Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 6, 2005

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jul. 3, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $38.2500 (-1.32%) ($37.9200 - $38.8600) on Thu. Oct. 6, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $38.2500(-1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $39.05
5 Day Moving Average   $39.07(-2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.94(-1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.05(-2.05%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20051106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2005	38.58	39.05	38.94	39.07			38.25(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-7	-10000	-13	13	162.27	53%	0.03	-6.7	0.72%	0	-2	34	0
2	Oct_5_2005	38.57	39.11	38.99	39.26			38.76(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.4	9	-10000	1	32	106.23	58%	0.05	12.6	0.7%	0	-0.9	44	0
3	Oct_4_2005	38.55	39.14	38.97	39.24			39.3(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	10	21	85.38	62%	0.08	21.1	0.69%	0	0.4	51	0
4	Oct_3_2005	38.52	39.15	38.93	39.11			39.56(0.25%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	7	-10000	12	-7	81.69	62%	0.08	18.9	0.69%	0	1.1	45	0
5	Sep_30_2005	38.49	39.11	38.87	38.95			39.46(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	10	-41	79.26	62%	0.1	10.5	0.69%	0	0.9	42	0

6	Sep_29_2005	38.45	39.08	38.86	38.81			39.2(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	8	-65	117.77	62%	0.08	4.3	0.69%	0	0.3	40	0
7	Sep_28_2005	38.42	39.08	38.85	38.7			38.68(0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10000	3	-89	72.06	61%	0.08	1.1	0.68%	0	-1.1	36	0
8	Sep_27_2005	38.39	39.07	38.89	38.66			38.67(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-4	-102	64.09	61%	0.08	-2.1	0.68%	0	-1.1	35	0
9	Sep_26_2005	38.36	39.08	38.99	38.72			38.76(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-4	-91	69.35	61%	0.08	0	0.69%	0	-0.9	39	0
10	Sep_23_2005	38.33	39.07	39.08	38.78			38.75(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-9	-67	70.17	56%	0.08	1	0.7%	0	-0.8	52	0

11	Sep_22_2005	38.3	39.07	39.17	38.91			38.64(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-8	-37	119.17	56%	0.08	8	0.72%	0	-1.1	48	0
12	Sep_21_2005	38.27	39.06	39.25	39.02			38.5(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-9	-18	116.42	56%	0.08	8.8	0.72%	0	-1.4	45	0
13	Sep_20_2005	38.24	39.08	39.34	39.15			38.93(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-10	14	115.51	58%	0.1	18.6	0.7%	0	-0.4	58	0
14	Sep_19_2005	38.2	39.07	39.39	39.29			39.09(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-9	44	73.4	58%	0.1	21	0.7%	0	0.1	58	0
15	Sep_16_2005	38.16	39.06	39.37	39.42			39.4(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-3	70	71.05	60%	0.13	26	0.69%	0	0.9	68	0

16	Sep_15_2005	38.11	39.06	39.32	39.46			39.16(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-4	84	80.48	60%	0.11	23.7	0.69%	0	0.3	62	0
17	Sep_14_2005	38.07	39.03	39.31	39.51			39.18(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-10000	-4	101	98.67	60%	0.11	25.8	0.69%	0	0.4	64	0
18	Sep_13_2005	38.03	39.01	39.26	39.56			39.63(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	4	112	66.19	64%	0.13	22.7	0.68%	0	1.6	66	0
19	Sep_12_2005	37.98	38.99	39.18	39.5			39.73(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	14	110	51.7	64%	0.11	22.1	0.68%	0	2	65	0
20	Sep_9_2005	37.94	38.96	39.05	39.31			39.62(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	10	77	75.39	61%	0.11	4.7	0.69%	0	2	64	0

21	Sep_8_2005	37.9	38.95	38.94	39.17			39.4(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	7	55	73.54	61%	0.13	-11.3	0.69%	0	1.5	61	0
22	Sep_7_2005	37.85	38.93	38.85	39.08			39.41(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	11	36	57.47	61%	0.13	-33.8	0.69%	0	1.6	55	0
23	Sep_6_2005	37.8	38.92	38.78	38.93			39.34(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	10	-10000	9	14	78.13	61%	0.19	-58.4	0.7%	0	1.4	59	0
24	Sep_2_2005	37.73	38.91	38.78	38.81			38.77(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	4	-15	53.27	54%	0.11	-73.8	0.7%	0	-0.5	36	0
25	Sep_1_2005	37.69	38.95	38.72	38.75			38.92(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	5	-30	74.92	54%		-74.7	0.7%	0	-0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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