Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 2, 2008

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $36.7500 (-4.55%) ($36.6400 - $38.2500) on Thu. Oct. 2, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $36.7500(-4.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(93%)    SPY(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(77%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.46(-17.12%)
Resistance Level   $41.15
5 Day Moving Average   $38.61(-4.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.88(-7.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.15(-10.69%)
To recent high   -23.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 4.76% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2008	45.75	41.15	39.88	38.61			36.75(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-10000	-23	-129	192.19	35%	-0.26	-84.7	2.08%	0	-2.2	31	0
2	Oct_1_2008	45.87	41.51	40.38	39.56			38.5(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-12	-105	174.12	39%	-0.24	-85.3	2.03%	0	-1.6	34	0
3	Sep_30_2008	45.98	41.84	40.58	40.03			38.91(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-8	-102	195.51	39%	-0.24	-82	2.04%	0	-1.6	39	0
4	Sep_29_2008	46.09	42.17	40.93	40.36			37.82(-7.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-10000	-15	-96	307.95	36%	-0.22	-85	2%	0	-2.5	36	0
5	Sep_26_2008	46.19	42.59	41.39	40.98			41.08(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-10	-89	182.68	38%	-0.17	-86.1	1.76%	0	-0.9	41	0

6	Sep_25_2008	46.27	42.87	41.61	41.34			41.5(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-0	-68	148.59	40%	-0.13	-70.9	1.82%	0	-0.7	42	0
7	Sep_24_2008	46.33	43.13	41.8	41.35			40.85(0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	-10000	3	-68	159.31	40%	-0.19	-67.1	1.82%	0	-1.2	38	0
8	Sep_23_2008	46.42	43.4	42	41.23			40.57(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-10	-95	185.95	40%	-0.17	-69.8	1.82%	0	-1.4	32	0
9	Sep_22_2008	46.5	43.7	42.2	41.59			40.88(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-6	-101	164.7	40%	-0.17	-68.8	1.82%	0	-1.4	32	0
10	Sep_19_2008	46.58	44.03	42.45	41.83			42.9(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-31	-10000	-3	-113	263.4	42%	-0.13	-66.4	1.76%	0	-0.6	35	0

11	Sep_18_2008	46.64	44.22	42.49	41.94			41.57(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-11	-142	423.93	39%	-0.13	-66.6	1.72%	0	-1.3	25	0
12	Sep_17_2008	46.7	44.5	42.7	42.35			40.21(-5.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-49	-10000	-14	-155	340.09	36%	-0.15	-64.1	1.66%	0	-2.1	18	0
13	Sep_16_2008	46.77	44.85	43.19	42.86			42.41(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-0	-148	349.55	39%	-0.11	-66.5	1.54%	0	-1.3	26	0
14	Sep_15_2008	46.82	45.11	43.49	42.87			42.08(-3.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-46	-10000	-8	-160	616.8	39%	-0.11	-67.8	1.54%	0	-1.6	23	0
15	Sep_12_2008	46.87	45.42	43.89	42.87			43.43(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-40	-10000	0	-160	172.09	44%	-0.09	-64.4	1.52%	0	-1.1	23	0

16	Sep_11_2008	46.91	45.66	44.23	43.12			43.6(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-40	-10000	-0	-160	203.44	42%	-0.06	-59.6	1.52%	0	-1.1	30	0
17	Sep_10_2008	46.94	45.86	44.53	43.13			42.8(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-14	-169	160.66	40%	-0.09	-58.2	1.53%	0	-1.7	23	0
18	Sep_9_2008	46.98	46.12	44.9	43.6			42.45(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-53	-10000	-18	-157	214.18	40%	-0.11	-50.7	1.52%	0	-2.2	20	0
19	Sep_8_2008	47.03	46.4	45.32	44.22			43.31(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-48	-10000	-17	-139	311.07	42%	-0.06	-37.7	1.51%	0	-2.1	20	0
20	Sep_5_2008	47.06	46.61	45.74	44.78			43.45(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-45	-10000	-21	-118	247.98	39%	-0.04	-23.1	1.55%	0	-2.4	19	0

21	Sep_4_2008	47.08	46.78	46.1	45.51			43.66(-3.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-36	-10000	-17	-94	219.36	39%	-0.04	-6.5	1.56%	0	-2.9	19	0
22	Sep_3_2008	47.1	46.94	46.47	46.13			45.12(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-23	-10000	-7	-71	161.68	42%	0.02	18.5	1.52%	0	-2.2	31	0
23	Sep_2_2008	47.09	47	46.67	46.39			45.55(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-5	-65	162.4	42%	0.09	34.8	1.52%	0	-2	32	0
24	Aug_29_2008	47.05	46.97	46.88	46.58			46.12(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-8	-60	133.27	42%	0.02	32.4	1.51%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	Aug_28_2008	47.04	46.92	47.08	46.85			47.11(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	1	-39	112.81	44%		37.9	1.5%	0	0.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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