Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $30.6100 (-2.76%) ($29.7100 - $31.6000) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.08% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $30.6100(-2.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(93%)    SPY(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -1.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.54% (StdDev 3.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.5(-55.9%)
Resistance Level   $34.45
5 Day Moving Average   $31.97(-4.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.18(-4.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.45(-11.15%)
To recent high   -36.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 10.25% (three month std-dev: 3.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20081122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2008	43.45	34.45	32.18				30.61(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	0	-72	289.99	35%	-0.41	-61.1	3.08%	0	-1.1	35	0
2	Oct_21_2008	43.63	34.95	32.38	31.97			31.48(-5.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-8	-107	239.93	35%	-0.41	-60.1	3.07%	0	-1	33	0
3	Oct_20_2008	43.81	35.4	32.5	32.39			33.2(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-128	232.78	37%	-0.39	-58.7	3.02%	0	-0.6	35	0
4	Oct_17_2008	43.98	35.77	32.64	32.78			32.3(0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	-10000	4	-129	326.59	36%	-0.41	-54.5	3%	0	-0.9	36	0
5	Oct_16_2008	44.16	36.28	32.99	32.58			32.26(5.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	3	-160	494.91	38%	-0.38	-56.3	3%	0	-1	31	0

6	Oct_15_2008	44.33	36.75	33.42	32.44			30.6(-8.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-10000	-7	-195	312.09	35%	-0.43	-60.7	2.93%	0	-1.6	25	0
7	Oct_14_2008	44.52	37.25	34.19	32.79			33.61(-4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-48	-10000	4	-205	342.31	38%	-0.25	-64.1	2.74%	0	-1	31	0
8	Oct_13_2008	44.63	37.68	34.68	32.6			35.13(12.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-56	-10000	1	-225	277.35	40%	-0.29	-66.1	2.69%	0	-0.7	35	0
9	Oct_10_2008	44.76	38.03	34.92	32.55			31.32(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-97	-10000	-26	-308	472.45	30%	-0.4	-66.6	2.2%	0	-1.7	15	0
10	Oct_9_2008	44.94	38.64	35.88	33.52			31.52(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-92	-10000	-28	-283	352.62	29%	-0.38	-64.7	2.21%	0	-2	14	0

11	Oct_8_2008	45.11	39.27	36.88	34.57			32.39(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-10000	-31	-248	452.57	32%	-0.38	-64.4	2.21%	0	-2.1	22	0
12	Oct_7_2008	45.28	39.81	37.75	35.79			32.65(-6.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-73	-10000	-30	-200	329.54	32%	-0.37	-66	2.23%	0	-2.5	30	0
13	Oct_6_2008	45.45	40.33	38.58	37.04			34.86(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-10000	-15	-170	394.16	34%	-0.35	-71.2	2.11%	0	-2.2	29	0
14	Oct_3_2008	45.61	40.77	39.2	37.63			36.18(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-10000	-24	-161	272.14	36%	-0.31	-79.8	2.09%	0	-2.1	33	0
15	Oct_2_2008	45.75	41.15	39.88	38.61			36.75(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-10000	-23	-129	192.19	35%	-0.26	-84.7	2.08%	0	-2.2	31	0

16	Oct_1_2008	45.87	41.51	40.38	39.56			38.5(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-12	-105	174.12	39%	-0.24	-85.3	2.03%	0	-1.6	34	0
17	Sep_30_2008	45.98	41.84	40.58	40.03			38.91(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-8	-102	195.51	39%	-0.24	-82	2.04%	0	-1.6	39	0
18	Sep_29_2008	46.09	42.17	40.93	40.36			37.82(-7.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-10000	-15	-96	307.95	36%	-0.22	-85	2%	0	-2.5	36	0
19	Sep_26_2008	46.19	42.59	41.39	40.98			41.08(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-10	-89	182.68	38%	-0.17	-86.1	1.76%	0	-0.9	41	0
20	Sep_25_2008	46.27	42.87	41.61	41.34			41.5(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-0	-68	148.59	40%	-0.13	-70.9	1.82%	0	-0.7	42	0

21	Sep_24_2008	46.33	43.13	41.8	41.35			40.85(0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	-10000	3	-68	159.31	40%	-0.19	-67.1	1.82%	0	-1.2	38	0
22	Sep_23_2008	46.42	43.4	42	41.23			40.57(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-10	-95	185.95	40%	-0.17	-69.8	1.82%	0	-1.4	32	0
23	Sep_22_2008	46.5	43.7	42.2	41.59			40.88(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-6	-101	164.7	40%	-0.17	-68.8	1.82%	0	-1.4	32	0
24	Sep_19_2008	46.58	44.03	42.45	41.83			42.9(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-31	-10000	-3	-113	263.4	42%	-0.13	-66.4	1.76%	0	-0.6	35	0
25	Sep_18_2008	46.64	44.22	42.49	41.94			41.57(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-11	-142	423.93	39%		-66.6	1.72%	0	-1.3	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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