	43.13			43.31(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	2	100	85.87	68%	0.18	28.7	1.01%	0	1.3	88	0
13	Oct_21_2009	39.26	42.34	42.86	43.08			43.14(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	-0	114	110.4	68%	0.15	26.1	1.01%	0	1.2	84	0
14	Oct_20_2009	39.2	42.3	42.76	43.09			43.22(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	6	117	89.85	68%	0.18	27.6	1.01%	0	1.4	59	0
15	Oct_19_2009	39.13	42.26	42.63	42.96			43.21(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	6	105	83.51	68%	0.2	28.9	1.02%	0	1.5	59	0

16	Oct_16_2009	39.05	42.23	42.44	42.83			42.78(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	3	81	111.86	70%	0.21	32.1	1.02%	0	0.9	53	0
17	Oct_15_2009	38.97	42.2	42.26	42.77			43.06(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	7	69	85.77	73%	0.23	37.2	1.02%	0	1.5	63	0
18	Oct_14_2009	38.88	42.17	42.06	42.61			43.16(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	10	43	91	73%	0.21	39.2	1.09%	0	1.8	59	0
19	Oct_13_2009	38.8	42.12	41.95	42.39			42.58(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	6	23	70.94	74%	0.1	42.1	1.08%	0	0.9	50	0
20	Oct_12_2009	38.76	42.08	41.9	42.26			42.57(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	12	11	53.22	74%	0.23	45.5	1.1%	0	1	47	0

21	Oct_9_2009	38.67	42.04	41.87	41.99			42.48(0.57%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	8	-10000	14	-10	62.83	74%	0.23	42.1	1.1%	0	0.9	48	0
22	Oct_8_2009	38.58	41.99	41.79	41.67			42.24(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	11	-43	107.85	74%	0.21	43	1.1%	0	0.5	47	0
23	Oct_7_2009	38.5	41.95	41.76	41.42			42.06(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-19	-10000	-2	-71	93.79	68%	0.21	46.5	1.1%	0	0.2	46	0
24	Oct_6_2009	38.42	41.91	41.79	41.46			41.94(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-18	-10000	-2	-67	124.63	68%	0.21	58.9	1.15%	0	0.1	44	0
25	Oct_5_2009	38.34	41.85	41.85	41.51			41.21(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-10	-59	97.05	66%		65.8	1.14%	0	-1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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