Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 29, 2007

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $51.7000 (0.43%) ($51.2000 - $51.8900) on Thu. Nov. 29, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $51.7000(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(77%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.39(2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.12(3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.06(1.25%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2007	50.27	51.06	50.12	50.39			51.7(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	13	15	172.09	57%	0.06	-46.2	1.44%	0	0.3	48	0
2	Nov_28_2007	50.24	51.2	49.94	49.91			51.48(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	8	-32	216.87	54%	0.06	-46.3	1.48%	0	0.1	41	0
3	Nov_27_2007	50.21	51.32	49.84	49.6			49.96(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	1	-79	211.37	51%	0.02	-48.2	1.46%	0	-0.6	31	0
4	Nov_26_2007	50.2	51.53	49.73	49.55			48.98(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-7	-126	150.35	49%	0	-46.2	1.45%	0	-1.1	30	0
5	Nov_23_2007	50.2	51.78	49.84	49.81			49.84(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	0	-146	46.47	53%	0.02	-41.3	1.44%	0	-0.9	31	0

6	Nov_21_2007	50.19	51.95	50.01	49.8			49.31(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-4	-167	212.72	55%	0.02	-44.6	1.43%	0	-1.2	31	0
7	Nov_20_2007	50.18	52.18	50.39	49.96			49.9(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-5	-175	300.76	55%	0.04	-43.8	1.43%	0	-1.1	30	0
8	Nov_19_2007	50.16	52.39	50.83	50.13			49.7(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-36	-10000	6	-163	198.65	55%	0.04	-40.8	1.43%	0	-1.4	33	0
9	Nov_16_2007	50.14	52.58	51.25	49.93			50.28(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-43	-10000	1	-175	263.62	55%	0.06	-46.2	1.44%	0	-1.2	35	0
10	Nov_15_2007	50.11	52.7	51.65	49.88			49.82(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-54	-10000	-11	-181	251.55	54%	0.04	-51.9	1.44%	0	-1.6	34	0

11	Nov_14_2007	50.09	52.91	52.07	50.26			50.09(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-18	-162	263.29	52%	0.06	-47.4	1.46%	0	-1.7	40	0
12	Nov_13_2007	50.06	53.1	52.56	50.91			50.74(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-10000	-21	-129	255.63	52%	0.08	-40.2	1.47%	0	-1.5	40	0
13	Nov_12_2007	50.02	53.22	52.92	51.7			48.73(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-48	-10000	-29	-106	283.22	48%	0.04	-29.9	1.38%	0	-3	28	0
14	Nov_9_2007	50	53.46	53.5	52.77			50(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-31	-10000	-24	-51	309.42	48%	0.04	-14.4	1.35%	0	-3.2	39	0
15	Nov_8_2007	49.98	53.66	53.93	53.65			51.73(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-9	-10000	-13	4	380.63	53%	0.08	15.9	1.31%	0	-2.5	50	0

16	Nov_7_2007	49.94	53.72	54.1	54.1			53.35(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-10	23	197.91	56%	0.12	43.9	1.26%	0	-0.6	49	0
17	Nov_6_2007	49.88	53.73	54.16	54.44			54.68(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	2	49	131.88	60%	0.14	72.7	1.22%	0	1.5	56	0
18	Nov_5_2007	49.81	53.67	54.1	54.36			54.07(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	-0	56	150.59	60%	0.12	83.6	1.22%	0	0.6	58	0
19	Nov_2_2007	49.75	53.62	54.01	54.37			54.42(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	3	57	217.88	59%	0.14	90.8	1.24%	0	1.3	58	0
20	Nov_1_2007	49.68	53.54	53.82	54.28			54(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	6	46	181.97	59%	0.14	88	1.24%	0	0.6	53	0

21	Oct_31_2007	49.61	53.43	53.8	54.09			55.03(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	8	48	148.43	58%	0.18	74.3	1.22%	0	2	63	0
22	Oct_30_2007	49.52	53.26	53.64	53.83			54.26(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	0	32	114.62	58%	0.16	72.7	1.24%	0	1.4	54	0
23	Oct_29_2007	49.44	53.15	53.5	53.82			54.16(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	7	31	101.9	58%	0.14	78.4	1.25%	0	1.4	54	0
24	Oct_26_2007	49.37	53.04	53.39	53.6			53.93(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	9	20	146.69	55%	0.16	75.5	1.28%	0	1.1	54	0
25	Oct_25_2007	49.29	52.92	53.34	53.3			53.05(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-4	7	233.84	53%		70.2	1.27%	0	0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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