Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jul. 1, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $35.3200 (0.2%) ($35.1300 - $35.5700) on Thu. Sep. 16, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $35.3200(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.38(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.94(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.57(2.17%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2004	35.17	34.57	34.94	35.38			35.32(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	7	90	67.18	45%	-0.03	109.4	1.17%	0	1.4	60	0
2	Sep_15_2004	35.18	34.49	34.84	35.23			35.25(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	9	77	90.53	47%	-0.03	112.1	1.17%	0	1.4	57	0
3	Sep_14_2004	35.19	34.4	34.72	35.04			35.63(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	12	63	76.94	45%	-0.06	98.8	1.18%	0	2.2	66	0
4	Sep_13_2004	35.21	34.26	34.55	34.8			35.58(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	14	43	109.46	45%	-0.06	87	1.19%	0	2.3	66	0
5	Sep_10_2004	35.23	34.11	34.43	34.52			35.12(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	3	23	108.66	44%	-0.03	68.7	1.19%	0	1.7	63	0

6	Sep_9_2004	35.24	33.98	34.35	34.45			34.59(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	28	104.59	40%	-0.06	54.5	1.17%	0	0.9	63	0
7	Sep_8_2004	35.26	33.89	34.34	34.38			34.3(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	3	33	101.72	40%	-0.03	41.4	1.18%	0	0.6	57	0
8	Sep_7_2004	35.27	33.84	34.32	34.33			34.43(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	40	96.62	43%	-0.08	32.3	1.18%	0	0.9	66	0
9	Sep_3_2004	35.3	33.76	34.29	34.24			34.14(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-4	46	90.28	42%	-0.06	13.8	1.21%	0	0.5	67	0
10	Sep_2_2004	35.32	33.69	34.28	34.32			34.78(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	22	-10000	3	77	83.31	44%	-0.06	3.4	1.2%	0	1.6	79	0

11	Sep_1_2004	35.34	33.63	34.17	34.25			34.27(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-10000	-3	88	96.7	42%	-0.08	-7.5	1.18%	0	1	77	0
12	Aug_31_2004	35.37	33.63	34.13	34.3			34.02(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	-10000	-1	110	81.4	42%	-0.08	-6	1.17%	0	0.6	65	0
13	Aug_30_2004	35.4	33.62	34.06	34.31			33.98(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	27	-10000	-2	113	62.46	42%	-0.03	-7	1.18%	0	0.5	60	0
14	Aug_27_2004	35.41	33.66	33.97	34.34			34.56(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	5	123	58.62	44%	-0.08	-0.9	1.17%	0	1.2	71	0
15	Aug_26_2004	35.44	33.67	33.77	34.23			34.4(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	8	115	57.81	44%	-0.06	-0.9	1.17%	0	0.9	71	0

16	Aug_25_2004	35.46	33.68	33.58	34.08			34.55(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	7	88	88.45	46%	-0.08	-6.9	1.17%	0	1.1	58	0
17	Aug_24_2004	35.49	33.66	33.41	33.94			34.08(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	8	59	86.91	45%	-0.08	-12.1	1.19%	0	0.5	46	0
18	Aug_23_2004	35.52	33.68	33.32	33.78			34.09(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	12	34	83.59	45%	-0.11	-22.8	1.19%	0	0.5	46	0
19	Aug_20_2004	35.56	33.67	33.18	33.54			34.01(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	-10000	15	-15	92.07	45%	-0.06	-34.9	1.19%	0	0.4	38	0
20	Aug_19_2004	35.58	33.68	33.05	33.24			33.67(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	12	-71	106.88	45%	-0.06	-46.1	1.19%	0	-0	36	0

21	Aug_18_2004	35.6	33.73	33.03	33			33.85(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-20	-10000	10	-110	108.02	45%	-0.06	-54.9	1.18%	0	0.1	39	0
22	Aug_17_2004	35.62	33.75	33.05	32.81			33.26(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-33	-10000	1	-134	89.62	42%	-0.08	-60.3	1.17%	0	-0.5	38	0
23	Aug_16_2004	35.65	33.86	33.13	32.8			32.89(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	-10000	1	-143	77.94	42%	-0.06	-62	1.16%	0	-1.1	32	0
24	Aug_13_2004	35.67	33.94	33.32	32.78			32.52(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-2	-136	91.44	42%	-0.08	-69.5	1.16%	0	-1.6	36	0
25	Aug_12_2004	35.7	34.06	33.55	32.82			32.47(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-12	-130	114.18	42%		-77.7	1.16%	0	-1.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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