Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ QQQ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $38.8200 (0.47%) ($38.5400 - $39.0600) on Wed. May. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $38.8200(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(77%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.29(-14.25%)
Resistance Level   $40.07
5 Day Moving Average   $39.03(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.04(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.07(-3.12%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.17% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2006	41.32	40.07	39.04	39.03			38.82(0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-29	-10000	2	-122	137.1	37%	-0.1	-53.6	0.86%	0	-1	23	0
2	May_30_2006	41.36	40.2	39.14	38.99			38.64(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-43	-10000	-3	-164	105.61	37%	-0.14	-56.3	0.86%	0	-1.2	19	0
3	May_26_2006	41.42	40.35	39.29	39.05			39.49(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-47	-10000	2	-193	91.33	44%	-0.05	-58.6	0.85%	0	-0.7	21	0
4	May_25_2006	41.44	40.46	39.34	39.02			39.36(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-54	-10000	3	-226	123.53	44%	-0.05	-58.5	0.86%	0	-0.9	20	0
5	May_24_2006	41.46	40.6	39.47	38.96			38.85(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-69	-10000	-6	-259	235	41%	-0.07	-61.7	0.85%	0	-1.4	19	0

6	May_23_2006	41.49	40.76	39.74	39.06			38.59(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-76	-10000	-15	-257	142.65	41%	-0.07	-65.9	0.84%	0	-1.8	22	0
7	May_22_2006	41.52	40.93	40.07	39.31			38.97(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-70	-10000	-15	-233	169.61	45%	-0.02	-67.8	0.83%	0	-1.7	23	0
8	May_19_2006	41.53	41.09	40.39	39.55			39.35(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-10000	-10	-195	194.31	45%	-0.05	-67.2	0.85%	0	-1.7	27	0
9	May_18_2006	41.55	41.23	40.67	39.72			39.05(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-60	-10000	-19	-181	139.72	45%	-0.05	-67.1	0.85%	0	-2.2	20	0
10	May_17_2006	41.57	41.4	40.96	40.05			39.32(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-61	-10000	-27	-162	207.93	45%	-0.05	-62.3	0.85%	0	-2.3	19	0

11	May_16_2006	41.59	41.58	41.19	40.52			39.86(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-10000	-25	-126	132.41	49%	-0.02	-51.9	0.84%	0	-2.2	30	0
12	May_15_2006	41.6	41.71	41.37	40.96			40.16(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-10000	-24	-92	127.9	49%	-0.05	-42.3	0.84%	0	-2.4	31	0
13	May_12_2006	41.62	41.8	41.51	41.37			40.19(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-32	-10000	-22	-60	153.95	49%	-0.02	-35.1	0.86%	0	-2.9	31	0
14	May_11_2006	41.63	41.9	41.69	41.76			40.74(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-15	-10000	-12	-23	141.03	52%	0	-28	0.85%	0	-2.8	35	0
15	May_10_2006	41.63	41.97	41.85	41.98			41.67(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	2	-10000	3	-1	92.44	56%	0	-27.6	0.8%	0	-0.9	37	0

16	May_9_2006	41.63	41.98	41.87	41.94			42.04(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	6	-16	48.57	56%	0.05	-35.5	0.8%	0	0.2	38	0
17	May_8_2006	41.61	41.98	41.85	41.85			42.2(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	9	-34	45.09	58%	0	-39.5	0.81%	0	0.7	44	0
18	May_5_2006	41.61	41.99	41.82	41.69			42.16(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-10	-10000	3	-48	80.39	58%	0	-46.8	0.81%	0	0.5	57	0
19	May_4_2006	41.61	42.02	41.8	41.63			41.83(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-19	-10000	-5	-60	88.71	58%	0	-39.5	0.81%	0	-0.5	47	0
20	May_3_2006	41.61	42.05	41.86	41.72			41.49(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-4	-43	74.98	54%	0	-23.3	0.81%	0	-1.5	46	0

21	May_2_2006	41.61	42.09	41.98	41.79			41.55(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-4	-24	85.17	51%	-0.02	-5.8	0.83%	0	-1.5	47	0
22	May_1_2006	41.62	42.12	42.07	41.86			41.44(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-6	-16	92.93	51%	0	7.4	0.85%	0	-2	41	0
23	Apr_28_2006	41.62	42.15	42.1	41.96			41.85(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-2	-15	88.88	53%	0	28.2	0.83%	0	-1	44	0
24	Apr_27_2006	41.62	42.16	42.13	41.99			42.26(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-3	-22	174.12	57%	0.02	46.4	0.83%	0	0.3	42	0
25	Apr_26_2006	41.61	42.14	42.1	42.04			41.86(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-9	-31	82.57	55%		62	0.84%	0	-0.9	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.