Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $42.8300 (0.68%) ($42.4700 - $43.0900) on Tue. Nov. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $42.8300(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(77%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.27(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.38(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.25(1.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.7
One Month Target Price   > $42.83
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $40.9

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -8.4% away from the target price of 42.83.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2006	39.19	42.25	42.38	42.27			42.83(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	3	16	139.89	71%	0.13	53	0.9%	0	1.7	62	0
2	Nov_6_2006	39.14	42.19	42.31	42.22			42.54(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-10000	0	12	101.36	71%	0.1	66.3	0.9%	0	1	57	0
3	Nov_3_2006	39.1	42.14	42.3	42.21			41.93(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-3	10	119.31	69%	0.08	79.5	0.89%	0	-0.6	44	0
4	Nov_2_2006	39.07	42.12	42.31	42.26			42.04(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-9	7	100.23	69%	0.13	89.2	0.89%	0	-0.2	45	0
5	Nov_1_2006	39.02	42.09	42.3	42.42			42(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-4	18	148.97	65%	0.13	102	0.9%	0	-0.2	48	0

6	Oct_31_2006	38.97	42.06	42.29	42.5			42.58(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	5	33	135.83	68%	0.13	86.5	0.91%	0	0.9	63	0
7	Oct_30_2006	38.92	41.96	42.29	42.41			42.48(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	0	29	103.95	68%	0.1	67.5	0.91%	0	0.8	61	0
8	Oct_27_2006	38.88	41.84	42.23	42.4			42.21(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	2	41	129.38	71%	0.1	61.8	0.94%	0	0.5	60	0
9	Oct_26_2006	38.84	41.77	42.25	42.36			42.82(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	9	56	130.87	75%	0.13	64.1	0.92%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Oct_25_2006	38.79	41.67	42.18	42.18			42.43(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	7	51	125.41	74%	0.08	63.3	0.92%	0	1.1	65	0

11	Oct_24_2006	38.76	41.58	42.09	42.05			42.13(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	42	103.68	76%	0.1	60.8	0.92%	0	0.8	65	0
12	Oct_23_2006	38.72	41.52	42.05	42.05			42.43(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	15	-10000	0	58	127	76%	0.08	65.1	0.94%	0	1.3	80	0
13	Oct_20_2006	38.69	41.42	41.96	42.03			42(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-4	78	105.46	71%	0.05	65.4	0.94%	0	0.8	79	0
14	Oct_19_2006	38.67	41.32	41.91	42.12			41.9(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-3	96	108.24	72%	0.08	66.3	0.97%	0	0.8	67	0
15	Oct_18_2006	38.64	41.24	41.87	42.18			41.8(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	2	113	121.16	72%	0.08	71.2	0.98%	0	0.7	63	0

16	Oct_17_2006	38.61	41.17	41.83	42.13			42(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	4	122	146.15	72%	0.1	69.1	0.97%	0	1	67	0
17	Oct_16_2006	38.57	41.06	41.67	42.05			42.45(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	9	115	62.05	75%	0.08	68.8	0.96%	0	1.8	72	0
18	Oct_13_2006	38.54	40.94	41.44	41.87			42.43(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	10	96	80.48	71%	0.08	74	0.97%	0	2	74	0
19	Oct_12_2006	38.51	40.82	41.26	41.67			42.23(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	-10000	7	88	95.34	66%	0.08	84.1	1%	0	2.1	78	0
20	Oct_11_2006	38.48	40.71	41.11	41.52			41.54(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	2	83	136.57	64%	0.08	97.3	1.02%	0	1.4	68	0

21	Oct_10_2006	38.45	40.63	41.03	41.48			41.62(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	13	89	98.21	64%	0.08	108.1	1.02%	0	1.6	64	0
22	Oct_9_2006	38.42	40.53	40.94	41.21			41.55(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	13	81	62.82	64%	0.05	92.4	1.03%	0	1.6	69	0
23	Oct_6_2006	38.4	40.4	40.83	40.93			41.41(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	7	63	85.45	64%	0.08	73.7	1.04%	0	1.5	64	0
24	Oct_5_2006	38.37	40.27	40.68	40.78			41.5(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	6	49	92.19	59%	0.05	63	1.04%	0	1.7	65	0
25	Oct_4_2006	38.35	40.12	40.55	40.65			41.3(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	6	40	149.5	59%		56	1.07%	0	1.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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