Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $28.2600 (-1.67%) ($28.1900 - $28.9800) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $28.2600(-1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(80%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.15(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.37(3.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.8(1.65%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.71% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2009	29.32	27.8	27.37	28.15			28.26(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	16	31	190.33	56%	-0.03	-51.8	2.24%	0	0.4	45	0
2	Mar_13_2009	29.33	27.89	27.2	27.65			28.74(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	10	-10000	16	-8	156.78	56%	-0.07	-61	2.31%	0	0.7	54	0
3	Mar_12_2009	29.35	27.97	27.06	27.16			28.67(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	14	-45	184.51	56%	-0.07	-65.9	2.33%	0	0.5	47	0
4	Mar_11_2009	29.37	28.03	26.95	26.73			27.75(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-18	-10000	3	-82	173.15	54%	-0.14	-70.1	2.3%	0	-0.2	43	0
5	Mar_10_2009	29.41	28.15	27	26.64			27.33(6.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	5	-92	175.07	54%	-0.2	-67.2	2.32%	0	-0.6	38	0

6	Mar_9_2009	29.47	28.34	27.13	26.5			25.74(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-6	-116	181.15	48%	-0.24	-58.2	2.17%	0	-1.6	26	0
7	Mar_6_2009	29.54	28.63	27.35	26.68			26.3(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-128	218.42	48%	-0.2	-49.9	2.2%	0	-1.5	23	0
8	Mar_5_2009	29.6	28.84	27.61	26.93			26.51(-3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-39	-10000	-8	-130	199.62	48%	-0.17	-45.5	2.22%	0	-1.5	23	0
9	Mar_4_2009	29.65	29.02	27.84	27.18			27.33(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-8	-129	164.91	51%	-0.2	-45.4	2.25%	0	-1.2	30	0
10	Mar_3_2009	29.71	29.16	28.02	27.43			26.62(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-43	-10000	-14	-129	158.74	48%	-0.3	-41	2.25%	0	-1.8	22	0

11	Mar_2_2009	29.8	29.31	28.29	27.87			26.64(-3.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-36	-10000	-7	-123	188.18	48%	-0.17	-35.8	2.28%	0	-2.1	19	0
12	Feb_27_2009	29.85	29.45	28.67	28.11			27.53(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-34	-10000	-8	-112	204.49	43%	-0.13	-34.8	2.44%	0	-1.7	22	0
13	Feb_26_2009	29.89	29.56	28.97	28.38			27.79(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-6	-100	211.28	48%	-0.17	-27.5	2.46%	0	-1.8	33	0
14	Feb_25_2009	29.94	29.7	29.21	28.58			28.59(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	-4	-89	220.22	51%	-0.13	-18.5	2.49%	0	-1.2	43	0
15	Feb_24_2009	29.98	29.74	29.38	28.71			28.78(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-2	-81	181.34	56%	-0.2	-8.4	2.49%	0	-1.1	44	0

16	Feb_23_2009	30.04	29.77	29.64	28.8			27.86(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-13	-66	169.47	54%	-0.3	-7.4	2.58%	0	-2.2	42	0
17	Feb_20_2009	30.13	29.83	30	29.31			28.87(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-9	-27	210.75	56%	-0.26	8.7	2.59%	0	-1.2	52	0
18	Feb_19_2009	30.21	29.84	30.18	29.65			28.79(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-7	-5	155.32	51%	-0.33	21.6	2.67%	0	-1.3	47	0
19	Feb_18_2009	30.31	29.87	30.31	29.93			29.24(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-5	4	161.27	51%	-0.33	30.3	2.75%	0	-0.8	43	0
20	Feb_17_2009	30.41	29.82	30.39	30.15			29.22(-3.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-10000	-11	14	157.78	51%	-0.65	26.4	2.75%	0	-0.7	52	0

21	Feb_13_2009	30.61	29.83	30.43	30.61			30.43(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-4	38	145.06	55%	-0.39	38.4	2.76%	0	0.7	61	0
22	Feb_12_2009	30.73	29.77	30.31	30.61			30.57(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	0	48	201.15	51%	-0.32	36.3	2.86%	0	0.9	64	0
23	Feb_11_2009	30.83	29.67	30.21	30.8			30.2(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	14	-10000	1	54	169.17	51%	-0.36	27	2.92%	0	0.6	63	0
24	Feb_10_2009	30.94	29.63	30.23	30.74			30.34(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	17	-10000	2	61	232.79	51%	-0.35	16.2	2.93%	0	0.8	60	0
25	Feb_9_2009	31.05	29.59	30.13	30.64			31.5(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	25	-10000	9	71	98.85	54%		5.6	2.9%	0	2.2	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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