Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 2, 2005

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $37.6100 (-0.05%) ($37.3600 - $38.0200) on Wed. Mar. 2, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $37.6100(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.5(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.41(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.5(0.29%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2005	38.15	37.5	37.41	37.5			37.61(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	8	-3	107.99	36%	0.05	19.3	0.9%	0	0.3	57	0
2	Mar_1_2005	38.13	37.49	37.45	37.36			37.63(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	8	-11	79.29	40%	0.05	19.3	0.91%	0	0.4	48	0
3	Feb_28_2005	38.11	37.48	37.47	37.22			37.22(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-1	-26	96.02	38%	0.03	19.3	0.91%	0	-0.8	45	0
4	Feb_25_2005	38.1	37.47	37.52	37.24			37.62(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	2	-24	80.14	39%	0.05	18.3	0.9%	0	0.4	48	0
5	Feb_24_2005	38.08	37.44	37.48	37.21			37.41(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-13	-10000	-7	-30	99.84	39%	0.03	12.9	0.91%	0	-0.1	54	0

6	Feb_23_2005	38.07	37.44	37.45	37.33			36.94(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-10000	-14	-31	95.42	37%	0	10.4	0.9%	0	-1.4	44	0
7	Feb_22_2005	38.07	37.43	37.53	37.56			36.89(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-10	-10000	-12	-3	122.63	37%	0.08	2.9	0.9%	0	-1.4	44	0
8	Feb_18_2005	38.04	37.42	37.62	37.76			37.35(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-4	23	69.39	36%	0.05	-4.5	0.91%	0	-0.2	51	0
9	Feb_17_2005	38.02	37.42	37.66	37.83			37.47(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	15	-10000	4	47	116.32	39%	0.05	-10.9	0.91%	0	0.2	59	0
10	Feb_16_2005	38	37.4	37.64	37.76			37.98(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	10	46	80.62	41%	0.11	-27	0.91%	0	1.3	62	0

11	Feb_15_2005	37.96	37.39	37.59	37.59			38.12(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	5	34	133.21	41%	0.11	-35.1	0.91%	0	1.5	63	0
12	Feb_14_2005	37.92	37.41	37.53	37.51			37.87(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	2	39	55.06	41%	0.08	-38.9	0.91%	0	0.9	66	0
13	Feb_11_2005	37.89	37.43	37.48	37.47			37.7(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	-1	48	108.77	43%	0.08	-39.4	0.92%	0	0.5	66	0
14	Feb_10_2005	37.86	37.45	37.48	37.47			37.15(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	0	48	110.43	40%	0.05	-40.1	0.92%	0	-0.5	52	0
15	Feb_9_2005	37.84	37.51	37.4	37.48			37.11(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-6	43	93.43	40%	0.03	-37.6	0.92%	0	-0.7	48	0

16	Feb_8_2005	37.83	37.57	37.41	37.58			37.74(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	3	44	73.23	43%	0.08	-36.9	0.89%	0	0.3	44	0
17	Feb_7_2005	37.8	37.6	37.31	37.53			37.67(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	3	7	71.63	43%	0.05	-43.5	0.89%	0	0.1	37	0
18	Feb_4_2005	37.78	37.64	37.2	37.48			37.75(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	10	-26	99.37	43%	0.08	-53.4	0.9%	0	0.2	41	0
19	Feb_3_2005	37.75	37.67	37.13	37.31			37.15(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	1	-65	90.93	39%	0.05	-70.2	0.88%	0	-0.8	40	0
20	Feb_2_2005	37.73	37.74	37.14	37.3			37.58(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	5	-86	101.91	41%	0.05	-78.9	0.87%	0	-0.2	39	0

21	Feb_1_2005	37.71	37.79	37.18	37.22			37.52(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	10	-98	76.82	41%	0.03	-86.5	0.87%	0	-0.4	42	0
22	Jan_31_2005	37.7	37.89	37.28	37.06			37.4(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	11	-113	89.38	41%	0.08	-84.6	0.87%	0	-0.6	39	0
23	Jan_28_2005	37.67	38	37.37	36.88			36.92(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10000	-2	-142	111.79	38%	0.05	-80.8	0.86%	0	-1.2	33	0
24	Jan_27_2005	37.65	38.15	37.48	36.91			37.1(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-3	-146	109.79	44%	0.08	-75.4	0.86%	0	-1.1	38	0
25	Jan_26_2005	37.62	38.3	37.63	36.96			37.15(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-10000	-11	-139	107.71	44%		-70.5	0.91%	0	-1.2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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