Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $46.5500 (0.98%) ($45.9100 - $46.5600) on Wed. May. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $46.5500(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(77%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.42(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.54(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.28(0.58%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.5
One Month Target Price   > $46.55
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $44.36

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.6% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1% away from the target price of 46.55.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2007	44.45	46.28	46.54	46.42			46.55(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-2	4	144.72	47%	0.07	66.7	0.94%	0	0.5	50	0
2	May_15_2007	44.42	46.21	46.53	46.47			46.1(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-6	8	179.49	45%	0.05	73.2	0.94%	0	-0.2	49	0
3	May_14_2007	44.4	46.16	46.54	46.6			46.46(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	25	118.97	49%	0.09	77.6	0.93%	0	0.5	62	0
4	May_11_2007	44.36	46.1	46.5	46.63			46.78(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	1	35	103.2	49%	0.09	77	0.94%	0	1	69	0
5	May_10_2007	44.32	45.99	46.47	46.6			46.19(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-4	47	171.26	46%	0.05	72.6	0.93%	0	0.3	65	0

6	May_9_2007	44.3	45.92	46.51	46.68			46.83(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	4	76	116.01	46%	0.07	70.7	0.92%	0	1.1	80	0
7	May_8_2007	44.27	45.79	46.46	46.6			46.73(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	6	87	95.2	46%	0.07	68.6	0.94%	0	1.2	80	0
8	May_7_2007	44.24	45.69	46.36	46.48			46.63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	-10000	6	86	47.69	48%	0.05	70.6	0.94%	0	1.2	75	0
9	May_4_2007	44.22	45.58	46.25	46.34			46.63(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	0	81	93.63	48%	0.07	73.4	0.93%	0	1.3	76	0
10	May_3_2007	44.19	45.48	46.13	46.33			46.59(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	0	91	98.02	48%	0.07	80.2	0.94%	0	1.4	79	0

11	May_2_2007	44.16	45.36	45.99	46.32			46.42(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	1	100	91.99	48%	0.05	88.1	0.95%	0	1.4	79	0
12	May_1_2007	44.14	45.25	45.85	46.3			46.11(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	31	-10000	4	113	135.09	48%	0.07	89.3	0.94%	0	1.1	80	0
13	Apr_30_2007	44.11	45.13	45.76	46.22			45.96(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	5	116	93.47	50%	0.05	78.2	0.94%	0	1	68	0
14	Apr_27_2007	44.09	45.01	45.67	46.12			46.57(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	-10000	11	124	96.61	53%	0.07	68.8	0.92%	0	1.8	80	0
15	Apr_26_2007	44.06	44.85	45.48	45.89			46.55(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	-10000	13	108	99.41	53%	0.05	60.8	0.93%	0	2.1	77	0

16	Apr_25_2007	44.04	44.7	45.28	45.61			46.31(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	32	-10000	12	91	106.95	50%	0.05	50	0.93%	0	2.1	77	0
17	Apr_24_2007	44.02	44.58	45.06	45.35			45.7(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	5	69	108.2	51%	0.05	49.3	0.93%	0	1.7	75	0
18	Apr_23_2007	44	44.5	44.96	45.24			45.47(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	4	74	85.45	51%	0.05	56.2	0.95%	0	1.6	78	0
19	Apr_20_2007	43.98	44.43	44.85	45.16			45.4(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	7	82	122.44	49%	0.02	68.3	0.95%	0	1.7	79	0
20	Apr_19_2007	43.97	44.37	44.76	45.01			45.15(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	6	84	95.51	49%	0.02	78.6	0.96%	0	1.5	76	0

21	Apr_18_2007	43.96	44.33	44.68	44.89			45.01(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	8	88	82.05	45%	0.05	92.6	0.96%	0	1.4	76	0
22	Apr_17_2007	43.94	44.26	44.6	44.73			45.16(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	4	76	81.88	44%	0.02	96.3	0.99%	0	1.9	66	0
23	Apr_16_2007	43.93	44.16	44.44	44.63			45.06(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	5	61	73.03	44%	0.02	93.4	0.99%	0	1.9	58	0
24	Apr_13_2007	43.92	44.05	44.29	44.51			44.65(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	1	45	94.58	44%	0	78.4	0.98%	0	1.2	57	0
25	Apr_12_2007	43.92	43.97	44.19	44.49			44.56(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	2	36	114.84	44%		74	0.99%	0	1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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