Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 21, 2007

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jul. 1, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $51.8500 (1.87%) ($51.4800 - $51.9000) on Fri. Dec. 21, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $51.8500(1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(77%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.45(2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.01(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.08(1.51%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2007	50.59	51.08	51.01	50.45			51.85(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-7	-10000	5	-44	107.61	51%	0.08	12.2	1.49%	0	0.8	56	0
2	Dec_20_2007	50.55	50.98	51.03	50.27			50.9(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-15	-10000	-3	-49	167.34	49%	0.06	7.4	1.48%	0	-0.1	48	0
3	Dec_19_2007	50.52	50.91	51.17	50.39			49.88(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-10	-43	137.97	47%	0.04	6.9	1.45%	0	-1	38	0
4	Dec_18_2007	50.5	50.92	51.35	50.77			49.89(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-8	-26	154.25	50%	0.02	13.9	1.45%	0	-1	40	0
5	Dec_17_2007	50.49	50.93	51.45	51.06			49.73(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-14	-10	134.38	50%	0.04	25.5	1.49%	0	-1.2	52	0

6	Dec_14_2007	50.47	50.96	51.59	51.62			50.97(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-7	31	128.41	52%	0.04	43.5	1.46%	0	0	66	0
7	Dec_13_2007	50.45	50.91	51.64	51.89			51.5(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-5	57	153.68	52%	0.04	41.7	1.45%	0	0.6	61	0
8	Dec_12_2007	50.43	50.84	51.66	52.06			51.78(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	1	86	162.98	52%	0.06	32.4	1.45%	0	0.9	66	0
9	Dec_11_2007	50.4	50.78	51.63	52.02			51.32(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	27	-10000	3	98	167.06	54%	0.02	14.9	1.45%	0	0.5	59	0
10	Dec_10_2007	50.39	50.66	51.51	51.89			52.54(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	9	101	75.66	57%	0.04	-11.1	1.43%	0	1.7	67	0

11	Dec_7_2007	50.37	50.53	51.17	51.55			52.33(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	5	76	88.99	54%	0.04	-41	1.43%	0	1.8	61	0
12	Dec_6_2007	50.35	50.48	50.92	51.35			52.32(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	3	67	99.76	54%	0.06	-59.4	1.45%	0	1.9	64	0
13	Dec_5_2007	50.32	50.51	50.61	51.23			51.57(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	1	56	137.62	53%	0.02	-63	1.44%	0	1	58	0
14	Dec_4_2007	50.31	50.63	50.44	51.21			50.67(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	4	52	113.37	53%	0.02	-48.7	1.43%	0	0	49	0
15	Dec_3_2007	50.3	50.78	50.35	51.07			50.88(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	10	56	108.63	53%	0.02	-46	1.44%	0	0.1	62	0

16	Nov_30_2007	50.29	50.94	50.28	50.69			51.31(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	8	40	171.42	54%	0.04	-46.7	1.44%	0	0.2	56	0
17	Nov_29_2007	50.27	51.06	50.12	50.39			51.7(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	13	15	172.09	57%	0.06	-46.2	1.44%	0	0.3	48	0
18	Nov_28_2007	50.24	51.2	49.94	49.91			51.48(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	8	-32	216.87	54%	0.06	-46.3	1.48%	0	0.1	41	0
19	Nov_27_2007	50.21	51.32	49.84	49.6			49.96(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	1	-79	211.37	51%	0.02	-48.2	1.46%	0	-0.6	31	0
20	Nov_26_2007	50.2	51.53	49.73	49.55			48.98(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-7	-126	150.35	49%	0	-46.2	1.45%	0	-1.1	30	0

21	Nov_23_2007	50.2	51.78	49.84	49.81			49.84(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	0	-146	46.47	53%	0.02	-41.3	1.44%	0	-0.9	31	0
22	Nov_21_2007	50.19	51.95	50.01	49.8			49.31(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-4	-167	212.72	55%	0.02	-44.6	1.43%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Nov_20_2007	50.18	52.18	50.39	49.96			49.9(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-5	-175	300.76	55%	0.04	-43.8	1.43%	0	-1.1	30	0
24	Nov_19_2007	50.16	52.39	50.83	50.13			49.7(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-36	-10000	6	-163	198.65	55%	0.04	-40.8	1.43%	0	-1.4	33	0
25	Nov_16_2007	50.14	52.58	51.25	49.93			50.28(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	-10000	1	-175	263.62	55%		-46.2	1.44%	0	-1.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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