Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jul. 5, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $30.5700 (2.21%) ($29.4600 - $30.7700) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $30.5700(2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(80%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.76(2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.63(3.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.45(3.8%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2009	31.27	29.45	29.63	29.76			30.57(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	4	33	217.57	47%	-0.32	-29.9	2.95%	0	1.7	59	0
2	Feb_4_2009	31.37	29.44	29.45	29.57			29.91(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	5	-10000	-2	24	175.78	47%	-0.41	-32.6	3.01%	0	0.7	59	0
3	Feb_3_2009	31.5	29.49	29.37	29.65			29.87(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	2	27	120.61	47%	-0.41	-10.7	3.03%	0	0.5	52	0
4	Feb_2_2009	31.63	29.54	29.37	29.54			29.41(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	1	13	126.88	47%	-0.44	-3.6	3.02%	0	-0.2	49	0
5	Jan_30_2009	31.77	29.62	29.37	29.48			29.06(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10000	1	7	140.36	47%	-0.47	4.3	3.02%	0	-0.6	44	0

6	Jan_29_2009	31.92	29.62	29.18	29.45			29.58(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	4	-3	130.77	47%	-0.44	6.6	3.04%	0	-0.1	42	0
7	Jan_28_2009	32.06	29.65	29.09	29.29			30.35(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	5	-20	139.8	54%	-0.37	3	3.02%	0	0.8	48	0
8	Jan_27_2009	32.18	29.58	28.99	29.05			29.32(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	6	-37	110.91	52%	-0.46	-9.3	3.3%	0	-0.3	36	0
9	Jan_26_2009	32.33	29.57	29	28.78			29.11(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-10000	-1	-57	140.48	52%	-0.43	-20.4	3.32%	0	-0.5	38	0
10	Jan_23_2009	32.47	29.58	29.08	28.84			28.9(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-60	170.16	50%	-0.49	-23.7	3.35%	0	-0.8	36	0

11	Jan_22_2009	32.63	29.59	29.25	28.88			28.76(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	1	-54	200.6	50%	-0.49	-29.5	3.35%	0	-0.9	46	0
12	Jan_21_2009	32.79	29.62	29.42	28.85			29.15(4.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-52	149.24	47%	-0.52	-31.3	3.36%	0	-0.5	50	0
13	Jan_20_2009	32.96	29.66	29.62	28.93			27.96(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-6	-39	135.25	45%	-0.57	-28.3	3.37%	0	-1.9	48	0
14	Jan_16_2009	33.15	29.76	29.93	29.24			29.42(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-19	175.49	51%	-0.54	-18.3	3.31%	0	-0.4	54	0
15	Jan_15_2009	33.33	29.79	30.09	29.37			29.1(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-7	-6	192.79	46%	-0.54	-12.2	3.38%	0	-0.9	52	0

16	Jan_14_2009	33.51	29.87	30.17	29.7			28.63(-3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-7	8	137.1	44%	-0.56	2.7	3.55%	0	-1.6	50	0
17	Jan_13_2009	33.7	29.9	30.28	30.06			29.53(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-7	22	186.39	50%	-0.5	11.1	3.57%	0	-0.5	56	0
18	Jan_12_2009	33.87	29.91	30.24	30.42			29.52(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-5	27	102.78	50%	-0.56	29.1	3.89%	0	-0.5	48	0
19	Jan_9_2009	34.06	29.9	30.22	30.72			30.07(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-3	35	117.17	49%	-0.5	49	3.89%	0	0.2	55	0
20	Jan_8_2009	34.23	29.89	30.14	30.92			30.76(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	3	39	131.93	49%	-0.49	63.4	3.89%	0	1.1	54	0

21	Jan_7_2009	34.4	29.85	29.98	30.71			30.44(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	3	26	134.06	46%	-0.49	72.2	3.89%	0	0.8	48	0
22	Jan_6_2009	34.57	29.82	29.85	30.52			31.33(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	8	23	136.82	45%	-0.49	87.1	3.95%	0	2.1	67	0
23	Jan_5_2009	34.74	29.7	29.69	30.03			31.02(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	7	-10000	6	9	91.82	45%	-0.52	76.4	3.98%	0	2.1	59	0
24	Jan_2_2009	34.92	29.54	29.53	29.66			31.03(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	6	-10000	7	2	107.92	44%	-0.85	54.4	3.98%	0	2.6	63	0
25	Dec_31_2008	35.22	29.42	29.43	29.28			29.74(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	2	-10	89.22	42%		36.5	3.97%	0	0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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