Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $31.8600 (11.05%) ($28.8500 - $31.8800) on Tue. Oct. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.41% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $31.8600(11.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -1.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.705% (StdDev 3.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.24(-52.17%)
Resistance Level   $32.57
5 Day Moving Average   $30.23(5.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.06(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.57(-2.18%)
To recent high   -34%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 8.38% (three month std-dev: 3.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_28_2008	42.66	32.57	31.06	30.23			31.86(11.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	1	-71	327.37	41%	-0.4	-81.3	3.41%	0	-0.3	50	0
2	Oct_27_2008	42.83	32.9	31.2	30.16			28.69(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-19	-85	239.49	35%	-0.49	-80.2	3.09%	0	-1.5	41	0
3	Oct_24_2008	43.04	33.35	31.84	31.06			29.51(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-11	-52	322.13	34%	-0.49	-71.2	3.09%	0	-1.2	37	0
4	Oct_23_2008	43.25	33.92	32.05	31.62			30.49(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-7	-59	377.97	35%	-0.46	-65.4	3.07%	0	-1	36	0
5	Oct_22_2008	43.45	34.45	32.18	31.62			30.61(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	0	-72	289.99	35%	-0.41	-61.1	3.08%	0	-1.1	35	0

6	Oct_21_2008	43.63	34.95	32.38	31.97			31.48(-5.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-8	-107	239.93	35%	-0.41	-60.1	3.07%	0	-1	33	0
7	Oct_20_2008	43.81	35.4	32.5	32.39			33.2(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-128	232.78	37%	-0.39	-58.7	3.02%	0	-0.6	35	0
8	Oct_17_2008	43.98	35.77	32.64	32.78			32.3(0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	-10000	4	-129	326.59	36%	-0.41	-54.5	3%	0	-0.9	36	0
9	Oct_16_2008	44.16	36.28	32.99	32.58			32.26(5.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	3	-160	494.91	38%	-0.38	-56.3	3%	0	-1	31	0
10	Oct_15_2008	44.33	36.75	33.42	32.44			30.6(-8.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-10000	-7	-195	312.09	35%	-0.43	-60.7	2.93%	0	-1.6	25	0

11	Oct_14_2008	44.52	37.25	34.19	32.79			33.61(-4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-48	-10000	4	-205	342.31	38%	-0.25	-64.1	2.74%	0	-1	31	0
12	Oct_13_2008	44.63	37.68	34.68	32.6			35.13(12.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-56	-10000	1	-225	277.35	40%	-0.29	-66.1	2.69%	0	-0.7	35	0
13	Oct_10_2008	44.76	38.03	34.92	32.55			31.32(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-97	-10000	-26	-308	472.45	30%	-0.4	-66.6	2.2%	0	-1.7	15	0
14	Oct_9_2008	44.94	38.64	35.88	33.52			31.52(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-92	-10000	-28	-283	352.62	29%	-0.38	-64.7	2.21%	0	-2	14	0
15	Oct_8_2008	45.11	39.27	36.88	34.57			32.39(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-10000	-31	-248	452.57	32%	-0.38	-64.4	2.21%	0	-2.1	22	0

16	Oct_7_2008	45.28	39.81	37.75	35.79			32.65(-6.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-73	-10000	-30	-200	329.54	32%	-0.37	-66	2.23%	0	-2.5	30	0
17	Oct_6_2008	45.45	40.33	38.58	37.04			34.86(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-10000	-15	-170	394.16	34%	-0.35	-71.2	2.11%	0	-2.2	29	0
18	Oct_3_2008	45.61	40.77	39.2	37.63			36.18(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-10000	-24	-161	272.14	36%	-0.31	-79.8	2.09%	0	-2.1	33	0
19	Oct_2_2008	45.75	41.15	39.88	38.61			36.75(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-10000	-23	-129	192.19	35%	-0.26	-84.7	2.08%	0	-2.2	31	0
20	Oct_1_2008	45.87	41.51	40.38	39.56			38.5(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-12	-105	174.12	39%	-0.24	-85.3	2.03%	0	-1.6	34	0

21	Sep_30_2008	45.98	41.84	40.58	40.03			38.91(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-8	-102	195.51	39%	-0.24	-82	2.04%	0	-1.6	39	0
22	Sep_29_2008	46.09	42.17	40.93	40.36			37.82(-7.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-10000	-15	-96	307.95	36%	-0.22	-85	2%	0	-2.5	36	0
23	Sep_26_2008	46.19	42.59	41.39	40.98			41.08(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-10	-89	182.68	38%	-0.17	-86.1	1.76%	0	-0.9	41	0
24	Sep_25_2008	46.27	42.87	41.61	41.34			41.5(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-0	-68	148.59	40%	-0.13	-70.9	1.82%	0	-0.7	42	0
25	Sep_24_2008	46.33	43.13	41.8	41.35			40.85(0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	-10000	3	-68	159.31	40%		-67.1	1.82%	0	-1.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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