Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 22, 2005

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $39.4200 (-0.13%) ($39.2200 - $39.5900) on Fri. Jul. 22, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $39.4200(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.25(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.9(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.02(3.68%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.4
One Month Target Price   > $39.42
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $38.06

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -6.5% away from the target price of 39.42.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2005	36.98	38.02	38.9	39.25			39.42(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	67	-10000	8	244	71.72	62%	0.05	42.2	0.69%	0	1.4	89	0
2	Jul_21_2005	36.96	37.91	38.74	39.15			39.47(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	70	-10000	10	248	127.79	66%	0.05	39	0.72%	0	1.6	88	0
3	Jul_20_2005	36.94	37.82	38.51	39.01			39.46(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	-10000	14	217	91.98	66%	0.05	39.1	0.79%	0	1.9	80	0
4	Jul_19_2005	36.92	37.73	38.26	38.79			39.18(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	-10000	11	194	78.69	66%	0.05	37.7	0.79%	0	1.9	77	0
5	Jul_18_2005	36.9	37.65	38.05	38.62			38.73(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	9	183	59.12	65%	0.03	36	0.79%	0	1.5	77	0

6	Jul_15_2005	36.89	37.6	37.85	38.49			38.89(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	-10000	15	174	67.73	58%	0.03	35.8	0.78%	0	2	75	0
7	Jul_14_2005	36.88	37.54	37.64	38.27			38.77(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	-10000	21	133	103.21	55%	0.05	29.3	0.84%	0	2.1	65	0
8	Jul_13_2005	36.86	37.48	37.46	37.93			38.39(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	18	83	72.55	49%	0.05	15.1	0.86%	0	1.8	54	0
9	Jul_12_2005	36.84	37.43	37.33	37.64			38.3(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	15	39	86.11	49%	0.03	-2.3	0.88%	0	1.8	52	0
10	Jul_11_2005	36.83	37.4	37.17	37.4			38.12(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	12	-10000	17	-2	96.46	49%	0.03	-22	0.88%	0	1.6	50	0

11	Jul_8_2005	36.82	37.36	37.05	37.12			37.77(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	12	-48	101.47	47%	0	-48.2	0.88%	0	1	46	0
12	Jul_7_2005	36.82	37.37	37	37.12			37.06(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	0	-85	120.22	46%	-0.03	-68.8	0.85%	0	-0.7	32	0
13	Jul_6_2005	36.83	37.4	37.06	36.92			36.93(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-3	-85	79.33	46%	-0.03	-75.9	0.86%	0	-1.1	35	0
14	Jul_5_2005	36.84	37.44	37.15	36.97			37.11(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	4	-74	79.29	46%	-0.03	-78.2	0.86%	0	-0.8	41	0
15	Jul_1_2005	36.85	37.49	37.22	36.91			36.73(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-3	-84	55.29	41%	-0.03	-79.5	0.85%	0	-1.7	30	0

16	Jun_30_2005	36.86	37.56	37.33	36.95			36.78(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-8	-76	87.96	46%	0	-74.6	0.86%	0	-1.7	36	0
17	Jun_29_2005	36.86	37.66	37.45	37.08			37.07(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-9	-65	71.58	46%	-0.03	-62.4	0.88%	0	-1.3	33	0
18	Jun_28_2005	36.87	37.72	37.51	37.22			37.15(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-8	-50	73.38	46%	0	-52.3	0.89%	0	-1.4	41	0
19	Jun_27_2005	36.87	37.77	37.56	37.36			36.8(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-13	-43	72.89	43%	-0.03	-42.2	0.88%	0	-2.4	32	0
20	Jun_24_2005	36.88	37.84	37.66	37.58			36.97(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-11	-28	142.33	43%	-0.03	-26.1	0.88%	0	-2.5	30	0

21	Jun_23_2005	36.89	37.91	37.73	37.76			37.39(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-6	-17	122.22	46%	0	-3.9	0.87%	0	-1.8	35	0
22	Jun_22_2005	36.89	37.93	37.78	37.86			37.81(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	1	-16	75.52	45%	0.03	16.9	0.86%	0	-0.4	31	0
23	Jun_21_2005	36.88	37.93	37.78	37.84			37.85(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-10000	4	-28	97.92	45%	0	35.2	0.88%	0	-0.3	39	0
24	Jun_20_2005	36.88	37.94	37.77	37.78			37.87(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	1	-40	68.17	45%	0.03	53.5	0.88%	0	-0.3	46	0
25	Jun_17_2005	36.87	37.93	37.79	37.76			37.87(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	4	-44	89.17	45%		74.6	0.88%	0	-0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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