Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 3, 2008

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $28.6200 (2.84%) ($27.0700 - $28.7100) on Wed. Dec. 3, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.07% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $28.6200(2.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(81%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -2.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.035% (StdDev 4.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.5%

Resistance Level   $28.78
5 Day Moving Average   $28.37(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.78(3.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.78(-0.56%)
To recent high   -36.6%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 5.59% (three month std-dev: 4.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2008	38.43	28.78	27.78	28.37			28.62(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	2	-11	231.01	37%	-0.41	-63	4.07%	0	-0.1	50	0
2	Dec_2_2008	38.59	29.01	27.74	28.28			27.83(3.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-2	-23	181.78	37%	-0.41	-50.2	4.05%	0	-0.6	43	0
3	Dec_1_2008	38.75	29.25	27.78	28.37			26.93(-7.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-7	-10000	1	-31	149.33	37%	-0.46	-37.7	4.02%	0	-1.1	38	0
4	Nov_28_2008	38.93	29.54	27.99	28.32			29.12(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	-10000	13	-40	41.24	39%	-0.56	-30.9	3.93%	0	-0.2	42	0
5	Nov_26_2008	39.15	29.71	28.08	27.61			29.35(4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	9	-63	165.06	39%	-0.43	-34	3.91%	0	-0.2	45	0

6	Nov_25_2008	39.32	29.83	28	27.11			28.17(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-10000	-1	-98	203.05	36%	-0.41	-37.5	3.86%	0	-0.7	37	0
7	Nov_24_2008	39.48	30.01	28.17	27.15			28.3(6.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-0	-114	225.21	36%	-0.3	-37.1	3.86%	0	-0.8	33	0
8	Nov_21_2008	39.6	30.05	28.39	27.16			26.67(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-9	-130	282.77	34%	-0.45	-46.4	3.78%	0	-1.5	30	0
9	Nov_20_2008	39.78	30.21	28.84	27.62			25.56(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-10000	-18	-132	342.47	32%	-0.48	-49.9	3.72%	0	-2.3	25	0
10	Nov_19_2008	39.97	30.49	29.36	28.6			26.86(-5.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10000	-7	-112	244.29	33%	-0.47	-48.4	3.69%	0	-2.1	28	0

11	Nov_18_2008	40.16	30.7	29.88	28.97			28.34(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-7	-103	252.79	34%	-0.42	-48.9	3.65%	0	-1.5	38	0
12	Nov_17_2008	40.33	30.86	30.4	29.32			28.37(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-10000	-9	-86	202.89	34%	-0.44	-49.4	3.65%	0	-1.6	38	0
13	Nov_14_2008	40.51	31.11	30.85	29.8			28.98(-4.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-8	-55	259.41	34%	-0.39	-50.5	3.65%	0	-1.5	55	0
14	Nov_13_2008	40.67	31.28	31.25	30.25			30.46(6.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-0	-25	318.27	36%	-0.44	-42.1	3.62%	0	-0.6	56	0
15	Nov_12_2008	40.85	31.37	31.48	30.27			28.71(-4.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-12	-19	184.94	32%	-0.44	-39.7	3.52%	0	-1.9	47	0

16	Nov_11_2008	41.03	31.48	31.82	30.92			30.1(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-10000	-13	6	162.92	34%	-0.41	-34.6	3.49%	0	-1	51	0
17	Nov_10_2008	41.2	31.66	32.02	31.65			30.77(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-7	34	142.74	34%	-0.41	-14.9	3.49%	0	-0.6	49	0
18	Nov_7_2008	41.37	31.86	31.86	32.06			31.19(2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-6	25	176.98	35%	-0.43	-6.7	3.5%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Nov_6_2008	41.55	31.87	31.72	32.4			30.56(-4.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-8	22	220.78	36%	-0.41	-15.2	3.49%	0	-0.9	45	0
20	Nov_5_2008	41.72	31.93	31.74	32.86			31.99(-5.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	9	-10000	1	31	184.15	39%	-0.41	-23.1	3.46%	0	0	50	0

21	Nov_4_2008	41.89	31.95	31.61	32.82			33.75(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	7	33	182.53	40%	-0.36	-42.3	3.44%	0	1.2	63	0
22	Nov_3_2008	42.04	31.88	31.61	32.44			32.82(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	15	14	128.5	40%	-0.38	-64.4	3.42%	0	0.6	47	0
23	Oct_31_2008	42.2	31.96	31.35	31.61			32.89(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	13	-21	224.28	40%	-0.35	-75.9	3.42%	0	0.5	43	0
24	Oct_30_2008	42.35	32.1	31.27	30.94			32.84(3.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	9	-40	255.29	40%	-0.33	-85.6	3.42%	0	0.4	55	0
25	Oct_29_2008	42.49	32.27	31.18	30.47			31.78(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	5	-53	341.39	42%		-85.2	3.39%	0	-0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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