Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 23, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $34.0900 (0.24%) ($33.9100 - $34.2700) on Mon. Aug. 23, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $34.0900(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.78(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.32(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.68(1.22%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2004	35.52	33.68	33.32	33.78			34.09(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	12	34	83.59	45%	-0.11	-22.8	1.19%	0	0.5	46	0
2	Aug_20_2004	35.56	33.67	33.18	33.54			34.01(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	-10000	15	-15	92.07	45%	-0.06	-34.9	1.19%	0	0.4	38	0
3	Aug_19_2004	35.58	33.68	33.05	33.24			33.67(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	12	-71	106.88	45%	-0.06	-46.1	1.19%	0	-0	36	0
4	Aug_18_2004	35.6	33.73	33.03	33			33.85(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-20	-10000	10	-110	108.02	45%	-0.06	-54.9	1.18%	0	0.1	39	0
5	Aug_17_2004	35.62	33.75	33.05	32.81			33.26(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-33	-10000	1	-134	89.62	42%	-0.08	-60.3	1.17%	0	-0.5	38	0

6	Aug_16_2004	35.65	33.86	33.13	32.8			32.89(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	-10000	1	-143	77.94	42%	-0.06	-62	1.16%	0	-1.1	32	0
7	Aug_13_2004	35.67	33.94	33.32	32.78			32.52(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-2	-136	91.44	42%	-0.08	-69.5	1.16%	0	-1.6	36	0
8	Aug_12_2004	35.7	34.06	33.55	32.82			32.47(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-12	-130	114.18	42%	-0.06	-77.7	1.16%	0	-1.9	34	0
9	Aug_11_2004	35.72	34.19	33.79	33.05			32.92(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-14	-116	121.31	46%	-0.03	-80.7	1.15%	0	-1.6	31	0
10	Aug_10_2004	35.73	34.31	33.94	33.31			33.21(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-11	-94	106.38	46%	-0.03	-79.3	1.16%	0	-1.4	40	0

11	Aug_9_2004	35.74	34.42	34.07	33.52			32.8(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-10000	-22	-96	78.65	44%	-0.06	-76.6	1.15%	0	-2.2	29	0
12	Aug_6_2004	35.76	34.57	34.22	33.95			32.72(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-34	-10000	-22	-68	148.87	44%	-0.08	-75	1.16%	0	-2.7	38	0
13	Aug_5_2004	35.79	34.72	34.38	34.38			33.6(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-10000	-12	-36	109.96	47%	-0.06	-79.6	1.11%	0	-1.9	42	0
14	Aug_4_2004	35.81	34.83	34.52	34.62			34.24(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-2	-16	86.89	50%	-0.03	-84.4	1.1%	0	-1	43	0
15	Aug_3_2004	35.82	34.92	34.54	34.65			34.23(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-3	-25	85.88	50%	0	-90.7	1.1%	0	-1.2	42	0

16	Aug_2_2004	35.82	35.01	34.65	34.71			34.96(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	10	-17	81.37	54%	-0.03	-97.6	1.07%	0	-0.1	43	0
17	Jul_30_2004	35.83	35.09	34.61	34.53			34.89(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	8	-48	83.04	50%	0	-92.6	1.08%	0	-0.3	42	0
18	Jul_29_2004	35.83	35.19	34.59	34.39			34.78(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-10000	-1	-78	99.09	47%	0	-85.4	1.12%	0	-0.5	40	0
19	Jul_28_2004	35.83	35.33	34.61	34.39			34.38(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-10000	0	-85	155.07	43%	-0.06	-69.5	1.13%	0	-1	36	0
20	Jul_27_2004	35.85	35.47	34.69	34.41			34.53(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-9	-101	103.54	43%	-0.03	-62.8	1.15%	0	-0.9	34	0

21	Jul_26_2004	35.86	35.6	34.78	34.59			34.06(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-6	-94	113.06	41%	-0.08	-54	1.13%	0	-1.5	29	0
22	Jul_23_2004	35.89	35.76	34.94	34.7			34.21(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-5	-103	107.15	41%	-0.06	-48.6	1.13%	0	-1.5	25	0
23	Jul_22_2004	35.91	35.91	35.09	34.79			34.87(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-2	-114	132.85	48%	-0.06	-45.9	1.12%	0	-1	27	0
24	Jul_21_2004	35.93	36.02	35.17	34.83			34.4(-2.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-41	-10000	-8	-138	136.17	45%	-0.06	-43.6	1.15%	0	-1.6	17	0
25	Jul_20_2004	35.95	36.14	35.34	34.99			35.43(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-39	-10000	-2	-148	120.17	46%		-43.5	1.1%	0	-0.8	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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