Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 7, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $43.3300 (4.46%) ($42.1100 - $43.3400) on Tue. Mar. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $43.3300(4.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(77%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.56(1.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.43(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.98(0.81%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20080418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2008	47.64	42.98	42.43	42.56			43.33(4.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	3	-30	216.3	40%	-0.23	-42.6	1.64%	0	0.4	43	0
2	Mar_17_2008	47.75	42.99	42.37	42.46			41.48(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-12	-10000	1	-49	193.13	33%	-0.27	-47	1.53%	0	-1.8	34	0
3	Mar_14_2008	47.88	43.12	42.5	42.42			42.25(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	1	-62	309.59	34%	-0.25	-51.9	1.54%	0	-1.1	38	0
4	Mar_13_2008	48	43.2	42.57	42.38			43.04(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	5	-69	208.99	35%	-0.23	-48.6	1.53%	0	-0.2	45	0
5	Mar_12_2008	48.11	43.28	42.65	42.21			42.71(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-21	-10000	-2	-77	155.57	35%	-0.25	-41.3	1.53%	0	-0.7	44	0

6	Mar_11_2008	48.23	43.34	42.8	42.29			42.83(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-19	-10000	-1	-71	196.89	34%	-0.21	-38.3	1.53%	0	-0.6	41	0
7	Mar_10_2008	48.33	43.4	42.91	42.31			41.26(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-9	-76	146.96	28%	-0.25	-42.9	1.46%	0	-2.5	28	0
8	Mar_7_2008	48.45	43.53	43.18	42.59			42.07(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-6	-61	242.55	30%	-0.25	-54.7	1.45%	0	-2.1	32	0
9	Mar_6_2008	48.57	43.59	43.35	42.76			42.17(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-12	-57	152.75	32%	-0.25	-69.3	1.45%	0	-2.3	32	0
10	Mar_5_2008	48.69	43.64	43.5	43.15			43.12(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-8	-47	183.21	36%	-0.2	-71.8	1.45%	0	-1	31	0

11	Mar_4_2008	48.79	43.67	43.59	43.39			42.91(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-7	-34	183.85	36%	-0.22	-68.6	1.47%	0	-1.4	43	0
12	Mar_3_2008	48.9	43.77	43.68	43.62			42.67(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-12	-10000	-8	-25	133.64	36%	-0.22	-48.5	1.47%	0	-1.9	39	0
13	Feb_29_2008	49.01	43.91	43.8	43.87			42.95(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6	-10000	-4	-10	188.72	36%	-0.2	-21.2	1.46%	0	-1.5	46	0
14	Feb_28_2008	49.11	44.02	43.91	44.01			44.12(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	4	8	129.2	42%	-0.2	-13.5	1.43%	0	0.2	62	0
15	Feb_27_2008	49.21	44.02	43.97	43.89			44.29(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10000	2	18	125.68	44%	-0.2	-16.9	1.49%	0	0.4	66	0

16	Feb_26_2008	49.31	44.03	43.92	43.82			44.07(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	2	16	148.38	43%	-0.18	-18.2	1.51%	0	0.1	53	0
17	Feb_25_2008	49.4	44.04	43.91	43.76			43.9(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	5	121.44	43%	-0.18	-28	1.52%	0	-0.2	41	0
18	Feb_22_2008	49.49	44.05	43.89	43.74			43.68(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-2	-13	157.36	43%	-0.18	-38	1.53%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Feb_21_2008	49.58	44.11	43.84	43.8			43.52(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-7	-29	127.86	43%	-0.16	-43.4	1.54%	0	-0.9	39	0
20	Feb_20_2008	49.66	44.14	43.78	44.05			43.94(0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	1	-26	137.34	43%	-0.18	-50.7	1.54%	0	-0.3	48	0

21	Feb_19_2008	49.75	44.15	43.76	44.03			43.74(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-2	-35	110.51	43%	-0.2	-77.2	1.54%	0	-0.6	46	0
22	Feb_15_2008	49.85	44.23	43.86	44.09			43.82(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	1	-26	100.05	43%	-0.16	-81.6	1.54%	0	-0.6	47	0
23	Feb_14_2008	49.93	44.3	44.03	44.05			43.97(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	5	-15	170.87	43%	-0.14	-94.6	1.54%	0	-0.4	51	0
24	Feb_13_2008	50	44.4	44.13	43.88			44.78(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	12	-19	148.69	49%	-0.14	-101.6	1.53%	0	0.5	48	0
25	Feb_12_2008	50.07	44.47	44.08	43.48			43.82(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	1	-39	145.41	44%		-102.8	1.6%	0	-0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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