Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ QQQ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $36.4200 (0.64%) ($36.0000 - $36.5000) on Thu. May. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $36.4200(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.77(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.27(3.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.18(3.52%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2004	36.34	35.18	35.27	35.77			36.42(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	14	65	110.23	48%	-0.03	-28.3	1.23%	0	2.4	66	0
2	May_26_2004	36.35	35.13	35.11	35.46			36.19(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	14	38	93.85	48%	-0.05	-60.6	1.23%	0	2.2	59	0
3	May_25_2004	36.37	35.12	35.01	35.16			35.96(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	12	11	146.47	48%	-0.03	-66	1.23%	0	1.5	52	0
4	May_24_2004	36.38	35.15	34.92	34.91			35.26(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	8	-11	100.16	45%	-0.03	-58.5	1.2%	0	0.2	49	0
5	May_21_2004	36.39	35.22	34.86	34.74			35.02(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	2	-33	111.49	44%	-0.03	-53.8	1.2%	0	-0.3	49	0

6	May_20_2004	36.4	35.32	34.85	34.69			34.85(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-36	95.04	44%	-0.05	-46.2	1.21%	0	-0.6	52	0
7	May_19_2004	36.42	35.42	34.88	34.72			34.69(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-5	-41	141.78	42%	-0.05	-41.8	1.2%	0	-0.9	39	0
8	May_18_2004	36.44	35.49	34.96	34.83			34.73(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-5	-41	96.73	42%	-0.05	-43.7	1.22%	0	-0.9	34	0
9	May_17_2004	36.46	35.54	35.02	34.93			34.42(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-2	-54	150.71	44%	-0.03	-45.7	1.21%	0	-1.3	26	0
10	May_14_2004	36.47	35.65	35.09	34.98			34.75(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-2	-73	133.76	44%	-0.05	-51.1	1.22%	0	-1.2	27	0

11	May_13_2004	36.49	35.72	35.1	35.02			35.01(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	-2	-100	138.1	44%	-0.03	-56.3	1.23%	0	-0.9	27	0
12	May_12_2004	36.5	35.78	35.16	35.07			35.26(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	-2	-114	197.89	44%	0	-59.1	1.23%	0	-0.7	32	0
13	May_11_2004	36.5	35.85	35.24	35.12			35.19(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-110	120.84	44%	-0.03	-58.6	1.23%	0	-0.9	44	0
14	May_10_2004	36.51	35.93	35.4	35.14			34.67(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-10000	-4	-98	157.2	42%	-0.03	-61	1.23%	0	-1.6	43	0
15	May_7_2004	36.52	36.05	35.62	35.22			34.97(-0.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-20	-10000	2	-87	137.73	42%	0	-61.6	1.21%	0	-1.4	38	0

16	May_6_2004	36.52	36.15	35.83	35.18			35.26(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-4	-79	102.76	44%	0	-60.5	1.22%	0	-1.2	45	0
17	May_5_2004	36.52	36.24	36	35.26			35.53(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-6	-66	97.58	44%	0.03	-53.3	1.24%	0	-1	46	0
18	May_4_2004	36.51	36.31	36.05	35.39			35.25(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-15	-71	126.25	43%	0	-42.4	1.23%	0	-1.5	39	0
19	May_3_2004	36.51	36.42	36.11	35.72			35.1(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10000	-16	-59	117.07	43%	0	-20.5	1.25%	0	-1.9	39	0
20	Apr_30_2004	36.51	36.53	36.26	36.08			34.77(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-27	-10000	-22	-43	150.92	43%	0	6.2	1.23%	0	-2.7	33	0

21	Apr_29_2004	36.51	36.61	36.41	36.57			35.64(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-13	-10000	-12	-14	157.05	45%	0.03	40.8	1.2%	0	-1.9	40	0
22	Apr_28_2004	36.5	36.63	36.47	36.83			36.2(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.3	2	-10000	2	1	111.78	45%	0.05	70.8	1.18%	0	-0.9	44	0
23	Apr_27_2004	36.48	36.62	36.53	36.79			36.87(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	-10000	11	-0	87.67	45%	0.03	83.1	1.18%	0	0.5	48	0
24	Apr_26_2004	36.47	36.57	36.5	36.55			36.94(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	4	-31	74.55	46%	0.05	80.4	1.21%	0	0.7	44	0
25	Apr_23_2004	36.45	36.49	36.52	36.47			37.21(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	10	-35	92.04	46%		72.5	1.22%	0	1.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.