Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 18, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $37.5500 (0.29%) ($37.3200 - $37.6700) on Wed. Feb. 18, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $37.5500(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.35(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.12(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.34(0.56%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20040318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2004	35.91	37.34	37.12	37.35			37.55(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	4	27	71.2	61%	0.14	-36.6	1.07%	0	0.4	55	0
2	Feb_17_2004	35.86	37.38	37.05	37.28			37.44(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	9	69.82	61%	0.22	-35.5	1.11%	0	0.1	45	0
3	Feb_13_2004	35.78	37.43	37	37.21			36.94(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-2	-19	90.6	55%	0.11	-30.2	1.13%	0	-0.7	30	0
4	Feb_12_2004	35.74	37.49	37	37.25			37.25(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	7	-25	70.75	58%	0.14	-27.6	1.13%	0	-0.4	41	0
5	Feb_11_2004	35.69	37.53	37.01	37.1			37.58(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	12	-46	92.51	58%	0.08	-31.5	1.15%	0	0.1	42	0

6	Feb_10_2004	35.66	37.55	36.95	36.85			37.18(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	2	-87	65.1	58%	0.08	-37.5	1.15%	0	-0.5	35	0
7	Feb_9_2004	35.63	37.61	37	36.8			37.12(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	1	-102	58.92	58%	0.08	-31.7	1.16%	0	-0.7	33	0
8	Feb_6_2004	35.6	37.64	37.13	36.77			37.13(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	-10000	1	-106	107.25	58%	0.06	-25.1	1.16%	0	-0.7	33	0
9	Feb_5_2004	35.58	37.68	37.21	36.75			36.47(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-8	-116	96.97	55%	0.06	-15.8	1.14%	0	-1.8	31	0
10	Feb_4_2004	35.56	37.75	37.38	36.91			36.33(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-10000	-7	-105	110.07	55%	0.06	-2.4	1.15%	0	-2.3	31	0

11	Feb_3_2004	35.54	37.81	37.58	37.06			36.93(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-8	-91	73.89	61%	0.11	12.6	1.13%	0	-1.6	38	0
12	Feb_2_2004	35.5	37.83	37.74	37.22			36.97(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-15	-79	94.54	61%	0.08	32.1	1.15%	0	-1.6	34	0
13	Jan_30_2004	35.47	37.81	37.91	37.55			37.07(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-43	84.31	61%	0.11	48.1	1.15%	0	-1.3	45	0
14	Jan_29_2004	35.43	37.79	38.03	37.74			37.24(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-8	-27	144.04	61%	0.11	64.1	1.15%	0	-0.9	44	0
15	Jan_28_2004	35.39	37.77	38.12	37.92			37.1(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-11	-10	128.17	64%	0.08	72.7	1.15%	0	-1	47	0

16	Jan_27_2004	35.36	37.75	38.22	38.17			37.74(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-7	18	97.37	68%	0.08	86.3	1.2%	0	-0	57	0
17	Jan_26_2004	35.33	37.66	38.28	38.17			38.59(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	0	50	84.7	73%	0.14	88.4	1.16%	0	1.2	70	0
18	Jan_23_2004	35.28	37.53	38.28	38.33			38.01(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-1	68	88.81	71%	0.11	87.2	1.15%	0	0.6	73	0
19	Jan_22_2004	35.24	37.43	38.2	38.36			38.15(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	1	91	90.97	67%	0.14	92.9	1.16%	0	0.9	73	0
20	Jan_21_2004	35.19	37.3	38.16	38.35			38.38(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	4	106	112.32	67%	0.11	91.3	1.18%	0	1.2	75	0

21	Jan_20_2004	35.15	37.16	38.06	38.26			38.54(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	2	113	82.08	67%	0.14	86.6	1.18%	0	1.5	78	0
22	Jan_16_2004	35.1	37.01	37.92	38.22			38.57(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	7	126	77.37	62%	0.17	81.7	1.22%	0	1.5	82	0
23	Jan_15_2004	35.04	36.83	37.7	38.05			38.18(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	2	120	104.6	62%	0.17	81	1.22%	0	1.4	79	0
24	Jan_14_2004	34.98	36.66	37.54	38.01			38.08(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	3	129	69.07	62%	0.14	79.4	1.22%	0	1.4	79	0
25	Jan_13_2004	34.93	36.5	37.39	37.93			37.95(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	5	139	93.06	62%		74.3	1.22%	0	1.4	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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