Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 17, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jul. 3, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $39.1100 (1.35%) ($38.8300 - $39.3200) on Wed. Nov. 17, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $39.1100(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.7(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.3(2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.5(4.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.6
One Month Target Price   > $39.11
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $37.19

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.8% away from the target price of 39.11.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2004	35.4	37.5	38.3	38.7			39.11(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	14	137	125.45	68%	0.06	73.6	0.98%	0	1.6	84	0
2	Nov_16_2004	35.38	37.35	38.13	38.43			38.59(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	7	123	97.48	67%	0.03	71	0.98%	0	1.3	84	0
3	Nov_15_2004	35.37	37.21	37.99	38.3			38.83(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	9	135	82.78	67%	0.06	69.8	0.98%	0	1.7	93	0
4	Nov_12_2004	35.35	37.07	37.81	38.13			38.66(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	8	144	102.71	63%	0.06	69.7	0.98%	0	1.7	93	0
5	Nov_11_2004	35.33	36.92	37.64	37.99			38.29(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	7	148	99.86	63%	0.03	68.4	1%	0	1.5	87	0

6	Nov_10_2004	35.32	36.78	37.5	37.86			37.79(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	4	143	95.19	63%	0.03	62.9	1%	0	1.2	65	0
7	Nov_9_2004	35.31	36.67	37.4	37.78			37.92(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	8	151	85.27	63%	0.06	56.9	1%	0	1.5	72	0
8	Nov_8_2004	35.29	36.55	37.2	37.63			38(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	10	141	66.53	63%	0.03	51.4	1%	0	1.8	74	0
9	Nov_5_2004	35.28	36.43	36.96	37.44			37.96(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	11	113	117.09	55%	0.06	44.5	1.06%	0	2	69	0
10	Nov_4_2004	35.26	36.31	36.75	37.23			37.62(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	7	95	112.66	55%	0.03	38.9	1.09%	0	2	71	0

11	Nov_3_2004	35.25	36.23	36.64	37.09			37.41(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	6	102	141.21	52%	0	45.8	1.09%	0	2	71	0
12	Nov_2_2004	35.25	36.19	36.49	36.96			37.16(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	13	99	109.23	52%	0.03	57.7	1.12%	0	1.8	67	0
13	Nov_1_2004	35.24	36.14	36.36	36.69			37.04(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	14	82	72.56	52%	0.06	63.8	1.12%	0	1.8	65	0
14	Oct_29_2004	35.22	36.1	36.27	36.41			36.9(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	11	63	100.83	53%	0	72	1.12%	0	1.8	63	0
15	Oct_28_2004	35.22	36.05	36.14	36.19			36.96(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-10000	3	44	111.17	53%	0	70.3	1.12%	0	2	65	0

16	Oct_27_2004	35.22	35.96	35.98	36.12			36.73(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	13	-10000	7	30	152.66	55%	0	71.2	1.12%	0	1.7	53	0
17	Oct_26_2004	35.22	35.88	35.87	35.98			35.82(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-1	2	98.25	52%	-0.03	58.3	1.09%	0	-0.1	39	0
18	Oct_25_2004	35.23	35.82	35.86	35.99			35.63(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-5	-8	103.01	52%	-0.03	44	1.1%	0	-0.3	42	0
19	Oct_22_2004	35.24	35.77	35.87	36.09			35.8(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	1	-4	114.39	51%	0	40.5	1.12%	0	0	44	0
20	Oct_21_2004	35.24	35.73	35.85	36.06			36.6(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	12	-10	124.5	50%	0	33	1.1%	0	1.4	55	0

21	Oct_20_2004	35.24	35.64	35.8	35.83			36.05(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	106.87	51%	0	20.5	1.14%	0	0.7	62	0
22	Oct_19_2004	35.24	35.59	35.85	35.74			35.88(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	2	-6	130.15	51%	0	14.8	1.18%	0	0.5	62	0
23	Oct_18_2004	35.24	35.57	35.9	35.7			36.14(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	3	15	109.35	51%	0	12.4	1.17%	0	1	70	0
24	Oct_15_2004	35.24	35.53	35.91	35.63			35.63(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	1	32	129.2	48%	-0.03	8.6	1.17%	0	0.2	68	0
25	Oct_14_2004	35.25	35.52	35.95	35.62			35.45(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-7	45	99.45	48%		10.4	1.17%	0	-0.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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