Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2005

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jul. 1, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $35.8500 (-0.28%) ($35.6600 - $36.2000) on Thu. May. 12, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $35.8500(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.89(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.65(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.35(1.41%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2005	37.05	35.35	35.65	35.89			35.85(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	1	77	116.67	39%	-0.11	-12.9	0.92%	0	1.1	63	0
2	May_11_2005	37.09	35.35	35.55	35.87			35.95(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	2	63	132.09	42%	-0.11	-27.6	0.93%	0	1.4	53	0
3	May_10_2005	37.13	35.33	35.46	35.83			35.77(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	5	66	77.48	42%	-0.08	-30.6	0.94%	0	0.8	64	0
4	May_9_2005	37.16	35.36	35.39	35.74			36.03(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	11	62	66.37	40%	-0.11	-32.3	0.94%	0	1.2	62	0
5	May_6_2005	37.2	35.38	35.32	35.55			35.86(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	10	54	77.4	40%	-0.11	-38.4	0.95%	0	0.8	63	0

6	May_5_2005	37.24	35.4	35.24	35.38			35.76(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	12	43	79.63	40%	-0.13	-39.1	0.95%	0	0.5	62	0
7	May_4_2005	37.29	35.45	35.21	35.18			35.73(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	8	23	90.93	43%	-0.13	-43.5	0.96%	0	0.4	50	0
8	May_3_2005	37.34	35.49	35.11	35.05			35.3(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	3	-12	104.08	39%	-0.13	-47.8	0.97%	0	-0.3	41	0
9	May_2_2005	37.39	35.54	35.08	35			35.12(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-3	-46	68.21	39%	-0.13	-45.6	0.98%	0	-0.5	34	0
10	Apr_29_2005	37.44	35.61	35.04	35.05			34.98(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-1	-68	144.51	42%	-0.13	-43.5	0.98%	0	-0.8	35	0

11	Apr_28_2005	37.49	35.67	35.02	35.07			34.75(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10000	-10	-100	98.66	42%	-0.13	-43.5	0.98%	0	-1.2	32	0
12	Apr_27_2005	37.54	35.76	35.1	35.25			35.1(0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-22	-10000	5	-102	112.64	43%	-0.13	-36.6	0.97%	0	-0.9	31	0
13	Apr_26_2005	37.59	35.84	35.19	35.17			35.05(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-29	-10000	1	-120	108.1	45%	-0.13	-36.8	0.97%	0	-1.1	37	0
14	Apr_25_2005	37.64	35.9	35.33	35.16			35.38(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	8	-118	72.22	45%	-0.13	-41.9	0.98%	0	-0.7	39	0
15	Apr_22_2005	37.69	35.95	35.43	35.03			35.09(-1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	4	-133	115.15	43%	-0.13	-48.3	0.98%	0	-1.2	37	0

16	Apr_21_2005	37.74	36.01	35.58	34.96			35.62(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-34	-10000	1	-138	125	45%	-0.13	-55.3	0.97%	0	-0.5	44	0
17	Apr_20_2005	37.79	36.04	35.7	34.95			34.7(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-17	-151	140.46	38%	-0.11	-59.3	0.92%	0	-1.9	30	0
18	Apr_19_2005	37.83	36.12	35.89	35.22			34.99(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-20	-129	97.51	36%	-0.13	-61.5	0.94%	0	-1.8	30	0
19	Apr_18_2005	37.88	36.21	36.05	35.55			34.75(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-10000	-20	-89	110.71	36%	-0.11	-58.6	0.95%	0	-2.6	39	0
20	Apr_15_2005	37.92	36.3	36.23	35.9			34.74(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-31	-10000	-22	-56	170.27	36%	-0.11	-57.4	0.96%	0	-3.3	36	0

21	Apr_14_2005	37.96	36.41	36.4	36.28			35.55(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-18	-10000	-17	-20	158.93	41%	-0.11	-68.3	0.93%	0	-2.9	44	0
22	Apr_13_2005	38	36.46	36.51	36.56			36.06(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.2	1	-10000	-5	17	109.07	41%	-0.08	-74.6	0.92%	0	-1.7	49	0
23	Apr_12_2005	38.03	36.51	36.58	36.64			36.66(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	39	145.34	43%	-0.05	-72.1	0.91%	0	0.6	59	0
24	Apr_11_2005	38.05	36.54	36.52	36.64			36.48(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	-10000	0	29	71.01	43%	-0.05	-69.4	0.92%	0	-0.2	48	0
25	Apr_8_2005	38.07	36.57	36.51	36.62			36.64(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	5	28	92.41	43%		-72.2	0.91%	0	0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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